Atalanta - Frosinone

Regular Season - 20
Kickoff: 2024-01-15 18:45

Who will win?

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Atalanta - Frosinone Predictions

Prediction: Atalanta
Best odds: 1.46

In the picturesque city of Bergamo, the Gewiss Stadium is set to host a captivating Serie A encounter that pits the high-flying Atalanta against the underdogs Frosinone. As the league approaches its 20th round on a chilly Monday evening, the predictions are leaning heavily towards a home victory. But in football, the ball is round, and anything can happen on the pitch.

Key Players

Atalanta's campaign has been bolstered by the performances of their stalwarts. Nadir Zortea, the defender with a rating of 6.76, has been a rock at the back, contributing not only in defense with his 66 total passes but also offensively with 1 goal to his name. In the midfield, the creativity and vision of Aleksey Miranchuk have been pivotal. With a rating of 6.80, Miranchuk has managed 5 key passes and an assist, proving his worth as a playmaker. Not to be outdone, Mario Pašalić, another midfielder, has been in fine form, boasting a rating of 6.81, with 2 goals and an assist, showcasing his scoring prowess from the midfield.

Frosinone, on the other hand, will rely on the likes of Marco Brescianini, a midfielder with a 6.55 rating who has shown his ability to find the back of the net with 2 goals and has been instrumental with 5 key passes. In the attacking third, Marvin Çuni, with a rating of 6.57, will be looking to add to his tally of 1 goal, while Walid Cheddira, the most potent of Frosinone's attackers, has a rating of 6.64 and will be the one to watch with his 5 shots on target and a goal to his record.

Recent Form

Atalanta's recent form reads like a rollercoaster ride with a sequence of WLWWL, indicating a lack of consistency but also a capacity to bounce back. Currently sitting 6th in the league table, they are within touching distance of the European spots, and a win could see them climb even higher. Frosinone, 14th in the standings, have struggled to find their rhythm, with their last five outings resulting in LLLDL, signaling a team in dire need of a turnaround.

Head-to-Head History

The history between these two sides is relatively sparse, but the most recent encounter on August 26, 2023, saw Frosinone clinch a surprise 2-1 victory against Atalanta. This upset serves as a reminder that past performances are not always indicative of future results.

Prediction

The predictions and stats suggest a clear advantage for Atalanta. With a 75.7% total percent chance of winning according to the data, they are the overwhelming favorites. The team's form at home has been strong, winning 6 out of 9 games, while Frosinone has yet to secure a win on the road. Atalanta's attacking threat, led by Zortea, Miranchuk, and Pašalić, is expected to be too much for Frosinone's defense to handle.

Moreover, the head-to-head record at Gewiss Stadium favors Atalanta, with a 71% win rate against Frosinone's 29%. Taking into account the current form of both teams, the home side's superior attacking and defensive stats, and the historical advantage, the prediction leans towards a comfortable win for Atalanta.

In conclusion, while Frosinone will fight to defy the odds, the safe bet is on Atalanta to secure all three points. With their key players in fine form and the support of the home crowd, expect Atalanta to emerge victorious in this encounter. The final prediction: Atalanta to win, with a significant chance of a margin greater than a single goal.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

91%
9%

Attacking Potential

64%
36%

Defensive Potential

67%
33%

Poisson Distribution

82%
18%

Stregth H2H

71%
29%

Goals H2H

86%
14%

Wins the game

77%
23%

Atalanta - Frosinone Head to Head

Serie A standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter players, news and schedule Inter 30 25 4 1 73 14 59 79
2 AC Milan players, news and schedule AC Milan 31 21 5 5 60 34 26 68
3 Juventus players, news and schedule Juventus 30 17 8 5 44 24 20 59
4 Bologna players, news and schedule Bologna 31 16 10 5 45 25 20 58
5 AS Roma players, news and schedule AS Roma 31 16 7 8 56 35 21 55
6 Atalanta players, news and schedule Atalanta 29 15 5 9 54 32 22 50
7 Napoli players, news and schedule Napoli 31 13 9 9 48 38 10 48
8 Lazio players, news and schedule Lazio 31 14 4 13 37 34 3 46
9 Torino players, news and schedule Torino 31 11 11 9 31 29 2 44
10 Fiorentina players, news and schedule Fiorentina 29 12 7 10 42 34 8 43
11 Monza players, news and schedule Monza 31 11 9 11 34 41 -7 42
12 Genoa players, news and schedule Genoa 30 8 11 11 32 37 -5 35
13 Lecce players, news and schedule Lecce 31 6 11 14 26 48 -22 29
14 Udinese players, news and schedule Udinese 30 4 16 10 29 45 -16 28
15 Empoli players, news and schedule Empoli 31 7 7 17 25 47 -22 28
16 Verona players, news and schedule Verona 30 6 9 15 27 40 -13 27
17 Cagliari players, news and schedule Cagliari 30 6 9 15 30 51 -21 27
18 Frosinone players, news and schedule Frosinone 31 6 8 17 38 61 -23 26
19 Sassuolo players, news and schedule Sassuolo 31 6 7 18 36 59 -23 25
20 Salernitana players, news and schedule Salernitana 31 2 9 20 25 64 -39 15