Atalanta - Lecce

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

58'

1 - 0

Goal

A. Lookman

G. Scamacca (Assist)

82'		Y. Ramadani	Holding
35'		D. Zappacosta	Tripping

90'			In:	M. Ruggeri	Out:	E. Holm
90'			In:	A. Lookman	Out:	A. Miranchuk
84'			In:	Gabriel Strefezza	Out:	M. Listkowski
83'			In:	V. Gendrey	Out:	L. Venuti
83'			In:	T. Koopmeiners	Out:	M. Adopo
77'			In:	N. Krstović	Out:	R. Piccoli
72'			In:	H. Rafia	Out:	Joan Gonzàlez
64'			In:	D. Zappacosta	Out:	N. Zortea
64'			In:	G. Scamacca	Out:	L. Muriel

Atalanta - Lecce Predictions

Prediction: Atalanta or draw

Best odds: 1.13

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As the Serie A season pushes through its halfway point, a tantalizing fixture is on the horizon as Atalanta prepares to host Lecce at the Gewiss Stadium on a brisk Saturday afternoon. With predictions pointing towards a potential victory or at least a draw for the home side, fans are eager to see if Atalanta can solidify their standing or if Lecce will defy the odds and snatch an unexpected result.

Key Players to Watch

Atalanta's midfield dynamo Mario Pašalić is one to keep an eye on. With a solid rating of 6.70, his contribution of 1 goal, 1 assist, and 4 key passes shows his importance to the team's playmaking abilities. Another vital piece in Atalanta's defensive lineup is Nadir Zortea, whose rating of 6.73 is bolstered by his ability to join the attack, already netting a goal this season. Not to be overlooked is Sead Kolašinac, whose defensive prowess and rating of 6.82 make him a formidable barrier for any opposing attackers.

On the other side of the pitch, Lecce's Hamza Rafia has shown his midfield capabilities with a rating of 6.66, contributing to the team's forward thrust. Federico Di Francesco, with a rating of 6.70, adds to Lecce's attacking options, and his agility could pose a threat to Atalanta's defense. Lastly, Joan González Cañellas, with his ability to both score and assist, will be crucial if Lecce hopes to take anything from this match.

Recent Form

Atalanta's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in "WLLDL," reflecting a team struggling to find consistent form. Sitting at 8th place with 23 points, they have demonstrated both resilience at home and vulnerability away, which they'll hope to balance out in this upcoming fixture.

Lecce, currently occupying the 12th position with 20 points, has been the king of draws recently, with a "WDDDD" streak. Their inability to convert one point into three has been a recurring theme, but their tenacity to avoid defeat could serve them well against a team like Atalanta.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record provides an interesting context for this match. The most recent encounters saw Lecce triumph over Atalanta with a 2-1 victory on February 19, 2023, and a similar scoreline in their favor on November 9, 2022. These results suggest that Lecce might just have the psychological edge going into this weekend's clash.

Prediction

The prediction for this match is leaning towards Atalanta, with a "Double chance: Atalanta or draw" being the suggested betting advice. The statistical breakdown gives Atalanta a 45% chance of winning and a 45% chance of a draw, leaving only a 10% probability for an away win. With both teams scoring a similar amount of goals this season, but Atalanta having a slightly better defensive record at home, the prediction is further skewed in their favor.

Atalanta's form at home and their attacking capabilities, led by the likes of Mario Pašalić and Sead Kolašinac, make them the favorites to take all three points. However, Lecce's resilience, particularly in the midfield with Hamza Rafia and Joan González Cañellas, cannot be underestimated, and they will be looking to repeat their previous successes against the Bergamo side.

In conclusion, while the past encounters might give Lecce some hope, the overall analysis and the current form suggest a stronger likelihood of an Atalanta win or a draw. With that in mind, the final prediction is for Atalanta to either win or secure a draw in what promises to be an intriguing Serie A fixture.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

50%

50%

Attacking Potential

57%

43%

Defensive Potential

44%

56%

Poisson Distribution

73%

27%

Stregth H2H

50%

50%

Goals H2H

63%

37%

Wins the game

56%

44%

Atalanta - Lecce Head to Head

18/05	Lecce	-	Atalanta
30/12	Atalanta	1 - 0	Lecce
19/02	Atalanta	1 - 2	Lecce
09/11	Lecce	2 - 1	Atalanta

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15