Atalanta - Salernitana

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

89'		4 - 1	Goal	A. Miranchuk	C. De Ketelaere (Assist)
83'		3 - 1	Goal	C. De Ketelaere	G. Scalvini (Assist)
52'		2 - 1	Goal	M. Pašalić	A. Lookman (Assist)
47'		1 - 1	Goal	L. Muriel
10'		0 - 1	Goal	L. Pirola	A. Candreva (Assist)

77'		M. Ruggeri	Roughing
65'		G. Maggiore	Foul
40'		L. Pirola	Tripping

86'			In:	B. Dia	Out:	Jovane Cabral
86'			In:	T. Koopmeiners	Out:	M. Adopo
86'			In:	A. Lookman	Out:	A. Miranchuk
85'			In:	T. Koopmeiners	Out:	M. Adopo
85'			In:	A. Lookman	Out:	A. Miranchuk
76'			In:	D. Zappacosta	Out:	H. Hateboer
67'			In:	A. Martegani	Out:	C. Ikwuemesi
67'			In:	G. Maggiore	Out:	M. Łęgowski
67'			In:	L. Muriel	Out:	C. De Ketelaere
67'			In:	Éderson	Out:	S. Kolašinac
66'			In:	L. Muriel	Out:	C. De Ketelaere
66'			In:	Éderson	Out:	S. Kolašinac
60'			In:	F. Daniliuc	Out:	D. Bradarić
60'			In:	L. Tchaouna	Out:	G. Kastanos

Atalanta - Salernitana Predictions

Prediction: Atalanta or draw

Best odds: 1.08

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As the Italian Serie A gears up for an exciting showdown at the Gewiss Stadium on a chilly Monday night, all eyes are on the home side Atalanta as they prepare to lock horns with the struggling Salernitana. With predictions leaning heavily in favor of Atalanta, fans and pundits alike are buzzing with anticipation, wondering if the home team will solidify their standing or if Salernitana can cause an upset against the odds.

Key Players to Watch

Atalanta's midfield dynamo Mario Pašalić is certainly one to watch, with a rating of 6.67 and an impressive 113 total passes this season, contributing one goal and an assist. His ability to control the tempo of the game could be a deciding factor.

On the defensive end, Sead Kolašinac has been a rock for Atalanta, boasting a rating of 6.82. With 469 passes and a goal to his name, his presence on the pitch lends a sense of security to the backline. Another defensive stalwart, Nadir Zortea, with a rating of 6.90, has shown he can contribute to the attack as well, netting one goal from his position at the back.

Salernitana, despite their struggles, have their own threats. Boulaye Dia, with a team-high rating of 6.71 and three goals, has been a silver lining in their cloudy season. His seven shots on target from ten attempts show he's not shy at trying his luck.

The creativity spark for the visitors comes from Jovane Eduardo Borges Cabral, who holds a rating of 7.14, and the experienced Antonio Candreva, with a rating of 7.27. Candreva's 286 passes and 15 key passes highlight his role as a vital playmaker for Salernitana.

Recent Form

Atalanta's recent form has been a mixed bag with a sequence of 'LDLWW', suggesting inconsistency in their performance. They currently sit 8th on the table with 20 points, and their home form shows potential with 3 wins out of 6 games.

Salernitana finds itself at the bottom of the league, with a form guide reading 'LWDLL'. They have managed only 8 points so far, and their away record is dismal, with no wins, two draws, and five losses.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two teams presents an interesting narrative. The last encounter on May 13, 2023, saw Salernitana clinch a narrow 1-0 victory. However, the previous meeting on January 15, 2023, was a goal fest with Atalanta thrashing Salernitana 8-2. This inconsistency adds an element of unpredictability to the upcoming match.

Prediction

Taking into account the home advantage, current form, and overall team strength, the prediction leans towards an Atalanta win or draw. With a 45% chance of victory for Atalanta and another 45% for a draw, Salernitana's slim 10% chance reflects their uphill battle.

The key players' influence, particularly that of Mario Pašalić for Atalanta and Boulaye Dia for Salernitana, will be pivotal. However, the overall team cohesion and tactical setup will ultimately determine the outcome.

The advice for this match would be a 'Double chance: Atalanta or draw', considering the home side's stronger position in the standings and Salernitana's relegation woes. With Atalanta's attacking prowess and Salernitana's defensive vulnerabilities, the game is expected to see fewer goals from the visitors, as the prediction suggests under 1.5 goals for Salernitana.

In conclusion, while football is known for its unpredictability, the safe bet would be on Atalanta to either secure a win or at least hold Salernitana to a draw. Fans should brace themselves for a match where Atalanta will look to capitalize on their strengths and climb higher up the Serie A ladder.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

50%

50%

Attacking Potential

55%

45%

Defensive Potential

50%

50%

Poisson Distribution

85%

15%

Stregth H2H

64%

36%

Goals H2H

71%

29%

Wins the game

63%

38%

Atalanta - Salernitana Head to Head

04/05	Salernitana	-	Atalanta
18/12	Atalanta	4 - 1	Salernitana
13/05	Salernitana	1 - 0	Atalanta
15/01	Atalanta	8 - 2	Salernitana

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15