Atalanta - Sassuolo

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

75'		3 - 0	Goal	M. Bakker	G. Scalvini (Assist)
58'		2 - 0	Goal	T. Koopmeiners	E. Holm (Assist)
45'		1 - 0	Missed Penalty	A. Pinamonti	A. Pinamonti (Assist)
22'		1 - 0	Goal	M. Pašalić

74'			In:	A. Miranchuk	Out:	G. Scamacca
74'			In:	E. Holm	Out:	M. Bakker
72'			In:	K. Thorstvedt	Out:	C. Volpato
72'			In:	A. Pinamonti	Out:	S. Mulattieri
61'			In:	L. Lipani	Out:	D. Boloca
60'			In:	N. Bajrami	Out:	G. Defrel

Atalanta - Sassuolo Predictions

Prediction: Atalanta

Best odds: 1.44

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As the Italian Serie A gears up for another thrilling weekend of football, all eyes are set on the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo where Atalanta will host Sassuolo in a clash that is expected to be a showcase of tactical prowess and individual brilliance. The predictions are in, and they seem to favor the home side, but as any football enthusiast knows, the game is full of surprises.

Key Players - Atalanta

Atalanta, currently sitting at 4th in the league, have shown a solid performance throughout the season, and much of their success can be attributed to their key players. Viktor Kovalenko, the Ukrainian midfielder, has been impressive with a rating of 6.74, contributing 1 goal and 1 assist. His vision and passing accuracy have been crucial in creating scoring opportunities, as evidenced by his 6 key passes.

Defensively, Sead Kolašinac has been a rock at the back. With a rating of 6.86, he has not only fortified Atalanta's defense but also contributed to their attack with 1 goal from his position.

Another midfielder, Aleksey Miranchuk, has matched Kolašinac's rating and has been an integral part of the squad with 2 assists and 1 goal, showcasing his ability to both create and finish scoring opportunities.

Key Players - Sassuolo

Despite Sassuolo's struggles this season, positioned at 15th place, their players have shown flashes of potential that could threaten any team on their day. Nedim Bajrami, with a rating of 6.76, has been a bright spark in the midfield, taking a total of 12 shots and making 9 key passes, indicating his willingness to take on the opposition defense.

Abdoulrahmane Harroui has also been a standout performer, scoring 3 goals and providing an assist. His rating of 6.84 reflects his contribution to the team's midfield dynamism.

In defense, Martin Erlić has been a consistent figure for Sassuolo, with a rating of 6.88. Although his offensive contributions have been limited, his defensive work has been vital in keeping the team competitive in tough matches.

Recent Form

Atalanta's recent form has been a mixed bag with results reading 'WWDWL', suggesting some inconsistency but also the potential to bounce back with strong performances. Sassuolo, on the other hand, has struggled, with their last five games resulting in 'LLWLL', indicating a team in need of a turnaround.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two teams offers an interesting insight into their competitive history. In their last encounter on January 3, 2024, Atalanta secured a 3-1 victory over Sassuolo. Before that, on August 20, 2023, Atalanta again came out on top with a 2-0 win away from home. However, Sassuolo did manage to snag a win against Atalanta back on February 4, 2023, with a narrow 1-0 victory, demonstrating that they can indeed pose a threat to the Bergamo side.

Prediction

Taking into account the current form of both teams, their head-to-head history, and their key players' performances, the prediction leans heavily in favor of Atalanta. They have a robust home record this season and are expected to utilize their tactical strength and individual skill to secure a win. The prediction model gives Atalanta a 74.3% chance of victory, with a strong likelihood of them scoring over 3.5 goals and Sassuolo under 1.5 goals.

In conclusion, while Sassuolo will certainly look to defy the odds and pull off an upset, the final prediction is a confident victory for Atalanta. Their superior form, home advantage, and the quality of key players like Viktor Kovalenko and Sead Kolašinac should guide them to secure three crucial points in their quest for Champions League football next season.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

76%

24%

Attacking Potential

79%

21%

Defensive Potential

75%

25%

Poisson Distribution

81%

19%

Stregth H2H

60%

40%

Goals H2H

62%

38%

Wins the game

72%

28%

Atalanta - Sassuolo Head to Head

17/02	Atalanta	3 - 0	Sassuolo
03/01	Atalanta	3 - 1	Sassuolo
20/08	Sassuolo	0 - 2	Atalanta
04/02	Sassuolo	1 - 0	Atalanta
15/10	Atalanta	2 - 1	Sassuolo

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15