Athletic Club - Atletico Madrid

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

64'		2 - 0	Goal	Nico Williams
51'		1 - 0	Goal	Gorka Guruzeta	Ander Herrera (Assist)
36'		0 - 0	Missed Penalty	Oihan Sancet	Oihan Sancet (Assist)

50'		R. De Paul
49'		R. De Paul	Elbowing

90'			In:	Nico Williams	Out:	Álex Berenguer
85'			In:	I. Williams	Out:	Mikel Jauregizar
85'			In:	Oihan Sancet	Out:	Unai Gómez
77'			In:	Beñat Prados	Out:	Mikel Vesga
67'			In:	Álvaro Morata	Out:	César Azpilicueta
59'			In:	Saúl	Out:	M. Depay
59'			In:	A. Griezmann	Out:	Á. Correa
46'			In:	N. Molina	Out:	R. De Paul
46'			In:	Ç. Söyüncü	Out:	J. Giménez

Athletic Club - Atletico Madrid Predictions

Prediction: Athletic Club or draw

Best odds: 1.48

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As the La Liga season heats up, a titanic clash looms on the horizon between two Spanish powerhouses, Athletic Club and Atletico Madrid, at the San Mamés Barria in Bilbao. With predictions favoring a tight contest and the possibility of Athletic Club snatching a win or a draw, the anticipation for this match is palpable.

Key Players

Athletic Club's midfield dynamo, Daniel García Carrillo, has been a consistent performer for the home side. With a rating of 6.51, his ability to control the tempo and his total of 121 passes will be crucial. Unai Gómez Etxebarria, another midfielder, boasts a rating of 6.70 and can be a game-changer with his knack for creating opportunities, as evidenced by his 26 total passes and a key pass in recent outings. Upfront, Asier Villalibre Molina, with a rating of 6.80, adds firepower to Athletic Club's attack, contributing one goal and one assist.

On the other side, Atletico Madrid's Memphis Depay brings a threat with his sharpshooting abilities, scoring two goals from six shots on target. His rating of 6.50 underlines his impact on the pitch. The midfield maestro, Marcos Llorente Moreno, with a rating of 6.84, has been instrumental in linking play and has an impressive 257 total passes to his name. Lastly, Rodrigo Riquelme Reche, with the highest rating among key players at 6.94, has shown his worth by notching two goals and an assist, ensuring that Atletico's midfield is a force to be reckoned with.

Recent Form

Athletic Club has been in fine form, with their last five games reading WDWWD, which has helped them secure the 5th spot in the league with a positive goal difference of +12. Their home form has been particularly strong, with five wins out of eight games.

Atletico Madrid, currently sitting at 4th place, has a slightly better points tally at 31, thanks to their LWWLW run in the last five matches. They boast a higher goal difference of +17, indicating their prowess in both offense and defense.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two teams is evenly matched, with each team securing a win in their last two encounters. The most recent match saw Atletico Madrid eke out a 1-0 victory on February 19, 2023, while Athletic Club suffered a narrow 0-1 loss at home on October 15, 2022.

Prediction

The predictions suggest a close encounter, with the odds slightly in favor of Athletic Club, who have a 35% chance of winning against Atletico Madrid's 30%. The draw also has a 35% chance, indicating the tight nature of this matchup. The form of both teams is relatively even, with Athletic Club at 55% and Atletico Madrid at 45%. Defensively, Atletico seems more robust with a 62% rating against Athletic's 38%, but the home advantage could play a pivotal role.

The advice for this match is a "Double chance: Athletic Club or draw," reflecting the home side's resilience at San Mamés and the tight margins that separate these teams. With key players like Daniel García Carrillo, Unai Gómez Etxebarria, and Asier Villalibre Molina for Athletic Club, and Memphis Depay, Marcos Llorente Moreno, and Rodrigo Riquelme Reche for Atletico Madrid, this game promises to be a showcase of La Liga's finest talents.

In conclusion, the match is poised to be a thrilling encounter with both teams having much to prove. The prediction leans towards a resilient Athletic Club managing to secure at least a point in this high-stakes duel, making the most of their home advantage and current form. However, with the quality that Atletico Madrid possesses, it is sure to be a battle until the final whistle.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

55%

45%

Attacking Potential

65%

35%

Defensive Potential

42%

58%

Poisson Distribution

42%

58%

Stregth H2H

50%

50%

Goals H2H

57%

43%

Wins the game

52%

48%

Athletic Club - Atletico Madrid Head to Head

27/04	Atletico Madrid	-	Athletic Club
29/02	Athletic Club	3 - 0	Atletico Madrid
07/02	Atletico Madrid	0 - 1	Athletic Club
16/12	Athletic Club	2 - 0	Atletico Madrid
19/02	Atletico Madrid	1 - 0	Athletic Club
15/10	Athletic Club	0 - 1	Atletico Madrid

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13