Atletico Madrid - Alaves

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

45'		3 - 0	Goal	Álvaro Morata
27'		2 - 0	Goal	Rodrigo Riquelme	Álvaro Morata (Assist)
26'		1 - 0	Goal	Rodrigo Riquelme	Álvaro Morata (Assist)

85'		I. Hagi	Roughing
83'		J. Oblak	Unsportsmanlike conduct
73'		Hermoso	Unsportsmanlike conduct
72'		Rubén Duarte	Holding
72'		Marcos Llorente	Elbowing

84'			In:	Antonio Blanco	Out:	C. Benavídez
81'			In:	N. Molina	Out:	César Azpilicueta
81'			In:	Hermoso	Out:	J. Giménez
73'			In:	Samu Omorodion	Out:	Kike García
67'			In:	R. De Paul	Out:	Pablo Barrios
67'			In:	Álvaro Morata	Out:	Á. Correa
63'			In:	Luis Rioja	Out:	A. Rebbach
63'			In:	Jon Guridi	Out:	I. Hagi
58'			In:	Saúl	Out:	Marcos Llorente
46'			In:	Álex Sola	Out:	Javi López

Atletico Madrid - Alaves Predictions

Prediction: Atletico Madrid

Best odds: 1.35

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As the sun sets on Madrid on Sunday, October 29th, 2023, the Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano will come alive with the thrilling clash between Atletico Madrid and Alaves in the 11th round of the La Liga regular season. The predictions point towards a riveting match, with Atletico Madrid touted as the likely victors. But will Alaves pull off an upset?

Key Players

Atletico Madrid boasts a formidable lineup, with players like Memphis Depay and Marcos Llorente Moreno leading the charge. Depay, with an impressive rating of 6.50, has netted two goals this season, while Moreno, with a rating of 6.96, has added another two to the tally.

Alaves, on the other hand, will be relying heavily on their defender Rubén Duarte Sánchez and attacker Luis Jesús Rioja González. Sánchez, with a rating of 7.05, has been a robust presence in the defence, while González, with a rating of 7.29, is the team's primary attacking force.

Recent Form

Atletico Madrid's recent form has been impressive, with four consecutive wins followed by a loss. They currently hold the 4th position in the league with 19 points. Alaves, however, is struggling at the 17th spot with just 8 points. Their recent form has been shaky, with two draws and three losses in their last five games.

Prediction

Given Atletico Madrid's superior form and home advantage, they are the clear favourites. The predictions indicate a 45% chance of a home win and a 45% chance of a draw, leaving Alaves with a slim 10% chance of victory. The poisson distribution also favours Atletico Madrid, with a 90% chance of scoring more goals.

In conclusion, while Alaves will put up a fight, the final prediction is a victory for Atletico Madrid. However, in the unpredictable world of football, nothing is certain until the final whistle.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

83%

17%

Attacking Potential

81%

19%

Defensive Potential

64%

36%

Poisson Distribution

84%

16%

Stregth H2H

80%

20%

Goals H2H

69%

31%

Wins the game

77%

23%

Atletico Madrid - Alaves Head to Head

21/04	Alaves	-	Atletico Madrid
29/10	Atletico Madrid	2 - 1	Alaves

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13