Atletico Madrid - Almeria

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

62'		3 - 0	Goal	Léo Baptistão
22'		3 - -1	Goal	Á. Correa	Marcos Llorente (Assist)
17'		2 - -1	Goal	Álvaro Morata	A. Griezmann (Assist)
6'		1 - -1	Goal disallowed: Offside
6'		1 - 0	Goal	A. Griezmann	Samuel Lino (Assist)

85'			In:	Álex Pozo	Out:	Arnau Puigmal
85'			In:	Adri Embarba	Out:	L. Ramazani
85'			In:	L. Robertone	Out:	I. Baba
75'			In:	Samuel Lino	Out:	Rodrigo Riquelme
75'			In:	Á. Correa	Out:	N. Molina
75'			In:	César Azpilicueta	Out:	J. Giménez
61'			In:	R. De Paul	Out:	Saúl
60'			In:	Álvaro Morata	Out:	M. Depay

Atletico Madrid - Almeria Predictions

Prediction: Atletico Madrid

Best odds: 1.26

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As the weekend approaches, all eyes turn to the Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano where Atletico Madrid will face off against Almeria in a clash that could solidify the hosts' position in the Champions League spots, while the visitors are desperate for points to escape the relegation zone. With predictions still up in the air, the outcome of this match could be influenced heavily by the performance of key players on both sides.

Key Players

Atletico Madrid's strong position in the league is not without reason; their squad boasts remarkable talent, including Memphis Depay, whose prowess upfront has been crucial. With a rating of 6.50, Depay has managed to put 3 shots on target and scored 2 goals, though his creative potential is yet to be fully unleashed, as indicated by his 2 key passes from 31 total.

Midfielder Marcos Llorente Moreno has been another cornerstone for Atletico, with a rating of 6.84. His contribution isn't just limited to defense; he's put 4 shots on target and recorded 2 goals, showcasing his versatility on the pitch.

Not to be overlooked, Rodrigo Riquelme Reche has been a consistent performer in midfield, with a rating of 6.94. His ability to break defenses with 3 key passes and add to the scoreline with 2 goals has made him an asset worth watching.

On the other side, Almeria may be struggling, but they have their own talents like defender Kaiky Fernandes Melo, who has a rating of 6.53 and has managed to find the back of the net once, a rare feat for a defender.

Defensive duties and occasional offensive forays are also the hallmark of Sergio Akieme Rodríguez, who has a rating of 6.67 and has attempted 5 shots, 4 of which were on target, resulting in 2 goals.

The most promising figure for Almeria is midfielder Sergio Arribas Calvo, with an impressive rating of 6.78. His attacking threat is evident from his 8 shots on target and a total of 5 goals, making him the one to watch for any potential upset against the Madrid side.

Recent Form

Atletico Madrid's recent form is imposing, with a record of 'WLWWW' in their last five matches, translating to a strong momentum that they will surely want to maintain. Almeria, however, paints a more concerning picture with a 'LLLLL' streak, indicating a dire need for a turnaround.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between these two teams suggests a competitive edge for Atletico Madrid. The previous encounter on April 16, 2023, saw Atletico clinch a 2-1 victory, while the match before that on January 15, 2023, ended in a 1-1 draw. These past results hint at Atletico Madrid's ability to edge out Almeria but also show that Almeria can put up a fight.

Prediction

Considering the current form of both teams and their recent encounters, the prediction leans heavily towards a win for Atletico Madrid. They have the home advantage, a solid track record, and key players like Memphis Depay, Marcos Llorente Moreno, and Rodrigo Riquelme Reche who are expected to make a significant impact.

Almeria will rely on the likes of Sergio Arribas Calvo to disrupt Atletico's rhythm and seek to exploit any weaknesses. However, given their precarious position at the bottom of the table and their recent form, it would take a monumental effort to secure points in Madrid.

The final prediction sees Atletico Madrid securing a comfortable victory, with a strong possibility of maintaining a clean sheet. The match is likely to underscore Atletico's ambitions for the season and further plunge Almeria into the relegation battle. Expect a tactical match where Atletico's quality and depth ultimately prevail.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

90%

10%

Attacking Potential

70%

30%

Defensive Potential

62%

38%

Poisson Distribution

86%

14%

Stregth H2H

71%

29%

Goals H2H

64%

36%

Wins the game

74%

26%

Atletico Madrid - Almeria Head to Head

24/02	Almeria	2 - 2	Atletico Madrid
10/12	Atletico Madrid	2 - 1	Almeria
16/04	Atletico Madrid	2 - 1	Almeria
15/01	Almeria	1 - 1	Atletico Madrid

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13