Atletico Madrid - Getafe

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• Substitutions

90'		4 - 4	Penalty	Borja Mayoral
87'		4 - 3	Goal	Óscar Rodríguez
86'		4 - 2	Goal	Óscar Rodríguez	Luis Milla (Assist)
69'		4 - 1	Penalty	A. Griezmann
63'		3 - 1	Goal	Álvaro Morata	Marcos Llorente (Assist)
53'		2 - 1	Goal	Borja Mayoral
45'		2 - 0	Goal	A. Griezmann	Rodrigo Riquelme (Assist)
44'		1 - 0	Goal	A. Griezmann	Rodrigo Riquelme (Assist)

90'		Hermoso	Roughing
83'		Óscar Rodríguez	Tripping
82'		Óscar Rodríguez	Tripping
68'		D. Suárez	Roughing
52'		Luis Milla	Tripping
38'		S. Savić	Elbowing
15'		S. Savić	Roughing

90'			In:	Diego Rico	Out:	José Ángel Carmona
90'			In:	G. Álvarez	Out:	O. Alderete
81'			In:	Marcos Llorente	Out:	N. Molina
81'			In:	Samuel Lino	Out:	Saúl
72'			In:	Jaime Mata	Out:	Óscar Rodríguez
57'			In:	R. De Paul	Out:	Álvaro Morata
46'			In:	Juan Iglesias	Out:	D. Suárez
40'			In:	M. Depay	Out:	César Azpilicueta

Atletico Madrid - Getafe Predictions

Prediction: Atletico Madrid or draw

Best odds: 1.37

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As the La Liga season heats up, the upcoming clash between Atletico Madrid and Getafe on a chilly Tuesday evening at Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano promises to be a riveting encounter. With predictions leaning heavily towards an Atletico victory, the stage is set for a match that could either solidify the home team's position in the Champions League spots or give the visitors an unexpected boost in morale and points.

Key Players to Watch

For Atletico Madrid, the spotlight will shine on Memphis Depay, whose performance this season has been notable with a rating of 6.50. Depay's ability to find the back of the net with 2 goals and his presence in the box with 6 shots on target will be crucial for the home side. In the midfield, the dynamic Marcos Llorente Moreno stands out, not only for his defensive work but also for his offensive contribution, tallying 2 goals and 6 key passes. Rodrigo Riquelme Reche, another midfielder, has shown his worth with a rating of 6.94, contributing 2 goals and an assist.

On the other side, Getafe will depend on the prowess of Carles Aleñá Castillo, a midfielder with a keen eye for creating opportunities, evidenced by his 11 key passes and 1 goal. In defense, Stefan Mitrović will be key to stifling Atletico's attacks, boasting a rating of 6.67 and contributing 1 goal as well. Upfront, Mason Will John Greenwood will be a vital asset for Getafe, with his ability to turn chances into goals, as indicated by his 4 shots on target and 1 goal.

Recent Form

Atletico Madrid's form has been somewhat inconsistent, with a recent pattern of 'LWWLW' in their last five games. However, their home record remains impeccable, having won all of their 7 home matches. Getafe's form, denoted by 'LWDWD', suggests resilience, especially in drawing matches. However, their away record leaves much to be desired, with no wins on the road so far.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between the two teams points towards Atletico's dominance. In their last meeting on February 4, 2023, the match ended in a 1-1 draw, while the encounter before that on August 15, 2022, saw Atletico Madrid triumph with a convincing 3-0 victory. These results contribute to the prediction that Atletico Madrid holds the upper hand in this fixture.

Prediction

Taking into account the recent form, key players' performance, and head-to-head history, the prediction for this match is strongly in favor of Atletico Madrid. The home team's strength at Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano is expected to play a significant role, and with key players like Memphis Depay and Marcos Llorente Moreno in fine form, Atletico Madrid is predicted to secure a victory.

Despite the fighting spirit shown by Getafe, especially through players like Carles Aleñá Castillo and Mason Will John Greenwood, the disparity in both teams' performances, particularly in away matches for Getafe, suggests a tough night for the visitors.

With a 45% chance of a home win and a 45% chance of a draw, the likelihood of an away win sits at a meager 10%. The poisson distribution further supports the home advantage, with a 77% to 23% split. The head-to-head record also favors Atletico Madrid with an 85% to 15% advantage.

In conclusion, the prediction for this match is a win for Atletico Madrid. The combination of their formidable home record, the striking prowess of their key players, and the historical advantage over Getafe makes them the favorites to come out on top in this La Liga encounter.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

47%

53%

Attacking Potential

46%

54%

Defensive Potential

44%

56%

Poisson Distribution

71%

29%

Stregth H2H

85%

15%

Goals H2H

67%

33%

Wins the game

60%

40%

Atletico Madrid - Getafe Head to Head

14/05	Getafe	-	Atletico Madrid
19/12	Atletico Madrid	3 - 3	Getafe
04/02	Atletico Madrid	1 - 1	Getafe
15/08	Getafe	0 - 3	Atletico Madrid

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13