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Atletico Madrid - Girona Predictions
As the La Liga season heats up, all eyes turn to the Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano in Madrid, where Atletico Madrid is set to clash with Girona on a sunny Saturday afternoon. With both teams battling for European spots, predictions are swaying in favor of a home win or draw, but with football, the unexpected is always around the corner.
Key Players to Watch Atletico Madrid's hopes may rest heavily on the shoulders of their attacking force. João Félix Sequeira, despite lacking recent ratings and specific stats, has been a crucial figure with a total of 6 goals this season. His ability to change the game is undeniable. Alongside him, Sergio Camello Pérez has a rating of 6.71, with 8 shots on target and a total of 14 shots, contributing 1 assist and 2 goals. His link-up play is vital, as evidenced by his 228 total passes and 13 key passes. Memphis Depay, with a rating of 6.79, is another name to watch. His attacking prowess has seen him take 18 shots, 7 on target, and score 4 goals, along with providing an assist.
For Girona, the defense might play as crucial a role as their attack. Valery Fernández Estrada stands out with a 6.67 rating, contributing 2 goals from the back. His defensive work is complemented by his passing ability, making 167 total passes and 5 key passes. Upfront, Cristhian Ricardo Stuani Curbelo is the man to watch. With a 6.80 rating, he's a significant threat, boasting 8 goals from 28 shots, 16 on target, and providing 2 assists. Lastly, Yan Bueno Couto, the highest-rated player with a 6.94, has been a revelation in defense, not only contributing 1 goal but also creating chances with 25 key passes from a whopping 908 total passes and delivering 7 assists.
Recent Form
Atletico Madrid's form has been a mixed bag with a recent pattern of LLWDW, indicating inconsistency. However, they've managed to secure 55 points, placing them 5th in the standings, with a strong home record of 13 wins out of 15 games. Girona, currently sitting at 3rd with 65 points, has shown a slightly better form with WLWLW, suggesting a resilient side capable of bouncing back after setbacks.Head-to-Head History
The head-to-head encounters between these two teams have been closely contested. The most recent match on January 3, 2024, saw a high-scoring affair where Girona edged out Atletico with a 4-3 victory. Before that, Atletico Madrid claimed a narrow 1-0 win on March 13, 2023, and a 2-1 victory on October 8, 2022, indicating a slight upper hand in recent matchups.Prediction
The stage is set for a thrilling encounter, with Atletico Madrid having the home advantage and a strong desire to break into the top four. The predictions see them with a slight edge, given their formidable home record and the presence of key players like João Félix and Memphis Depay. Girona, however, is not to be underestimated, as their third-place standing and players like Cristhian Stuani and Yan Couto can make a significant impact.Taking into account the recent form, head-to-head history, and the critical player matchups, the prediction leans towards a double chance of an Atletico Madrid win or draw. The poisson distribution and total percentage points also favor the home side, albeit marginally, with Atletico at 50.8% and Girona at 49.2%. Expect a tight match, with Atletico Madrid likely seizing control, but Girona's resilience and counter-attacking threat could make for a gripping La Liga fixture.
Prediction probabilities
Strength
Attacking Potential
Defensive Potential
Poisson Distribution
Stregth H2H
Goals H2H
Wins the game
Atletico Madrid - Girona Head to Head
| 13/04 | Atletico Madrid |
- | Girona |
| 03/01 | Girona |
4 - 3 | Atletico Madrid |
| 13/03 | Girona |
0 - 1 | Atletico Madrid |
| 08/10 | Atletico Madrid |
2 - 1 | Girona |
La Liga standings
| Rank | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 66 | 20 | 46 | 75 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 67 |
| 3 |
Girona
|
30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 62 | 36 | 26 | 65 |
| 4 |
Athletic Club
|
30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 56 |
| 5 |
Atletico Madrid
|
29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 55 |
| 6 |
Real Sociedad
|
30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 49 |
| 7 |
Real Betis
|
30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 |
Valencia
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 |
Osasuna
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 39 |
| 10 |
Villarreal
|
29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 38 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 |
| 12 |
Las Palmas
|
30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 37 |
| 13 |
Alaves
|
30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 |
Sevilla
|
30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 31 |
| 15 |
Mallorca
|
30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 31 |
| 16 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 30 |
| 17 |
Celta Vigo
|
30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 28 |
| 18 |
Cadiz
|
30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 25 |
| 19 |
Granada CF
|
29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 59 | -29 | 14 |
| 20 |
Almeria
|
30 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 13 |
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