Atletico Madrid - Las Palmas

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

87'		5 - 0	Goal	M. Depay	Rodrigo Riquelme (Assist)
62'		4 - 0	Penalty	Á. Correa
47'		3 - 0	Goal	Á. Correa
20'		2 - 0	Goal	Marcos Llorente	Á. Correa (Assist)
15'		1 - 0	Goal	Marcos Llorente

33'		Saúl	Roughing
28'		N. Molina	Tripping
4'		M. Perrone

81'			In:	M. El Haddadi	Out:	Pejiño
74'			In:	Sergi Cardona	Out:	D. Sinkgraven
71'			In:	Pablo Barrios	Out:	A. Vermeeren
64'			In:	Koke	Out:	R. De Paul
64'			In:	Marcos Llorente	Out:	M. Depay
64'			In:	N. Molina	Out:	A. Witsel
63'			In:	Samuel Lino	Out:	Rodrigo Riquelme
63'			In:	Koke	Out:	R. De Paul
63'			In:	Marcos Llorente	Out:	M. Depay
63'			In:	N. Molina	Out:	A. Witsel
59'			In:	Álex Suárez	Out:	J. Araujo
58'			In:	M. Perrone	Out:	Alberto Moleiro
58'			In:	Sandro Ramírez	Out:	Marc Cardona

Atletico Madrid - Las Palmas Predictions

Prediction: Atletico Madrid or draw

Best odds: 1.08

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As the bustling city of Madrid gears up for another electrifying La Liga encounter, the stage is set at the Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano for a clash that pits the formidable Atletico Madrid against the spirited Las Palmas. With predictions hinting at a potential win or draw for the home side, fans are eagerly anticipating how the match will unfold, especially considering the intriguing undercurrents of form and historical matchups.

Key Players

Atletico Madrid, sitting comfortably at 4th in the league with a Champions League spot in their grasp, will be relying heavily on their star players to cement their position. Memphis Depay, the attacker with a rating of 6.84, has been a consistent threat upfront, boasting 4 goals and an assist. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial in breaking down Las Palmas' defense.

In the backline, Nahuel Molina Lucero, also rated at 6.84, has been a defensive rock with 2 goals to his name, showcasing his threat on set-pieces. His dual role in defense and attack adds depth to Atletico's gameplay.

The midfield dynamism comes from Rodrigo Riquelme Reche, whose rating mirrors his teammates', and with 2 goals and 3 assists, his role in linking play cannot be overstated.

For Las Palmas, standing at 9th in the rankings, the spotlight falls on Cristian Ignacio Herrera Pérez, an attacker who, despite a rating of 6.56, could be the wildcard for his team. With precise passing and a goal to his tally, he could prove pivotal.

The midfield support comes from Benito Ramírez del Toro, with a rating of 6.61 and an eye for crucial passes, and Sory Kaba, an attacker who brings versatility and an additional goal threat to the side.

Recent Form

Atletico Madrid's form has been impressive, with a string of victories marked by a single loss in their last five outings (WWWLW). Their home record is particularly daunting, with no losses and a strong goal difference. Las Palmas, on the other hand, have had a mixed bag of results with two wins, a draw, and two losses (DLWWL), suggesting they may find it challenging to navigate the robust Atletico defense.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record tilts in favor of Atletico Madrid, with the last encounter ending in a narrow 2-1 victory for Las Palmas on November 3, 2023. While this might give Las Palmas some confidence, the historical dominance of Atletico, especially at home, cannot be ignored.

Prediction

Taking into account the current form, key player performances, and historical data, the prediction leans towards a strong showing from Atletico Madrid. The poisson distribution suggests a 69% chance of scoring for the home team against Las Palmas' 31%, further solidifying Atletico's position as favorites.

The advice from the pundits is a 'Double chance: Atletico Madrid or draw', with a 45% chance for both a win and a draw for the home side, and only a 10% chance for an away victory. It's expected that Atletico Madrid will control the game, leveraging their home advantage and the formidable form of players like Memphis Depay, Nahuel Molina Lucero, and Rodrigo Riquelme Reche.

In conclusion, while football always has room for surprises, the prediction is a win for Atletico Madrid, with a sizeable chance of a draw. Las Palmas will need to bring their best game and hope their key players can make a significant impact to upset the odds. The stage is set for an exciting match, and all eyes will be on the Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano come Saturday.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

50%

50%

Attacking Potential

40%

60%

Defensive Potential

50%

50%

Poisson Distribution

69%

31%

Stregth H2H

80%

20%

Goals H2H

83%

17%

Wins the game

62%

38%

Atletico Madrid - Las Palmas Head to Head

17/02	Atletico Madrid	5 - 0	Las Palmas
03/11	Las Palmas	2 - 1	Atletico Madrid

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13