Atletico Madrid - Rayo Vallecano

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

90'		4 - 1	Goal	M. Depay	A. Griezmann (Assist)
81'		3 - 1	Goal disallowed: Offside
81'		3 - 2	Goal	M. Depay
43'		2 - 2	Goal	Álvaro García	Pep Chavarría (Assist)
42'		2 - 1	Goal	Álvaro García	Pep Chavarría (Assist)
36'		2 - 0	Goal	Reinildo	Rodrigo Riquelme (Assist)
35'		1 - 0	Goal	Reinildo	Rodrigo Riquelme (Assist)

61'		Isi Palazón	Tripping
38'		Kike Pérez	Holding

84'			In:	Sergio Camello	Out:	R. Falcao
76'			In:	Isi Palazón	Out:	Jorge de Frutos
76'			In:	Álvaro García	Out:	Ó. Trejo
70'			In:	Saúl	Out:	Koke
65'			In:	Kike Pérez	Out:	Miguel Crespo
65'			In:	A. Rațiu	Out:	I. Balliu
58'			In:	Rodrigo Riquelme	Out:	Samuel Lino
58'			In:	Marcos Llorente	Out:	R. De Paul
58'			In:	Á. Correa	Out:	A. Griezmann
46'			In:	A. Vermeeren	Out:	N. Molina

Atletico Madrid - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Prediction: Atletico Madrid or draw

Best odds: 1.12

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As the vibrant city of Madrid prepares for an enthralling La Liga clash at the Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano, predictions are favoring a triumph for the home side, Atletico Madrid, in their upcoming encounter against Rayo Vallecano. With both teams gearing up for the 20th round of the regular season on a Wednesday night, the spotlight shines on the potential outcome of this match, which could see Atletico Madrid solidifying their position for European competition next season.

Key Players to Watch

Atletico Madrid's hopes for victory rest on the shoulders of their attacking talent, Memphis Depay, whose performance this season has been marked by a rating of 6.68. With his precision in front of goal, Depay has managed to put 5 shots on target from a total of 12, contributing to his tally of 2 goals. Another forward, Sergio Camello Pérez, has shown promising form with a rating of 6.77, 7 shots on target, and 2 goals to his name, alongside a valuable assist. Camello Pérez will be pivotal in breaking down the opposition's defense.

Not to be overlooked, Nahuel Molina Lucero, a defender with an impressive rating of 6.80, has proven to be an asset both in defense and attack. Molina Lucero has not only been solid at the back but has also contributed 2 goals and an assist this season. His contributions can be explored further on his player profile.

On the other side, Rayo Vallecano's midfielder, Enrique Pérez Muñoz, has been a consistent performer with a rating of 6.56. Despite the team's struggles, he has managed to create chances and will be crucial in the midfield battle. In the attacking department, Jorge de Frutos Sebastián and the experienced Radamel Falcao García Zárate, both with ratings over 6.60, will be the main threats to Atletico's defense. Their ability to convert chances will be key to Vallecano's chances of an upset.

Recent Form

Atletico Madrid's recent form has been a mixed bag with two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five games. However, their home record this season is formidable, with 9 wins out of 10 matches. This solid performance at home is a strong indicator of their ability to secure points when playing on familiar turf.

Rayo Vallecano, sitting at 13th in the league, has had a challenging season, with their last five games resulting in two wins, two losses, and a draw. Their away form has been slightly better than their home performances, which might give them a glimmer of hope as they travel to face Atletico.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two teams suggests a clear advantage for Atletico Madrid. In their last meeting on August 28, 2023, Atletico Madrid decimated Rayo Vallecano with a resounding 7-0 victory. The previous encounters also favor Atletico, with a 2-1 win and a 1-1 draw, showing their dominance in this matchup.

Prediction

Taking into account the current form of both teams, their key players, and historical encounters, the prediction leans heavily towards an Atletico Madrid victory. The home side's attacking prowess, led by Memphis Depay and Sergio Camello Pérez, combined with their solid home record, makes them the favorites.

The predictions suggest a "Double chance: Atletico Madrid or draw," with a 45% chance for a home win and another 45% for a draw, leaving only a 10% probability for an away victory. The advice leans towards Atletico Madrid securing the win or at least coming away with a point.

In conclusion, while Rayo Vallecano will put up a fight, the likelihood of an upset seems slim. Expect Atletico Madrid to emerge from this clash with a positive result, further cementing their spot for European competition next season. The final prediction is a strong endorsement for Atletico Madrid to either win or draw in what promises to be an exciting match under the lights in Madrid.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

71%

29%

Attacking Potential

83%

17%

Defensive Potential

36%

64%

Poisson Distribution

62%

38%

Stregth H2H

93%

7%

Goals H2H

87%

13%

Wins the game

72%

28%

Atletico Madrid - Rayo Vallecano Head to Head

31/01	Atletico Madrid	2 - 1	Rayo Vallecano
28/08	Rayo Vallecano	0 - 7	Atletico Madrid
09/04	Rayo Vallecano	1 - 2	Atletico Madrid
18/10	Atletico Madrid	1 - 1	Rayo Vallecano

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13