Barcelona - Almeria

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

83'		3 - 2	Goal	Sergi Roberto	R. Lewandowski (Assist)
71'		2 - 2	Goal	Edgar González
60'		2 - 1	Goal	Sergi Roberto	Raphinha (Assist)
41'		1 - 1	Goal	Léo Baptistão	Sergio Arribas (Assist)
33'		1 - 0	Goal	Raphinha

90'		R. Araujo	Roughing
85'		I. Baba	Elbowing
57'		D. Lopy	Holding
21'		A. Christensen	Foul
16'		Raphinha	Holding
15'		Raphinha	Holding
5'		Álex Pozo	Foul

78'			In:	Léo Baptistão	Out:	Lázaro
78'			In:	L. Ramazani	Out:	Adri Embarba
77'			In:	Léo Baptistão	Out:	Lázaro
77'			In:	L. Ramazani	Out:	Adri Embarba
76'			In:	Raphinha	Out:	Lamine Yamal
67'			In:		Out:	Oriol Romeu
64'			In:	Álex Pozo	Out:	Houboulang Mendes
46'			In:	A. Christensen	Out:	J. Koundé
46'			In:	João Félix	Out:	Ferran Torres

Barcelona - Almeria Predictions

Prediction: Barcelona

Best odds: 1.17

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In an intriguing La Liga clash set to unfold at Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys, the home side Barcelona, currently sitting at the fourth spot, will take on the struggling Almeria, who are rooted to the bottom of the table. With predictions heavily favoring the Catalan giants, let's delve into the vital stats and key players that could shape the outcome of this midweek fixture.

Key Players - Barcelona

Barcelona's resilience at home has been a cornerstone of their campaign, and certain individuals have been pivotal in their performances. Sergi Roberto, with a rating of 6.75, has been a versatile figure in defense, contributing to the team's solid backline. Although not prolific in front of goal, his solitary goal and disciplined passing (114 total passes) show his reliability.

In the midfield, Fermín López Martín has been a revelation, with a rating of 6.83. His ability to break up play and initiate attacks is evident from his 174 passes and 4 key passes, adding a goal to his name as well.

Upfront, Ferran Torres has been the man to watch. With a rating of 6.92, Torres has been a consistent threat with 3 goals from 11 shots on target. His contribution is not just in goals, as he's also been a creative force with 16 key passes.

Key Players - Almeria

Despite Almeria's struggles, there are glimmers of hope in their squad. Defender Kaiky Fernandes Melo, rated at 6.53, has shown promise with his defensive duties and even chipped in with a goal.

Another defensive stalwart, Sergio Akieme, with a rating of 6.67, has been a key figure at the back, making 303 passes and creating 8 key passes, while also scoring twice.

Leading the attack, Largie Ramazani stands out with a rating of 6.78. His 4 assists and 12 key passes have been crucial for Almeria, even as they fight to climb out of the relegation zone. Ramazani's ability to find the back of the net and create opportunities will be essential if Almeria are to pull off a surprise.

Recent Form

Barcelona's recent form has been impressive, with their last five games reading WDWWL. Their ability to grind out results has kept them in contention for a Champions League spot. Almeria, on the other hand, are in dire straits with a form line of LDLLL, desperately needing a turnaround to improve their survival chances.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head encounters tell a story of Barcelona's dominance, with the most recent match on November 5, 2022, ending in a 2-0 victory for the Blaugrana. However, Almeria managed to secure a win in their last home game against Barcelona, with a narrow 1-0 scoreline on February 26, 2023. This history suggests that while Barcelona has the upper hand, Almeria has shown they can cause an upset.

Prediction

The predictions are clear-cut, with Barcelona being the overwhelming favorites. The stats back up this claim, with a 50% chance of a home win and a staggering 91% form rating compared to Almeria's 9%. Barcelona's attack and defense ratings both stand at 67, doubling Almeria's 33 in each department. The poisson distribution also leans heavily towards Barcelona with 89% against Almeria's 11%.

Given these factors, the prediction is a comfortable win for Barcelona. The advice suggests backing Barcelona as the winner, with an expectation of a high-scoring affair given the 80% goals percent home rating for the Catalans. The total percent home of 79 further cements the belief that Barcelona will secure all three points.

In summary, while football always has room for surprises, the data points to a match where Barcelona will likely extend their dominance and further solidify their position in the league, leaving Almeria to continue their struggle at the foot of the table.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

80%

20%

Attacking Potential

70%

30%

Defensive Potential

50%

50%

Poisson Distribution

82%

18%

Stregth H2H

80%

20%

Goals H2H

80%

20%

Wins the game

74%

26%

Barcelona - Almeria Head to Head

14/05	Almeria	-	Barcelona
20/12	Barcelona	3 - 2	Almeria
26/02	Almeria	1 - 0	Barcelona
05/11	Barcelona	2 - 0	Almeria

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13