Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

50'		2 - 0	Goal	Álex Grimaldo	N. Tella (Assist)
18'		1 - 0	Goal	J. Stanišić	R. Andrich (Assist)

83'		L. Hrádecký	Delay of game
77'		A. Adli	Tripping
64'		E. Tapsoba	Roughing
62'		L. Goretzka	Roughing
36'		S. Boey	Roughing

82'			In:	A. Adli	Out:	J. Hofmann
81'			In:	J. Musiala	Out:	E. Choupo-Moting
81'			In:	S. Boey	Out:	Raphaël Guerreiro
71'			In:	L. Goretzka	Out:	M. Tel
65'			In:	N. Tella	Out:	J. Frimpong
60'			In:		Out:	T. Müller
60'			In:	D. Upamecano	Out:	J. Kimmich

Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich Predictions

Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen or draw

Best odds: 1.60

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As the Bundesliga gears up for a titanic clash at the BayArena, all eyes are set on the top-of-the-table showdown between Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich. With predictions leaning towards a Leverkusen advantage, suggesting a "Double chance: Bayer Leverkusen or draw", the anticipation for this encounter is palpable. Will Leverkusen cement their lead, or can Bayern close the gap in a league that's been nothing short of exhilarating?

Key Players

For Bayer Leverkusen, the spotlight shines on Adam Hložek, whose forward prowess has been marked by a rating of 6.71 and a precise shot-on-target rate. Midfield dynamo Nathan Adewale Temitayo Tella boasts a rating of 6.73, demonstrating his ability to transition play effectively. The attack is further bolstered by Amine Adli, whose 6.94 rating and three assists showcase his significant contribution to the team's offensive might.

Bayern Munich counters with their own set of aces, including Jean-Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting, whose rating of 6.93 and impressive goal tally make him a constant threat. On the defensive end, Raphaël Adelino José Guerreiro stands out with a 6.96 rating, blending defensive solidity with offensive support. The backline is anchored by Matthijs de Ligt, whose 6.96 rating is a testament to his reliability and tactical acumen.

Recent Form

Bayer Leverkusen's recent form reads like a dream for any manager, with an unbeaten streak that includes victories in their last three matches. Their impressive run has been characterized by a potent attack and a fortress-like defense, especially at home.

Bayern Munich, on the other hand, has experienced a slight wobble with two losses in their last five games. Despite this, their attacking flair remains undisputed, having notched up an impressive number of goals this season, a testament to their offensive capabilities.

Head-to-Head History

The history between these two giants offers a mixed narrative. Their most recent encounter on September 15, 2023, ended in a 2-2 stalemate, with Bayern Munich hosting. Before that, on March 19, 2023, Leverkusen edged out a 2-1 victory at home, suggesting that home advantage could be a significant factor. However, the meeting on September 30, 2022, saw Bayern Munich triumph with a commanding 4-0 win, indicating their potential to dominate on their day.

Prediction

Considering the current form, home advantage, and the weight of predictions, the scales seem to tip slightly in favor of Bayer Leverkusen. The prediction metrics underscore this, with a 51.5% total percent home advantage against Bayern's 48.5%. The key battle will likely be Leverkusen's defense against Bayern's attack, and if the former can hold firm, Leverkusen may very well secure a result.

The prediction suggests a high probability of a win or draw for Bayer Leverkusen, with a significant chance that the home side will maintain their unbeaten streak. The head-to-head history also indicates a tight contest, but Leverkusen's current form and the support of the BayArena crowd could be the deciding factors in this Bundesliga heavyweight bout.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

52%

48%

Attacking Potential

50%

50%

Defensive Potential

67%

33%

Poisson Distribution

65%

35%

Stregth H2H

38%

62%

Goals H2H

32%

68%

Wins the game

51%

49%

Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich Head to Head

10/02	Bayer Leverkusen	3 - 0	Bayern Munich
15/09	Bayern Munich	2 - 2	Bayer Leverkusen
19/03	Bayer Leverkusen	2 - 1	Bayern Munich
30/09	Bayern Munich	4 - 0	Bayer Leverkusen

Bundesliga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayer Leverkusen	28	24	4	0	69	19	50	76
2	Bayern Munich	28	19	3	6	80	36	44	60
3	VfB Stuttgart	28	19	3	6	64	34	30	60
4	RB Leipzig	28	16	5	7	64	33	31	53
5	Borussia Dortmund	28	15	8	5	55	33	22	53
6	Eintracht Frankfurt	28	10	12	6	43	36	7	42
7	FC Augsburg	28	9	9	10	45	46	-1	36
8	1899 Hoffenheim	28	10	6	12	48	53	-5	36
9	SC Freiburg	28	10	6	12	40	52	-12	36
10	FC Heidenheim	28	8	9	11	41	49	-8	33
11	Werder Bremen	28	8	7	13	36	44	-8	31
12	Union Berlin	28	8	5	15	25	43	-18	29
13	Borussia Monchengladbach	27	6	10	11	46	53	-7	28
14	VfL Wolfsburg	27	7	7	13	33	44	-11	28
15	Vfl Bochum	28	5	11	12	33	58	-25	26
16	FSV Mainz 05	28	4	11	13	26	46	-20	23
17	1.FC Köln	28	4	10	14	23	49	-26	22
18	SV Darmstadt 98	28	2	8	18	28	71	-43	14