Bologna - Fiorentina

Regular Season - 21
Kickoff: 2024-02-14 08:00

Who will win?

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Bologna - Fiorentina Predictions

Prediction: Bologna or draw
Best odds: 1.39

As the midweek clash at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara draws near, Serie A enthusiasts are on the edge of their seats, anticipating a riveting encounter between Bologna and Fiorentina. With both teams neck-and-neck in the league standings, the outcome of this match could tip the scales in the race for European qualification. Will the home advantage for Bologna prevail, or will Fiorentina's resolve see them through? Let's delve into the key players and historical data to forecast what we can expect from this tantalizing fixture.

Key Players

Bologna's resilience at home has been notably bolstered by the defensive prowess of Charalampos Lykogiannis, whose rating of 6.71 has been a testament to his steadfast performances. Alongside him, the midfield maestro Nikola Moro has been instrumental, with a rating of 6.75, contributing 9 key passes and maintaining an impressive pass total of 415. Not to be outdone, Lorenzo De Silvestri has added a touch of offensive threat from the back, scoring twice this season.

Fiorentina's attack could pose a significant threat, led by the likes of Luka Jović, who has netted 3 goals thus far. Supporting him in the attacking third is M'Bala Nzola, with a rating of 6.68, who has not only scored but also provided 2 assists. In midfield, the industrious Rolando Mandragora has been a key figure, boasting a rating of 6.73, 4 shots on target, and an assist to his name.

Recent Form

Bologna's recent form has been a mixed bag, with a pattern of DLDLW in their last five games. However, their home record is impressive, with 7 wins out of 10 matches played on their turf. Fiorentina, sitting just one point and one place above Bologna, have had a slightly rocky run, with their last five outings resulting in LLDLW. The narrow margins in the league table suggest that both teams are evenly matched, making the upcoming fixture all the more unpredictable.

Head-to-Head History

Looking at the head-to-head encounters, the history between these two sides has been fairly balanced. The most recent match on January 9, 2024, ended in a goalless draw at Fiorentina's home ground. Prior to that, on November 12, 2023, Fiorentina edged out Bologna with a 2-1 victory. However, Bologna claimed a win in the previous meeting on February 5, 2023, with a scoreline of 2-1, mirroring the result of their September 11, 2022, clash at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara.

Prediction

The anticipation for this match is high, and the outcome is anything but certain. With both teams showing comparable form and a head-to-head record that offers no clear superiority, the prediction for this match leans towards a tightly contested draw. However, considering Bologna's strong home form, they may have a slight edge. The key battle will likely be between Bologna's defense, spearheaded by Lykogiannis and De Silvestri, and Fiorentina's attacking force, with Nzola and Mandragora playing pivotal roles.

In light of the available data and considering the stakes for both teams, a score draw seems to be the most plausible outcome. Expect a strategic match, with both sides eager to secure a point, if not all three. The final whistle might just see the scoreboard reading an equal number of goals for Bologna and Fiorentina.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

67%
33%

Attacking Potential

57%
43%

Defensive Potential

53%
47%

Poisson Distribution

71%
29%

Stregth H2H

50%
50%

Goals H2H

50%
50%

Wins the game

58%
42%

Bologna - Fiorentina Head to Head

Serie A standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter players, news and schedule Inter 25 21 3 1 63 12 51 66
2 Juventus players, news and schedule Juventus 26 17 6 3 41 19 22 57
3 AC Milan players, news and schedule AC Milan 26 16 5 5 50 32 18 53
4 Bologna players, news and schedule Bologna 26 13 9 4 39 23 16 48
5 Atalanta players, news and schedule Atalanta 25 14 4 7 48 24 24 46
6 AS Roma players, news and schedule AS Roma 26 13 5 8 48 32 16 44
7 Lazio players, news and schedule Lazio 25 12 4 9 31 26 5 40
8 Fiorentina players, news and schedule Fiorentina 25 11 5 9 37 29 8 38
9 Napoli players, news and schedule Napoli 25 10 7 8 34 29 5 37
10 Torino players, news and schedule Torino 26 9 9 8 25 25 0 36
11 Monza players, news and schedule Monza 26 9 9 8 27 30 -3 36
12 Genoa players, news and schedule Genoa 26 8 9 9 28 31 -3 33
13 Empoli players, news and schedule Empoli 26 6 7 13 22 40 -18 25
14 Lecce players, news and schedule Lecce 26 5 9 12 24 43 -19 24
15 Udinese players, news and schedule Udinese 26 3 14 9 25 40 -15 23
16 Frosinone players, news and schedule Frosinone 26 6 5 15 34 55 -21 23
17 Sassuolo players, news and schedule Sassuolo 25 5 5 15 31 48 -17 20
18 Verona players, news and schedule Verona 26 4 8 14 23 36 -13 20
19 Cagliari players, news and schedule Cagliari 26 4 8 14 24 47 -23 20
20 Salernitana players, news and schedule Salernitana 26 2 7 17 20 53 -33 13