Bologna - Fiorentina

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

90'		3 - -1	Goal	J. Odgaard	C. Lykogiannis (Assist)
36'		2 - -1	Goal disallowed: Offside
36'		2 - 0	Goal	R. Orsolini
12'		1 - 0	Goal	R. Orsolini	L. Ferguson (Assist)

90'		C. Biraghi	Unsportsmanlike conduct
90'		L. Beltrán
90'		S. Posch	Unsportsmanlike conduct
59'		R. Freuler	Tripping
34'		N. Milenković	Holding

88'			In:	V. Kristiansen	Out:	R. Calafiori
88'			In:	J. Zirkzee	Out:	J. Odgaard
83'			In:	R. Mandragora	Out:	A. Duncan
83'			In:	Arthur	Out:	M. Lopez
79'			In:	R. Orsolini	Out:	D. Ndoye
79'			In:	A. Saelemaekers	Out:	C. Lykogiannis
78'			In:	A. Saelemaekers	Out:	C. Lykogiannis
71'			In:	N. González	Out:	M'Bala Nzola
70'			In:	M. Aebischer	Out:	G. Fabbian
57'			In:	G. Bonaventura	Out:	L. Beltrán
56'			In:	G. Bonaventura	Out:	L. Beltrán

Bologna - Fiorentina Predictions

Prediction: Bologna or draw

Best odds: 1.39

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As the midweek clash at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara draws near, Serie A enthusiasts are on the edge of their seats, anticipating a riveting encounter between Bologna and Fiorentina. With both teams neck-and-neck in the league standings, the outcome of this match could tip the scales in the race for European qualification. Will the home advantage for Bologna prevail, or will Fiorentina's resolve see them through? Let's delve into the key players and historical data to forecast what we can expect from this tantalizing fixture.

Key Players

Bologna's resilience at home has been notably bolstered by the defensive prowess of Charalampos Lykogiannis, whose rating of 6.71 has been a testament to his steadfast performances. Alongside him, the midfield maestro Nikola Moro has been instrumental, with a rating of 6.75, contributing 9 key passes and maintaining an impressive pass total of 415. Not to be outdone, Lorenzo De Silvestri has added a touch of offensive threat from the back, scoring twice this season.

Fiorentina's attack could pose a significant threat, led by the likes of Luka Jović, who has netted 3 goals thus far. Supporting him in the attacking third is M'Bala Nzola, with a rating of 6.68, who has not only scored but also provided 2 assists. In midfield, the industrious Rolando Mandragora has been a key figure, boasting a rating of 6.73, 4 shots on target, and an assist to his name.

Recent Form

Bologna's recent form has been a mixed bag, with a pattern of DLDLW in their last five games. However, their home record is impressive, with 7 wins out of 10 matches played on their turf. Fiorentina, sitting just one point and one place above Bologna, have had a slightly rocky run, with their last five outings resulting in LLDLW. The narrow margins in the league table suggest that both teams are evenly matched, making the upcoming fixture all the more unpredictable.

Head-to-Head History

Looking at the head-to-head encounters, the history between these two sides has been fairly balanced. The most recent match on January 9, 2024, ended in a goalless draw at Fiorentina's home ground. Prior to that, on November 12, 2023, Fiorentina edged out Bologna with a 2-1 victory. However, Bologna claimed a win in the previous meeting on February 5, 2023, with a scoreline of 2-1, mirroring the result of their September 11, 2022, clash at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara.

Prediction

The anticipation for this match is high, and the outcome is anything but certain. With both teams showing comparable form and a head-to-head record that offers no clear superiority, the prediction for this match leans towards a tightly contested draw. However, considering Bologna's strong home form, they may have a slight edge. The key battle will likely be between Bologna's defense, spearheaded by Lykogiannis and De Silvestri, and Fiorentina's attacking force, with Nzola and Mandragora playing pivotal roles.

In light of the available data and considering the stakes for both teams, a score draw seems to be the most plausible outcome. Expect a strategic match, with both sides eager to secure a point, if not all three. The final whistle might just see the scoreboard reading an equal number of goals for Bologna and Fiorentina.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

67%

33%

Attacking Potential

57%

43%

Defensive Potential

53%

47%

Poisson Distribution

71%

29%

Stregth H2H

50%

50%

Goals H2H

50%

50%

Wins the game

58%

42%

Bologna - Fiorentina Head to Head

14/02	Bologna	2 - 0	Fiorentina
09/01	Fiorentina	0 - 0	Bologna
12/11	Fiorentina	2 - 1	Bologna
05/02	Fiorentina	1 - 2	Bologna
11/09	Bologna	2 - 1	Fiorentina

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15