Bologna - Lecce

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

82'		4 - 0	Goal	J. Odgaard
49'		3 - 0	Goal	R. Orsolini	R. Calafiori (Assist)
27'		2 - 0	Goal	R. Orsolini	S. Posch (Assist)
5'		1 - 0	Goal	S. Beukema

74'		R. Oudin	Roughing
41'		P. Almqvist	Elbowing
34'		R. Calafiori	Tripping

78'			In:	L. Ferguson	Out:	N. Moro
77'			In:	R. Oudin	Out:	H. Rafia
67'			In:	R. Freuler	Out:	O. El Azzouzi
61'			In:	R. Orsolini	Out:	D. Ndoye
61'			In:	J. Zirkzee	Out:	J. Odgaard
61'			In:	S. Posch	Out:	L. De Silvestri
51'			In:	N. Krstović	Out:	R. Piccoli
48'			In:	M. Kaba	Out:	A. Blin
46'			In:	A. Gallo	Out:	P. Dorgu
46'			In:	M. Kaba	Out:	A. Blin
38'			In:	L. Banda	Out:	N. Sansone

Bologna - Lecce Predictions

Prediction: Bologna or draw

Best odds: 1.20

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As the weekend approaches, Serie A enthusiasts are gearing up for a showdown that promises to be a captivating encounter. Bologna is set to host Lecce at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, and predictions are already hinting at a potential outcome that could see the home side triumph or at least secure a draw. But as with any match, the devil is in the details, and key players, recent form, and history between the teams will all play a crucial role in shaping the final result.

Key Players

For Bologna, attention turns to Charalampos Lykogiannis, whose defensive prowess, with a rating of 6.73, has been vital. With 245 total passes and a goal to his name, he is a player who could influence the game from the backline. In midfield, Nikola Moro, with a rating of 6.81, has shown his ability to dictate the pace of the game, contributing with 341 passes and a goal. Finally, Lorenzo De Silvestri brings experience and stability to the defense, also chipping in with a goal this season.

Lecce, on the other hand, will look towards Hamza Rafia to make an impact. The midfielder, rated at 6.61, has the ability to create chances, as shown by his 285 passes and a goal. Federico Di Francesco, despite a rating of 6.70, could prove to be a wildcard with his attacking instincts. Lastly, Joan Gonzàlez Cañellas is the one to watch in the midfield battle, with his assist and a goal reflecting his contribution to the team's forward thrust.

Recent Form

Bologna's form has been a mixed bag with a recent record of DLDLW, indicating some inconsistency. However, their home record is impressive, with 7 wins out of 10, highlighting Stadio Renato Dall'Ara as a fortress. Lecce's form is less inspiring, with a string of LLLDL suggesting they're struggling to find their rhythm, especially away from home where they've yet to secure a win this season.

Head-to-Head History

Looking at the history between the two sides, Bologna seems to have the upper hand. The last three encounters have ended in a win and a draw for Bologna, with scores of 1-1 on 2023-12-03, a thrilling 3-2 victory on 2023-06-04, and a comfortable 2-0 win on 2022-10-23. This historical edge could play a psychological role in the upcoming match.

Prediction

Taking into account the form of both teams, their home and away records, and the head-to-head history, the prediction leans towards a Bologna win or draw. With a 45% chance for both a home win and a draw, and only a 10% chance for an away win, the odds are in favor of Bologna. The key players mentioned earlier could be decisive in tilting the balance, and with Bologna's form at home, they are expected to have the upper hand.

In conclusion, while football always has the potential for surprises, the data suggests that Bologna is the safer bet in this encounter. Lecce will have to defy expectations and their poor away record to come away with something from the match. Fans will be looking to the likes of Charalampos Lykogiannis and Nikola Moro to lead Bologna to victory, while Lecce will hope Hamza Rafia and Joan Gonzàlez Cañellas can inspire a turn in fortunes. All eyes will be on Stadio Renato Dall'Ara come Sunday to see how this prediction unfolds.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

56%

44%

Attacking Potential

62%

38%

Defensive Potential

47%

53%

Poisson Distribution

78%

22%

Stregth H2H

93%

7%

Goals H2H

63%

37%

Wins the game

67%

34%

Bologna - Lecce Head to Head

11/02	Bologna	4 - 0	Lecce
03/12	Lecce	1 - 1	Bologna
04/06	Lecce	2 - 3	Bologna
23/10	Bologna	2 - 0	Lecce

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15