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Regular Season - 32
Kickoff: 2024-04-13 16:45
Who will win?
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Bologna - Monza Predictions
Prediction: Bologna or draw
Best odds: 1.17
As the Italian Serie A approaches its 32nd round on a sunny Saturday at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, the stakes are high with Bologna poised to cement their Champions League ambitions against a resilient Monza side. The predictions hint at a favorable outcome for the home team, but in football, the ball is round and anything can happen. Will Bologna solidify their top-four standing, or can Monza cause an upset? Let's dive into the key players and stats that could shape this encounter.
Key Players - Bologna
The home team's midfield dynamo, Oussama El Azzouzi, has been a revelation this season, boasting a solid 6.68 rating and contributing to both defense and offense with 236 total passes and a key goal to his name. Alongside him, Nikola Moro stands out with a 6.72 rating, demonstrating his midfield prowess through 447 passes and creating 10 key opportunities for his teammates. At the back, Charalampos Lykogiannis has been a rock with a 6.73 rating, contributing to both the defense with his interceptions and the attack with 3 shots on target and a goal.Key Players - Monza
Monza's frontline is spearheaded by Samuele Vignato, a promising attacker with a 6.64 rating, who has shown his potential with 4 shots on target this season. Alongside him, Mirko Marić has been a threat upfront, with a 6.72 rating and a knack for creating chances. But the man to watch is Andrea Petagna, whose 6.83 rating is justified by his 8 shots on target, 235 passes, and a crucial goal, making him a pivotal figure in Monza's attacking plays.Recent Form
Bologna's recent form is impressive, with four wins in their last five matches, indicating a strong momentum going into this match. Their home record is particularly formidable, with 12 wins out of 16 games at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Monza, sitting in the middle of the table, has been less consistent but has shown they can pull off victories, as evidenced by three wins in their last five outings.Head-to-Head History
The head-to-head encounters between these two teams have been evenly contested. The most recent match on September 28, 2023, ended in a goalless draw at Monza's home ground. Before that, on February 12, 2023, Monza secured a narrow 1-0 victory at Bologna. However, Bologna had the upper hand in the game before that, with a 2-1 win on October 31, 2022. This history suggests a tight match could be on the cards.Prediction
The predictions are leaning towards a Bologna win or draw, with a 61.5% total percent home advantage. The stats also favor Bologna, with a form rating of 57 against Monza's 43 and a defensive rating of 78, which is significantly higher than Monza's 22. However, the offensive stats are quite balanced, with Bologna only slightly edging out Monza.Taking into account both teams' recent form, key player performances, and historical matchups, the prediction is for a double chance: Bologna or draw. Expect a tight match, with Bologna likely to dominate possession and chances created, but Monza will not make it easy for them. The home advantage and Bologna's strong defensive record suggest they are the favorites to take all three points, but Monza's resilience could see them snatch a draw. The goal predictions suggest a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 goals for Bologna and under 1.5 for Monza.
In conclusion, this match is set to be a strategic battle, with Bologna looking to capitalize on their home form to secure a spot in the Champions League next season. Monza will aim to disrupt Bologna's plans and climb higher up the table. Fans should brace for a compelling match where every pass, tackle, and shot could be decisive.
Prediction probabilities
Strength
57%
43%
Attacking Potential
53%
47%
Defensive Potential
78%
22%
Poisson Distribution
81%
19%
Stregth H2H
50%
50%
Goals H2H
50%
50%
Wins the game
62%
39%
Bologna - Monza Head to Head
Serie A standings
| Rank | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 73 | 14 | 59 | 79 |
| 2 |
AC Milan
|
31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 60 | 34 | 26 | 68 |
| 3 |
Juventus
|
30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 59 |
| 4 |
Bologna
|
31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 58 |
| 5 |
AS Roma
|
31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 55 |
| 6 |
Atalanta
|
29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 50 |
| 7 |
Napoli
|
31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 48 |
| 8 |
Lazio
|
31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 46 |
| 9 |
Torino
|
31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 |
Fiorentina
|
29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 43 |
| 11 |
Monza
|
31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |
Genoa
|
30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 |
Lecce
|
31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 29 |
| 14 |
Udinese
|
30 | 4 | 16 | 10 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 28 |
| 15 |
Empoli
|
31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 |
Verona
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 27 |
| 17 |
Cagliari
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 27 |
| 18 |
Frosinone
|
31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 26 |
| 19 |
Sassuolo
|
31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 25 |
| 20 |
Salernitana
|
31 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 64 | -39 | 15 |
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