Borussia Dortmund - SC Freiburg

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

87'		3 - 0	Goal	N. Füllkrug	I. Maatsen (Assist)
45'		2 - 0	Goal	D. Malen	N. Füllkrug (Assist)
16'		1 - 0	Goal	D. Malen	N. Füllkrug (Assist)

74'		D. Malen	Delay of game
14'		J. Ryerson	Tripping

88'			In:	I. Maatsen	Out:	Mateu Morey
88'			In:	E. Can	Out:	M. Hummels
88'			In:	M. Reus	Out:	J. Sancho
80'			In:	J. Makengo	Out:	C. Günter
79'			In:	J. Ryerson	Out:	M. Wolf
79'			In:	R. Sallai	Out:	M. Philipp
66'			In:	J. Bynoe-Gittens	Out:	J. Brandt
59'			In:	V. Grifo	Out:	N. Weißhaupt
59'			In:	M. Gregoritsch	Out:	R. Doan
23'			In:	M. Gulde	Out:	A. Szalai

Borussia Dortmund - SC Freiburg Predictions

Prediction: Borussia Dortmund or draw

Best odds: 1.18

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As the lights of SIGNAL IDUNA PARK prepare to shine on another Bundesliga clash, fans eagerly anticipate the outcome between home side Borussia Dortmund and visitors SC Freiburg. With predictions hinting at a favorable tilt towards Dortmund, the question on everyone's lips is whether the Black and Yellows can solidify their spot for European glory or if Freiburg can upset the odds in this enthralling encounter.

Key Players to Watch

Borussia Dortmund's campaign has been a rollercoaster of highs and lows, but certain individuals have stood out with their performances. One such talent is Youssoufa Moukoko, whose agility and knack for finding the back of the net have been crucial. With a rating of 6.51, his precision in front of goal may just tip the scales in Dortmund's favor.

Not to be overlooked, Jamie Jermaine Bynoe-Gittens has proven himself as a dynamic attacker. With a rating of 6.83, his ability to create chances and his impressive tally of 7 shots on target this season will be pivotal against Freiburg's defense.

The experience of Mats Julian Hummels in the heart of Dortmund's defense cannot be understated. His rating of 6.95 reflects his defensive solidity and his unexpected offensive contributions, with 2 goals to his name from the backline.

On the other side, SC Freiburg relies on the likes of Merlin Röhl, a midfielder with a rating of 6.78 who brings creativity and a threat from distance with 7 shots on target this season. His contribution in the midfield battle will be essential for Freiburg's attempts to control the game.

Another key figure for the visitors is Noah Raphael Weißhaupt, whose vision and passing accuracy have earned him a rating of 6.78. With 1 goal and 1 assist, his link-up play could be a thorn in Dortmund's side.

Lastly, the industrious Ritsu Doan has been a consistent performer for Freiburg, with a rating of 6.85 and a total of 8 shots on target. His work rate and ability to find space in tight areas make him a player Dortmund must mark closely.

Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games showing a pattern of WWDDL. Currently sitting at 5th in the league with 33 points, they are in a fierce battle for European qualification spots.

SC Freiburg, on the other hand, has shown resilience with a form line of WDLWW. Their current 7th place standing, with 28 points, underscores a competitive spirit that could pose a challenge to Dortmund's ambitions.

Head-to-Head History

The history between these two teams adds an extra layer of intrigue to the match. In their last three encounters, Dortmund has been the dominant force, with victories of 4-2 on September 16, 2023, a commanding 5-1 win on February 4, 2023, and a 3-1 triumph on August 12, 2022. These results suggest a psychological edge for the home side, which they will look to exploit once again.

Prediction

Taking into account the current form of both teams, the key players likely to make an impact, and the historical precedence, the prediction leans towards a Borussia Dortmund win or a draw. The statistical analysis favors the home side with a total percent home of 68.8% against Freiburg's 31.2%. The poisson distribution also tips in favor of Dortmund, with a 67% chance of victory against Freiburg's 33%.

The match is expected to be a tight affair, with Dortmund's offensive prowess being slightly tempered by Freiburg's tactical discipline. However, the double chance of a Borussia Dortmund win or draw seems the most prudent advice for those looking to predict the outcome.

In conclusion, as the teams line up under the floodlights, the anticipation for a thrilling Bundesliga encounter is palpable. With the stage set and key players like Youssoufa Moukoko and Ritsu Doan ready to shine, all eyes will be on SIGNAL IDUNA PARK to see if Dortmund can edge closer to their European dreams or if Freiburg can defy the odds and claim a vital away victory.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

73%

27%

Attacking Potential

61%

39%

Defensive Potential

85%

15%

Poisson Distribution

67%

33%

Stregth H2H

80%

20%

Goals H2H

72%

28%

Wins the game

73%

27%

Borussia Dortmund - SC Freiburg Head to Head

09/02	Borussia Dortmund	3 - 0	SC Freiburg
16/09	SC Freiburg	2 - 4	Borussia Dortmund
04/02	Borussia Dortmund	5 - 1	SC Freiburg
12/08	SC Freiburg	1 - 3	Borussia Dortmund

Bundesliga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayer Leverkusen	28	24	4	0	69	19	50	76
2	Bayern Munich	28	19	3	6	80	36	44	60
3	VfB Stuttgart	28	19	3	6	64	34	30	60
4	RB Leipzig	28	16	5	7	64	33	31	53
5	Borussia Dortmund	28	15	8	5	55	33	22	53
6	Eintracht Frankfurt	28	10	12	6	43	36	7	42
7	FC Augsburg	28	9	9	10	45	46	-1	36
8	1899 Hoffenheim	28	10	6	12	48	53	-5	36
9	SC Freiburg	28	10	6	12	40	52	-12	36
10	FC Heidenheim	28	8	9	11	41	49	-8	33
11	Werder Bremen	28	8	7	13	36	44	-8	31
12	Union Berlin	28	8	5	15	25	43	-18	29
13	Borussia Monchengladbach	27	6	10	11	46	53	-7	28
14	VfL Wolfsburg	27	7	7	13	33	44	-11	28
15	Vfl Bochum	28	5	11	12	33	58	-25	26
16	FSV Mainz 05	28	4	11	13	26	46	-20	23
17	1.FC Köln	28	4	10	14	23	49	-26	22
18	SV Darmstadt 98	28	2	8	18	28	71	-43	14