Borussia Dortmund - VfB Stuttgart

Regular Season - 28
Kickoff: 2024-04-06 14:30

Who will win?

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Votes: 0

Borussia Dortmund - VfB Stuttgart Predictions

Prediction: Borussia Dortmund or draw
Best odds: 1.49

As the Bundesliga season heats up, all eyes turn to SIGNAL IDUNA PARK where Borussia Dortmund is set to clash with VfB Stuttgart in what promises to be a pivotal match in the race for Champions League qualification. With predictions swaying slightly in favor of the home side, the question on everyone's mind is whether Dortmund can leverage their home advantage to surpass a Stuttgart side that has shown remarkable tenacity this season.

Key Players

For Borussia Dortmund, the spotlight falls on young Youssoufa Moukoko, who has been a revelation this season. With a rating of 6.70, his sharpshooting ability has seen him net 3 goals, and his presence on the pitch is sure to cause problems for the Stuttgart defense. Alongside him, the defensive stalwarts Niklas Süle and Mats Julian Hummels will be crucial in thwarting Stuttgart's attacks. Süle's rating of 6.91 and Hummels's 6.97 underscore their importance to Dortmund's backline.

VfB Stuttgart will rely on the prowess of Silas Katompa Mvumpa, who has a rating of 6.71 and has been involved in 3 goals and 1 assist. His agility and skill on the ball will be key in breaking down Dortmund's defense. Jamie Leweling, also with a rating of 6.71, will be another vital cog in Stuttgart's attacking machinery, having taken an impressive 15 shots on target this season. In defense, Josha Vagnoman stands out with a rating of 6.83 and will be essential in containing Dortmund's forwards.

Recent Form

Dortmund's recent form of 'DWDWW' paints a picture of a team finding its stride at a critical juncture of the season. They currently sit at 4th place with 41 points, a testament to their resilience and ability to grind out results. On the other hand, Stuttgart, occupying the 3rd spot with 46 points, has a form guide reading 'WWWWL', signaling a team that has been consistently gathering wins, though their latest outing ended in defeat.

Head-to-Head History

Looking at the head-to-head encounters provides a mixed bag of results. The previous match-up on December 6, 2023, saw Stuttgart securing a 2-0 victory over Dortmund. However, a further look back reveals a thumping 5-0 win for Dortmund on October 22, 2022. The history between these two sides suggests that matches are unpredictable, with both teams having their share of dominance.

Prediction

The prediction for this match is a delicate balance, with a slight edge given to Borussia Dortmund. The 'Double chance: Borussia Dortmund or draw' advice reflects the tight nature of this contest. The statistical breakdown gives Dortmund a 35% chance of winning, equal to the probability of a draw, while Stuttgart has a slightly lower 30% chance. The form, attacking, and defensive stats are all closely matched, but Dortmund's home advantage might just tip the scales.

Considering the recent form of both teams and their head-to-head record, this match is likely to be fiercely contested. However, the presence of key players like Youssoufa Moukoko, Niklas Süle, and Mats Julian Hummels for Dortmund, and Silas Katompa Mvumpa, Jamie Leweling, and Josha Vagnoman for Stuttgart, will be decisive.

In conclusion, expect a tight match with Dortmund leveraging their home support to secure at least a point. The prediction is a win or draw for Borussia Dortmund, but don't be surprised if Stuttgart manages to find the back of the net, making this a thrilling encounter for Bundesliga fans.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

52%
48%

Attacking Potential

48%
52%

Defensive Potential

55%
45%

Poisson Distribution

49%
51%

Stregth H2H

50%
50%

Goals H2H

61%
39%

Wins the game

53%
48%

Borussia Dortmund - VfB Stuttgart Head to Head

Bundesliga standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayer Leverkusen players, news and schedule Bayer Leverkusen 28 24 4 0 69 19 50 76
2 Bayern Munich players, news and schedule Bayern Munich 28 19 3 6 80 36 44 60
3 VfB Stuttgart players, news and schedule VfB Stuttgart 28 19 3 6 64 34 30 60
4 RB Leipzig players, news and schedule RB Leipzig 28 16 5 7 64 33 31 53
5 Borussia Dortmund players, news and schedule Borussia Dortmund 28 15 8 5 55 33 22 53
6 Eintracht Frankfurt players, news and schedule Eintracht Frankfurt 28 10 12 6 43 36 7 42
7 FC Augsburg players, news and schedule FC Augsburg 28 9 9 10 45 46 -1 36
8 1899 Hoffenheim players, news and schedule 1899 Hoffenheim 28 10 6 12 48 53 -5 36
9 SC Freiburg players, news and schedule SC Freiburg 28 10 6 12 40 52 -12 36
10 FC Heidenheim players, news and schedule FC Heidenheim 28 8 9 11 41 49 -8 33
11 Werder Bremen players, news and schedule Werder Bremen 28 8 7 13 36 44 -8 31
12 Union Berlin players, news and schedule Union Berlin 28 8 5 15 25 43 -18 29
13 Borussia Monchengladbach players, news and schedule Borussia Monchengladbach 27 6 10 11 46 53 -7 28
14 VfL Wolfsburg players, news and schedule VfL Wolfsburg 27 7 7 13 33 44 -11 28
15 Vfl Bochum players, news and schedule Vfl Bochum 28 5 11 12 33 58 -25 26
16 FSV Mainz 05 players, news and schedule FSV Mainz 05 28 4 11 13 26 46 -20 23
17 1.FC Köln players, news and schedule 1.FC Köln 28 4 10 14 23 49 -26 22
18 SV Darmstadt 98 players, news and schedule SV Darmstadt 98 28 2 8 18 28 71 -43 14