Cadiz - Valencia

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• Cards
• Substitutions

90'		1 - 3	Goal	Javi Guerra
52'		1 - 2	Goal	Diego López	Sergi Canós (Assist)
21'		1 - 1	Penalty	Rubén Alcaraz
8'		0 - 1	Goal	Hugo Duro

87'		Javi Hernández	Tripping
63'		Rubén Alcaraz	Tripping
57'		Iván Alejo	Foul
57'		Hugo Guillamón	Foul
30'		Luis Hernández	Roughing

81'			In:	Gabriel Paulista	Out:	Yarek Gąsiorowski
81'			In:	Fran Pérez	Out:	Alberto Marí
75'			In:	Hugo Duro	Out:	Javi Guerra
66'			In:	José Gayà	Out:	Jesús Vázquez
66'			In:	Sergi Canós	Out:	Thierry Correia
65'			In:	Fali	Out:	Lucas Pires
65'			In:	Robert Navarro	Out:	B. Ocampo
65'			In:	Iza Carcelén	Out:	M. Gómez
54'			In:	R. Kouamé	Out:	Sergi Guardiola
15'			In:	Fede San Emeterio	Out:	G. Escalante

Cadiz - Valencia Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Valencia

Best odds: 1.45

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Prediction: Under 3.5

Best odds: 1.20

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As the La Liga season marches on, a pivotal clash is set to unfold at the Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla, where Cadiz will host Valencia. With predictions leaning towards an away victory or draw and a low-scoring affair, fans are bracing for a match that could significantly impact both ends of the table.

Key Players

Cadiz's hopes may hinge on the defensive resilience of Lucas Pires Silva, whose 6.60 rating reflects his steady presence at the back. His ability to halt Valencia's advances will be critical. In the attack, Darwin Daniel Machís Marcano, with a rating of 6.62, will be the one to watch, having found the target three times this season. His creativity and shots on goal could be the key to unlocking Valencia's defense.

For Valencia, Francisco Pérez Martínez stands out with a 6.58 rating and an impressive tally of three assists, showcasing his ability to orchestrate play from the midfield. The defensive solidity will partly rest on the shoulders of Hugo Guillamón Sanmartín, who shares a 6.60 rating with his Cadiz counterpart. Valencia's midfield dynamism is further bolstered by Sergi Canós Tenés, whose 6.78 rating makes him the highest-rated key player on the pitch, with his direct approach and goal-scoring ability adding an extra threat.

Recent Form

Cadiz's recent form reads as a side desperate to claw their way out of relegation, with a string of draws (LDDDD) keeping them just afloat. However, sitting at 18th with a mere 15 points, their struggle is evident. Valencia, positioned 9th with 26 points, has had a mixed bag of results (WWDLL) but remains in the top half of the table, showcasing a more stable performance.

Head-to-Head History

Historically, the encounters between these two have been closely contested. The last three meetings have seen Valencia win at home 2-0 on 2023-10-23, Cadiz securing a 2-1 victory on their turf on 2023-04-30, and a 1-0 win for Cadiz at Valencia's ground on 2023-01-06. These results suggest that home advantage has played a significant role and could influence the upcoming match.

Prediction

The predictions and stats point towards a Valencia advantage, with a 45 percent chance of an away win or draw and a less than 3.5 goals scenario being highly likely. Cadiz, with a form rating of 36, faces an uphill battle against Valencia's 64, and with both teams having an equal defensive rating of 50, a single goal could decide the outcome.

Valencia's attacking edge, with a 67 rating over Cadiz's 33, suggests they are more likely to find the back of the net. The poisson distribution also leans in favor of Valencia (56) over Cadiz (44), further solidifying their position as favorites. The head-to-head history is evenly split, with both teams having a 50 percent win rate against each other in recent matches.

Taking into account the teams' current form, key player performances, and historical encounters, the final prediction is a draw or a narrow victory for Valencia, with the match featuring fewer than 3.5 goals. Fans and spectators should prepare for a tense and tactical battle, with Valencia likely to emerge with at least a point to keep them steady in the upper half of the table, while Cadiz will be fighting tooth and nail to avoid slipping further into the relegation mire.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

36%

64%

Attacking Potential

33%

67%

Defensive Potential

50%

50%

Poisson Distribution

56%

44%

Stregth H2H

50%

50%

Goals H2H

44%

56%

Wins the game

45%

55%

Cadiz - Valencia Head to Head

14/01	Cadiz	1 - 4	Valencia
23/10	Valencia	2 - 0	Cadiz
30/04	Cadiz	2 - 1	Valencia
06/01	Valencia	0 - 1	Cadiz

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13