Cagliari - Atalanta

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

42'		1 - 1	Goal	T. Augello	E. Shomurodov (Assist)
13'		0 - 1	Goal	G. Scamacca	A. Lookman (Assist)

76'		N. Nández
75'		Zito Luvumbo
74'		R. Tolói
66'		A. Deiola
63'		D. Zappacosta
54'		M. de Roon

67'			In:	D. Zappacosta	Out:	E. Holm
67'			In:	E. Shomurodov	Out:	Zito Luvumbo
55'			In:	G. Scamacca	Out:	E. Touré
55'			In:	T. Koopmeiners	Out:	C. De Ketelaere
46'			In:	H. Hateboer	Out:	M. Bakker

Cagliari - Atalanta Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Atalanta

Best odds: 2.14

BET NOW

Loading...

BET NOW

Loading...

In an unexpected twist, predictive analysis suggests that the struggling Cagliari might just hold their ground against the formidable Atalanta in the upcoming Serie A clash at Unipol Domus. As the teams prepare to face off this Sunday, the underdogs are tipped for a potential upset, or at least a draw, against their higher-ranked adversaries. Let's delve into the key players and statistics that might influence this intriguing encounter.

Key Players - Cagliari

For Cagliari, much will depend on the performance of their attacker Gianluca Lapadula Vargas, whose rating of 6.59 reflects his potential to disrupt defenses. With 3 shots on target out of 9 attempts, Lapadula needs to find precision to convert chances into crucial goals for his side.

In defense, Gabriele Zappa stands out with a rating of 6.63. His contribution is not limited to thwarting attacks; with 18 key passes and an assist, Zappa's ability to initiate play from the back will be vital for Cagliari's transitional play.

The midfield engine for the home side is Antoine Makoumbou, boasting a rating of 6.70. With 834 passes in total and 12 key passes, his distribution skills will be pivotal in controlling the midfield and creating scoring opportunities.

Key Players - Atalanta

Atalanta's midfield maestro Viktor Kovalenko carries a similar rating of 6.70. His vision and an assist could be the difference-maker, especially with 7 key passes to his name, indicating his knack for setting up goal-scoring chances.

Defensively, Emil Alfons Holm and Davide Zappacosta are crucial to Atalanta's backline. Holm, with a rating of 6.76, and Zappacosta, at 6.84, not only contribute to their team's defensive solidity but also add to the attack, with Zappacosta scoring 2 goals and both defenders having a combined total of 5 assists.

Recent Form

Cagliari's recent form reads like a cautionary tale, with a string of 'DDLLL' in their last five games. Their home record offers a glimmer of hope with 4 wins and 4 draws out of 13 matches. Atalanta, on the other hand, has been in impressive form with 'DWWWW', demonstrating a strong winning mentality that places them in the 5th spot in the league.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record tilts heavily in favor of Atalanta. The previous encounter on September 24, 2023, saw Atalanta secure a comfortable 2-0 victory over Cagliari. This historical dominance could play a psychological role in the upcoming match.

Prediction

Despite the statistics and history favoring Atalanta, the prediction for this match is surprisingly leaning towards a Cagliari win or draw. The predictions give Cagliari a 35% chance of winning and another 35% for a draw, suggesting that the home advantage and desperation to avoid relegation could inspire an unexpected result.

The advice from the analysis is a 'Double chance: Cagliari or draw', indicating that the home side's form, defense, and key player performances might just be enough to thwart Atalanta's ambitions. With a total home advantage percentage of 45 against Atalanta's 55 for an away win, the match is poised to be a tightly contested affair.

In conclusion, while Atalanta might appear to be the clear favorites, the resilience of Cagliari and the unpredictability of football could see the home side escape with points that are crucial for their survival in Serie A. This Sunday's fixture promises to be an intriguing battle where strategy, form, and individual brilliance will determine whether the underdogs can defy the odds.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

62%

38%

Attacking Potential

50%

50%

Defensive Potential

64%

36%

Poisson Distribution

39%

61%

Stregth H2H

20%

80%

Goals H2H

31%

69%

Wins the game

44%

56%

Cagliari - Atalanta Head to Head

07/04	Cagliari	2 - 1	Atalanta
24/09	Atalanta	2 - 0	Cagliari

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15