Cagliari - Bologna

Regular Season - 20
Kickoff: 2024-01-14 13:00

Who will win?

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Cagliari - Bologna Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Bologna
Best odds: 1.36

As Serie A's regular season unfolds, a fascinating clash is on the horizon where Cagliari will host Bologna at the Unipol Domus on a crisp Sunday afternoon. With the predictions leaning towards an away win or draw, the question on everyone's mind is whether Cagliari can defy the odds and secure a much-needed victory to escape the relegation zone, or if Bologna will solidify their position for European competition.

Key Players

In the heart of Cagliari's defense, Gabriele Zappa stands out. With a rating of 6.58, he has managed to put 3 shots on target from 8 attempts, which is commendable for a defender. His contribution isn't limited to his defensive duties, as evidenced by his 13 key passes from a total of 483.

The midfield engine for Cagliari comes in the form of Antoine Makoumbou, whose consistency and ability to retain possession, reflected in his 600 passes, could be pivotal in controlling the game's tempo. His rating of 6.65 and 11 key passes indicate his potential to be a game-changer.

Upfront, Gianluca Lapadula Vargas will be the one to watch. Despite a modest goal tally, his rating of 6.68 and willingness to take shots could see him break through Bologna's defenses.

Bologna's backline boasts the likes of Charalampos Lykogiannis, with a rating of 6.73, and Lorenzo De Silvestri, rated at 6.84. Their defensive solidity will be crucial in thwarting Cagliari's attacks.

The star in Bologna's attacking lineup is Riccardo Orsolini, who has a rating of 6.97. His impressive 10 shots on target from 18 attempts and 4 goals make him the top threat for the Cagliari defense.

Recent Form

Cagliari's recent form is a cause for concern, with only one win in their last five games (DLLWL). Their struggle is evident in their current 18th position, with a -15 goal difference. Bologna, on the other hand, has been in fine form (LWWWD), sitting comfortably at 5th place and eyeing a spot in the Europa League.

Head-to-Head History

The historical data points towards Bologna's dominance in recent encounters. The last two matches saw Bologna emerge victorious with a 2-1 win on September 2, 2023, and a 1-0 triumph on October 20, 2022. This psychological edge could play a significant role in the upcoming match.

Prediction

Taking into account the form of both teams, the quality of key players, and historical clashes, the prediction leans towards Bologna either winning or securing a draw. Cagliari's desperation to climb out of the relegation zone might not be enough against a Bologna side that has been robust defensively and more consistent.

The advice for those looking to wager on the outcome would be to consider a double chance: draw or Bologna. With a 45% probability for both a draw and an away win, the odds are stacked against a home victory. Moreover, the statistical analysis gives Bologna a 61.7% total percent advantage over Cagliari's 38.3%.

Expect Bologna to control the game, with key players like Riccardo Orsolini and Lorenzo De Silvestri making significant impacts. Cagliari will put up a fight, but the quality and form of Bologna might be too much for the home side to handle. The match could likely end with a narrow win for Bologna or a hard-fought draw, with Cagliari struggling to improve their fortunes against a well-organized Bologna outfit.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

33%
67%

Attacking Potential

40%
60%

Defensive Potential

45%
55%

Poisson Distribution

44%
56%

Stregth H2H

40%
60%

Goals H2H

40%
60%

Wins the game

40%
60%

Cagliari - Bologna Head to Head

Serie A standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter players, news and schedule Inter 30 25 4 1 73 14 59 79
2 AC Milan players, news and schedule AC Milan 31 21 5 5 60 34 26 68
3 Juventus players, news and schedule Juventus 30 17 8 5 44 24 20 59
4 Bologna players, news and schedule Bologna 31 16 10 5 45 25 20 58
5 AS Roma players, news and schedule AS Roma 31 16 7 8 56 35 21 55
6 Atalanta players, news and schedule Atalanta 29 15 5 9 54 32 22 50
7 Napoli players, news and schedule Napoli 31 13 9 9 48 38 10 48
8 Lazio players, news and schedule Lazio 31 14 4 13 37 34 3 46
9 Torino players, news and schedule Torino 31 11 11 9 31 29 2 44
10 Fiorentina players, news and schedule Fiorentina 29 12 7 10 42 34 8 43
11 Monza players, news and schedule Monza 31 11 9 11 34 41 -7 42
12 Genoa players, news and schedule Genoa 30 8 11 11 32 37 -5 35
13 Lecce players, news and schedule Lecce 31 6 11 14 26 48 -22 29
14 Udinese players, news and schedule Udinese 30 4 16 10 29 45 -16 28
15 Empoli players, news and schedule Empoli 31 7 7 17 25 47 -22 28
16 Verona players, news and schedule Verona 30 6 9 15 27 40 -13 27
17 Cagliari players, news and schedule Cagliari 30 6 9 15 30 51 -21 27
18 Frosinone players, news and schedule Frosinone 31 6 8 17 38 61 -23 26
19 Sassuolo players, news and schedule Sassuolo 31 6 7 18 36 59 -23 25
20 Salernitana players, news and schedule Salernitana 31 2 9 20 25 64 -39 15