Cagliari - Empoli

Regular Season - 18
Kickoff: 2023-12-30 13:00

Who will win?

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Cagliari - Empoli Predictions

Prediction: Cagliari or draw
Best odds: 1.79

As the Serie A's battle for survival heats up, Cagliari will host Empoli at the Unipol Domus on a chilly Saturday afternoon. With both teams languishing at the bottom half of the table, this match could be pivotal in their quest to avoid the drop. Predictions are leaning towards an Empoli edge, but in the world of football, certainty is a luxury. Let's delve into the details, examining key players and recent performances that could influence this crucial encounter.

Key Players - Cagliari

Cagliari, currently sitting at 16th in the league, will be relying heavily on their defensive stalwart, Gabriele Zappa. With a rating of 6.59, Zappa's contributions at the back and his ability to venture forward, as indicated by his 11 key passes, will be crucial for Cagliari's chances. In the midfield, the Uruguayan Nahitan Michel Nández Acosta stands out with a 6.68 rating, having already provided an assist and a goal from his creative play. His presence in the middle park will be vital in both breaking up Empoli's attacks and initiating Cagliari's. Lastly, Gaetano Pio Oristanio, with his 6.72 rating, brings a spark to the midfield, and his penchant for taking shots could see him alter the scoreline come match day.

Key Players - Empoli

Empoli, just a point behind Cagliari and in the relegation zone, will look towards their attackers to turn their fortunes around. Roberto Piccoli, with a modest rating of 6.30, will need to improve his goal tally for Empoli to stand a chance. His striking partner, Emanuel Quartsin Gyasi, rated at 6.42, will also be crucial in Empoli's offensive endeavors. The team's top scorer, Francesco Caputo, boasts a 6.73 rating and is the most likely candidate to find the back of the net, having already scored three times this season.

Recent Form

Cagliari's form has been erratic, with their last five games yielding a win, a draw, and three losses. Their ability to win at home could serve as a psychological boost, having won three of their eight home games. Empoli, on the other hand, has a similar form, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five outings. However, their away form suggests resilience, with two wins in eight games on the road.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record is not available for these teams, which adds an element of unpredictability to the match. Without historical data to rely on, the teams will have to focus on their current form and strategies to outplay the other.

Prediction

The prediction algorithms are favoring Empoli, with a "Double chance: draw or Empoli" suggestion. Despite being ranked lower, Empoli seems to have a slight advantage in form, with a 56% form rating compared to Cagliari's 44%. The attacking prowess of Empoli, especially with Francesco Caputo leading the line, could prove to be the difference. Cagliari's defensive capabilities, spearheaded by Gabriele Zappa, will be put to the test.

In terms of goals, both teams are predicted to score less than 2.5 goals, indicating a tight, low-scoring affair. With a 45% chance for both a draw and an Empoli win, the odds are split down the middle. However, the slight edge in total percent away (53%) for Empoli could tip the scales in their favor.

In conclusion, this match is expected to be a closely contested battle, with both teams desperate for points. Empoli's slight edge in form and attacking options might just be enough to secure them a vital result. The prediction? A narrow victory for Empoli or a hard-fought draw. But as always in football, the final outcome will be decided on the pitch.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

67%
33%

Attacking Potential

44%
56%

Defensive Potential

56%
44%

Poisson Distribution

64%
36%

Stregth H2H

38%
62%

Goals H2H

40%
60%

Wins the game

52%
49%

Cagliari - Empoli Head to Head

Serie A standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter players, news and schedule Inter 30 25 4 1 73 14 59 79
2 AC Milan players, news and schedule AC Milan 31 21 5 5 60 34 26 68
3 Juventus players, news and schedule Juventus 30 17 8 5 44 24 20 59
4 Bologna players, news and schedule Bologna 31 16 10 5 45 25 20 58
5 AS Roma players, news and schedule AS Roma 31 16 7 8 56 35 21 55
6 Atalanta players, news and schedule Atalanta 29 15 5 9 54 32 22 50
7 Napoli players, news and schedule Napoli 31 13 9 9 48 38 10 48
8 Lazio players, news and schedule Lazio 31 14 4 13 37 34 3 46
9 Torino players, news and schedule Torino 31 11 11 9 31 29 2 44
10 Fiorentina players, news and schedule Fiorentina 29 12 7 10 42 34 8 43
11 Monza players, news and schedule Monza 31 11 9 11 34 41 -7 42
12 Genoa players, news and schedule Genoa 30 8 11 11 32 37 -5 35
13 Lecce players, news and schedule Lecce 31 6 11 14 26 48 -22 29
14 Udinese players, news and schedule Udinese 30 4 16 10 29 45 -16 28
15 Empoli players, news and schedule Empoli 31 7 7 17 25 47 -22 28
16 Verona players, news and schedule Verona 30 6 9 15 27 40 -13 27
17 Cagliari players, news and schedule Cagliari 30 6 9 15 30 51 -21 27
18 Frosinone players, news and schedule Frosinone 31 6 8 17 38 61 -23 26
19 Sassuolo players, news and schedule Sassuolo 31 6 7 18 36 59 -23 25
20 Salernitana players, news and schedule Salernitana 31 2 9 20 25 64 -39 15