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Cagliari - Napoli Predictions
In an upcoming Serie A clash that promises to captivate the fans, a struggling Cagliari will play host to a mid-table Napoli at the Unipol Domus. With the predictions hinting at a possible win or draw for the visitors, this encounter could be pivotal for both teams as they seek to improve their standings.
Gianluca Lapadula Vargas stands out as Cagliari's beacon of hope. The attacker has managed to put 3 shots on target from a total of 9, contributing one goal to his team's cause. His performance will be critical if Cagliari wishes to upset the odds. On the defensive end, Gabriele Zappa has shown his worth both in defense and attack, with 4 shots on target and 1 assist from 689 passes. In the midfield, Antoine Makoumbou has been a consistent presence, contributing one goal and providing a stable link between defense and attack with 834 passes.
Napoli's key players could be the difference-makers in this match. Michael Ijemuan Folorunsho, the midfielder, has shown his ability to break into the box with 5 shots on target and a goal to his name. Up front, Giovanni Pablo Simeone Baldini will be looking to add to his tally, having taken 6 shots on target. The highest-rated player, Eljif Elmas, with a rating of 6.80, has been influential in the midfield, with an impressive 100% shots on target rate from his 6 attempts, scoring twice.
Recent Form
Cagliari's recent form is a cause for concern, with four losses and only one win in their last five games. Their home record offers a glimmer of hope, with four wins and three draws out of twelve. Napoli, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results with two wins, a draw, and two losses in their recent outings. Their away form has been decent, with five wins and three draws, suggesting they can be a tough side to beat on their travels.Head-to-Head History
Looking at the head-to-head history, the most recent encounter between these two sides took place on December 16, 2023, where Napoli edged out Cagliari with a 2-1 victory. This result will surely be on the minds of the Cagliari players as they seek redemption in front of their home fans.Prediction
The prediction for this match leans towards Napoli, with a 45% chance of either a win or a draw. Cagliari, despite being the underdogs with a mere 10% chance of victory, will fight hard to defy the odds. The analysis suggests a low-scoring affair, with Cagliari expected to struggle, indicated by the predicted -1.5 goals for the home side and -2.5 for the visitors.Taking into account the recent form, key player performances, and head-to-head history, the advice leans towards a "Double chance: draw or Napoli." The statistics point towards a stronger Napoli side, especially when considering the 68.2% total percent away chance of winning compared to Cagliari's 31.8%.
In conclusion, while Cagliari will undoubtedly put up a fight, especially with key players like Lapadula and Zappa looking to make an impact, Napoli's superior form and the presence of players like Folorunsho, Simeone, and Elmas could prove too much for the home side. Therefore, the final prediction is a conservative yet strategic outcome with Napoli likely to secure at least a point from this fixture.
Prediction probabilities
Strength
Attacking Potential
Defensive Potential
Poisson Distribution
Stregth H2H
Goals H2H
Wins the game
Serie A standings
| Rank | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 73 | 14 | 59 | 79 |
| 2 |
AC Milan
|
31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 60 | 34 | 26 | 68 |
| 3 |
Juventus
|
30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 59 |
| 4 |
Bologna
|
31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 58 |
| 5 |
AS Roma
|
31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 55 |
| 6 |
Atalanta
|
29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 50 |
| 7 |
Napoli
|
31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 48 |
| 8 |
Lazio
|
31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 46 |
| 9 |
Torino
|
31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 |
Fiorentina
|
29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 43 |
| 11 |
Monza
|
31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |
Genoa
|
30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 |
Lecce
|
31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 29 |
| 14 |
Udinese
|
30 | 4 | 16 | 10 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 28 |
| 15 |
Empoli
|
31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 |
Verona
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 27 |
| 17 |
Cagliari
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 27 |
| 18 |
Frosinone
|
31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 26 |
| 19 |
Sassuolo
|
31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 25 |
| 20 |
Salernitana
|
31 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 64 | -39 | 15 |
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