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Empoli - Cagliari Predictions
As the Serie A season intensifies, a crucial clash looms on the horizon with Empoli set to host Cagliari at the Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena. With predictions pointing towards a potential victory for Empoli or a draw, fans and pundits alike are gearing up for a match that promises to be a pivotal moment in the relegation battle.
Key Players
Empoli's chances of securing a win will likely hinge on the performances of their key attackers. Emanuel Quartsin Gyasi, with a rating of 6.62, has been a consistent threat up front, managing 5 shots on target from a total of 10. His ability to break through defenses could be decisive. Alongside him, Francesco Caputo boasts a rating of 6.71 and has found the back of the net 3 times this season, proving to be a crucial asset in Empoli's attacking arsenal.In the midfield, Jacopo Fazzini has shown his worth with a rating of 6.89, contributing 1 assist and scoring once himself. His creativity and ability to control the game's tempo will be vital in Empoli's quest for three points.
On the other side, Cagliari will rely on Gianluca Lapadula Vargas, who, despite a rating of 6.59, poses a significant threat with his experience and knack for finding scoring opportunities. In defense, Gabriele Zappa stands out with a rating of 6.63 and has contributed both defensively and offensively, registering 1 assist and scoring once.
Midfielder Antoine Makoumbou could be the wildcard for Cagliari. With a rating of 6.70, he has demonstrated his capability to control the midfield and will be instrumental if Cagliari is to disrupt Empoli's game plan.
Recent Form
Empoli's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in DWDDW. This shows a team with resilience, having managed to avoid defeat in four of those encounters. Currently sitting 16th in the league with 22 points, they have a goal difference of -19, indicating a struggle in front of goal but also a determination to grind out results.Cagliari, on the other hand, finds themselves in the 19th spot, deep in the relegation zone. Their form has been worrisome, with the last five matches ending in DLLLL. With only 19 points and a -23 goal difference, they are in desperate need of a turnaround to escape the drop.
Head-to-Head History
Looking at the head-to-head history, the most recent encounter between these two sides ended in a goalless draw on December 30, 2023. This suggests a closely matched history, but with Empoli's home advantage and Cagliari's lackluster away performance, the historical edge might favor the hosts.Prediction
Taking into account the form, key players, and head-to-head history, the prediction leans towards an Empoli win or a draw. With a 45% chance for both a home win and a draw, as opposed to a mere 10% for an away win, the odds are stacked in favor of Empoli. The statistical analysis, including a 90 form home against a 10 form away, further cements the belief that Empoli has the upper hand.Empoli's attacking duo of Emanuel Quartsin Gyasi and Francesco Caputo could prove too much for Cagliari's defense, which has been leaking goals throughout the season. Meanwhile, Jacopo Fazzini's midfield prowess could control the pace of the game, limiting Cagliari's opportunities.
Cagliari will not go down without a fight, and players like Gianluca Lapadula Vargas and Antoine Makoumbou will be key if they are to defy the odds. However, with Empoli's solid form and the support of the home crowd, the prediction stands: a double chance of an Empoli win or draw. This match could very well be a defining moment in both teams' seasons, with Empoli looking to distance themselves from the relegation zone and Cagliari fighting to climb out of it.
Prediction probabilities
Strength
Attacking Potential
Defensive Potential
Poisson Distribution
Stregth H2H
Goals H2H
Wins the game
Serie A standings
| Rank | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 73 | 14 | 59 | 79 |
| 2 |
AC Milan
|
31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 60 | 34 | 26 | 68 |
| 3 |
Juventus
|
30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 59 |
| 4 |
Bologna
|
31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 58 |
| 5 |
AS Roma
|
31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 55 |
| 6 |
Atalanta
|
29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 50 |
| 7 |
Napoli
|
31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 48 |
| 8 |
Lazio
|
31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 46 |
| 9 |
Torino
|
31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 |
Fiorentina
|
29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 43 |
| 11 |
Monza
|
31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |
Genoa
|
30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 |
Lecce
|
31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 29 |
| 14 |
Udinese
|
30 | 4 | 16 | 10 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 28 |
| 15 |
Empoli
|
31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 |
Verona
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 27 |
| 17 |
Cagliari
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 27 |
| 18 |
Frosinone
|
31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 26 |
| 19 |
Sassuolo
|
31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 25 |
| 20 |
Salernitana
|
31 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 64 | -39 | 15 |
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