Empoli - Fiorentina

Regular Season - 25

Who will win?

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Empoli - Fiorentina Predictions

Prediction: Empoli or draw
Best odds: 1.80

As the Italian Serie A heats up, all eyes turn to the upcoming clash between Empoli and Fiorentina at the Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena. With the predictions suggesting a potential upset by the home side, fans are eager to see if Empoli can defy the odds and secure a much-needed victory or if Fiorentina will solidify their position in the upper echelons of the league table.

Key Players

Empoli, currently struggling at the 19th spot, have been showing signs of life, and much of their hopes rest on the shoulders of their key players. Emanuel Quartsin Gyasi, an attacker with a rating of 6.58, has been crucial with his ability to challenge defenses, racking up a total of 5 shots on target from 9 attempts. Alongside him, Tommaso Baldanzi, a midfielder with a 6.69 rating, has been instrumental with 13 key passes and 2 goals to his name. The team's top scorer, Francesco Caputo, with 3 goals, is another player to watch, as his experience could prove vital in this fixture.

Fiorentina, sitting at 7th in the standings, will rely on their attacking prowess to secure the win. Luka Jović, although his current season stats are not listed, has been known for his clinical finishing, contributing 3 goals so far. M'Bala Nzola adds depth to the attack with 1 goal and 2 assists, while Rolando Mandragora, a midfielder with a 6.73 rating, has been a cornerstone in both defense and offense, contributing 1 goal and 1 assist.

Recent Form

Empoli's recent form has been a mixed bag (DDWLL) with a small glimmer of hope in their recent draw. They have shown resilience at home, but the overall performance remains a concern. Fiorentina, on the other hand, has had an inconsistent run (LLDLW), with their latest victory potentially signaling a return to form.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two sides tells an interesting story. In their last encounter on October 23, 2023, Empoli secured a surprising 2-0 victory away at Fiorentina. The previous two matches ended in draws, with the teams sharing the spoils on February 19, 2023 (1-1), and August 21, 2022 (0-0), suggesting a closely fought rivalry.

Prediction

Taking into account the recent form, key player performances, and head-to-head history, the prediction leans towards a strong showing by Empoli. The advice of "Double chance: Empoli or draw" seems to resonate with the stats, giving Empoli a 45% chance of victory and an equal chance of a draw. Fiorentina, with only a 10% chance to win according to predictions, will need to prove their mettle.

Given Empoli's fighting spirit and the potential for a tactical surprise, the match is poised to be a tightly contested affair. However, with Fiorentina's higher ranking and goal-scoring capabilities, they cannot be discounted. The prediction suggests a low-scoring game, with Empoli having a slight edge due to their home advantage.

In conclusion, the match is set to be an intriguing battle, with the odds slightly favoring a resilient Empoli side. The final prediction is a bold one: Empoli to win or secure a draw in a match that is likely to be decided by fine margins and the performance of key players like Emanuel Quartsin Gyasi and Francesco Caputo for Empoli and Luka Jović for Fiorentina. Will the underdogs rise to the occasion, or will Fiorentina assert their dominance? Only time will tell as we await the kickoff on a Sunday that promises to deliver an enthralling Serie A encounter.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

67%
33%

Attacking Potential

47%
53%

Defensive Potential

69%
31%

Poisson Distribution

29%
71%

Stregth H2H

62%
38%

Goals H2H

63%
38%

Wins the game

56%
44%

Empoli - Fiorentina Head to Head

Serie A standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter players, news and schedule Inter 25 21 3 1 63 12 51 66
2 Juventus players, news and schedule Juventus 26 17 6 3 41 19 22 57
3 AC Milan players, news and schedule AC Milan 26 16 5 5 50 32 18 53
4 Bologna players, news and schedule Bologna 26 13 9 4 39 23 16 48
5 Atalanta players, news and schedule Atalanta 25 14 4 7 48 24 24 46
6 AS Roma players, news and schedule AS Roma 26 13 5 8 48 32 16 44
7 Lazio players, news and schedule Lazio 25 12 4 9 31 26 5 40
8 Fiorentina players, news and schedule Fiorentina 25 11 5 9 37 29 8 38
9 Napoli players, news and schedule Napoli 25 10 7 8 34 29 5 37
10 Torino players, news and schedule Torino 26 9 9 8 25 25 0 36
11 Monza players, news and schedule Monza 26 9 9 8 27 30 -3 36
12 Genoa players, news and schedule Genoa 26 8 9 9 28 31 -3 33
13 Empoli players, news and schedule Empoli 26 6 7 13 22 40 -18 25
14 Lecce players, news and schedule Lecce 26 5 9 12 24 43 -19 24
15 Udinese players, news and schedule Udinese 26 3 14 9 25 40 -15 23
16 Frosinone players, news and schedule Frosinone 26 6 5 15 34 55 -21 23
17 Sassuolo players, news and schedule Sassuolo 25 5 5 15 31 48 -17 20
18 Verona players, news and schedule Verona 26 4 8 14 23 36 -13 20
19 Cagliari players, news and schedule Cagliari 26 4 8 14 24 47 -23 20
20 Salernitana players, news and schedule Salernitana 26 2 7 17 20 53 -33 13