Empoli - Genoa

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions
90'		K. De Winter	Holding
75'		N. Cambiaghi	Holding
73'		S. Sabelli	Tripping
66'		K. De Winter	Tripping
53'		S. Walukiewicz	Holding

85'			In:	N. Cambiaghi	Out:	J. Fazzini
77'			In:	M. Retegui	Out:	Vítinha
77'			In:	S. Sabelli	Out:	Aarón Martín
76'			In:	M. Retegui	Out:	Vítinha
76'			In:	S. Sabelli	Out:	Aarón Martín
71'			In:	S. Żurkowski	Out:	M. Destro
71'			In:	A. Grassi	Out:	V. Kovalenko
54'			In:	A. Cerri	Out:	M. Cancellieri
54'			In:	B. Bereszyński	Out:	L. Cacace
46'			In:	R. Malinovskyi	Out:	C. Ekuban

Empoli - Genoa Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Genoa

Best odds: 1.44

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As Empoli prepares to host Genoa in a pivotal Serie A clash at the Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena, all eyes are on the predictions that could shape the outcome of this match. Will the home disadvantage and relegation fears for Empoli weigh heavily, or will Genoa's recent form see them through? Let's delve into the details, spotlighting the key players who could turn the tide and examining both teams' performances leading up to this encounter.

Empoli's Key Players

Empoli, currently sitting at a precarious 19th place, will be relying heavily on their key players to spark a turnaround. Roberto Piccoli, an attacker with a rating of 6.30, may not have impressive stats this season, but his ability to find the back of the net could prove crucial. Roberto Piccoli has managed to score 3 goals, and his contribution will be vital for Empoli's survival bid.

Another player to watch is Emanuel Quartsin Gyasi, who, with a 6.56 rating, has shown flashes of brilliance. Despite scoring only once, Gyasi's six shots and 140 passes indicate his potential to create chances. Tommaso Baldanzi, a midfielder with a 6.66 rating, has also been a standout performer. His 207 passes and 13 key passes suggest he's a creative force in the midfield, and his contribution could be the difference-maker for Empoli.

Genoa's Key Players

Genoa, positioned at 11th in the league, will look towards their influential players to secure a win. Morten Thorsby, with a solid 6.61 rating, has been a midfield stalwart, contributing a goal and an assist. His presence in the midfield will be essential for Genoa's control of the game.

The team also boasts the talented Ruslan Malinovskyi, a midfielder with a 6.79 rating who has notched up 2 goals and an assist. His 15 shots and 356 passes are indicative of his attacking threat and playmaking abilities. In defense, Mattia Bani stands out with a 6.82 rating, contributing both defensively and offensively with a goal to his name.

Recent Form

Empoli's recent form reads like a warning sign, with only one win in their last five matches (WLLDL). Their struggle to climb out of the relegation zone is evident, and they will be desperate for points in this home game.

On the other side, Genoa has been in decent form, with an unbeaten streak in their last five games (WDDDW). This run has provided them with a comfortable mid-table position, and they will be looking to extend this positive trend.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record provides a glimmer of hope for Empoli, as the last encounter between these two sides ended in a 1-1 draw on December 2, 2023. While not a victory, it shows that Empoli can hold their own against Genoa.

Prediction

Taking into account the current form of both teams, the head-to-head history, and the key players' potential impact, the prediction leans towards Genoa either winning or securing a draw. The predictions suggest a "Double chance: draw or Genoa," with a 50% chance for either outcome. Empoli's struggle to find the net is highlighted by the predicted goals of -1.5, suggesting a low-scoring affair for the home side.

The balance of power seems to favor Genoa, with a 66.2% total percent away advantage over Empoli's 33.8%. The form, attacking, and defensive stats all point towards Genoa having the upper hand in this matchup.

In conclusion, while Empoli will fight with everything they have to avoid the drop, Genoa's recent form and key player performances make them the favorites to come away with at least a point. Fans should brace themselves for a tightly contested match, but the smart money might be on Genoa to extend their unbeaten run.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

36%

64%

Attacking Potential

45%

55%

Defensive Potential

40%

60%

Poisson Distribution

34%

66%

Stregth H2H

25%

75%

Goals H2H

38%

62%

Wins the game

36%

64%

Empoli - Genoa Head to Head

03/02	Empoli	0 - 0	Genoa
02/12	Genoa	1 - 1	Empoli

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15