Empoli - Lecce

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

73'		3 - 1	Own Goal	H. Rafia
72'		2 - 1	Own Goal	H. Rafia
71'		1 - 1	Own Goal	H. Rafia
64'		0 - 1	Goal	L. Banda	Joan Gonzàlez (Assist)

75'		Y. Ramadani	Foul
52'		A. Grassi	Roughing
37'		Y. Maleh	Roughing
4'		Joan Gonzàlez

86'			In:	Y. Ramadani	Out:	M. Kaba
80'			In:	V. Kovalenko	Out:	J. Fazzini
80'			In:	M. Cancellieri	Out:	E. Gyasi
70'			In:	Joan Gonzàlez	Out:	A. Blin
63'			In:	Y. Maleh	Out:	R. Marin
60'			In:	R. Oudin	Out:	H. Rafia
60'			In:	R. Piccoli	Out:	N. Krstović
46'			In:	P. Dorgu	Out:	A. Gallo
46'			In:	B. Bereszyński	Out:	T. Ebuehi
41'			In:	F. Caputo	Out:	S. Shpendi

Empoli - Lecce Predictions

Prediction: Empoli or draw

Best odds: 1.43

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As the Italian Serie A heats up, all eyes turn to the upcoming clash between Empoli and Lecce at the Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena. With the predictions hinting at a potential surprise, the match slated for December 11, 2023, is poised to be a thrilling encounter that could shake up the league dynamics.

Key Players

Empoli, currently struggling at the 19th spot, will be relying heavily on their key players to claw their way out of the relegation zone. Roberto Piccoli, their attacker with a rating of 6.30, hasn't been prolific in front of goal but has managed to find the back of the net once this season. His contribution will be crucial for Empoli's chances of victory. Meanwhile, the midfield dynamism comes from Tommaso Baldanzi, whose performance rating of 6.84 and a total of 144 passes show his influence in the center of the park. With one goal to his name and eight key passes, Baldanzi's creativity could be the key to unlocking the Lecce defense.

Lecce, sitting more comfortably in 13th place, will look to their own set of stars to secure a win away from home. Federico Di Francesco, with a rating of 6.70, has been involved in the attack, scoring once this season. His ability to make a difference will be closely watched by the Empoli defense. The midfield support is provided by Hamza Rafia, who boasts a rating of 6.74 and has completed 212 passes, indicating his role as a key playmaker. Additionally, Pontus Skule Erik Almqvist, with a rating of 6.89 and six shots on target from ten attempts, will be another critical player for Lecce, looking to add to his goal tally.

Recent Form

Empoli's recent form reads like a team desperately seeking consistency, with their last five games resulting in one win, one draw, and three losses. Lecce, on the other hand, has been drawing too many games, with their last five matches ending in three draws and two losses. Both teams will be eager to add a win to their recent form, making this match an unpredictable and potentially pivotal moment in their season.

Head-to-Head History

Looking at the head-to-head history, Empoli has had the upper hand in recent encounters. The last match between the two on April 3, 2023, saw Empoli secure a narrow 1-0 victory, while the previous meeting on August 28, 2022, ended in a 1-1 stalemate. This historical edge could provide a psychological advantage for Empoli going into the match.

Prediction

The predictions signal a slight edge for Empoli, with a "Double chance: Empoli or draw" advice indicating their chances of at least securing a point. The statistics back up this sentiment, with Empoli having a total percent home advantage of 56% against Lecce's 44%. Moreover, Empoli boasts an 80% head-to-head home advantage over Lecce's 20%, which could prove to be a significant factor.

Despite the challenging season, Empoli's form at home and their historical dominance in head-to-head clashes with Lecce give them a fighting chance. With key players like Roberto Piccoli and Tommaso Baldanzi expected to step up, and the predictions favoring an Empoli win or draw, the home side could very well defy their current rank and inch closer to safety.

In conclusion, the match between Empoli and Lecce is set to be a closely contested affair with both sides having much to play for. The final prediction leans towards an Empoli victory, with a strong possibility of a draw, as they look to leverage their home advantage and key player performances to climb out of the relegation zone.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

57%

43%

Attacking Potential

50%

50%

Defensive Potential

44%

56%

Poisson Distribution

28%

72%

Stregth H2H

80%

20%

Goals H2H

60%

40%

Wins the game

53%

47%

Empoli - Lecce Head to Head

13/04	Lecce	-	Empoli
11/12	Empoli	1 - 1	Lecce
03/04	Empoli	1 - 0	Lecce
28/08	Lecce	1 - 1	Empoli

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15