FC Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

35'		1 - 1	Goal	D. Malen	N. Füllkrug (Assist)
23'		1 - 0	Goal	E. Demirović

90'		S. Haller	Foul
80'		J. Gouweleeuw	Foul

90'			In:	E. Rexhbeçaj	Out:	T. Breithaupt
90'			In:	K. Mbabu	Out:	P. Pfeiffer
89'			In:	E. Can	Out:	S. Haller
77'			In:	P. Tietz	Out:	D. Beljo
77'			In:	E. Demirović	Out:	R. Vargas
71'			In:	J. Bynoe-Gittens	Out:	S. Bamba
69'			In:	A. Engels	Out:	R. Gumny
58'			In:	M. Reus	Out:	G. Reyna

FC Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Borussia Dortmund

Best odds: 1.29

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As the Bundesliga gears up for another thrilling encounter, all eyes turn to the WWK Arena where FC Augsburg will host Borussia Dortmund on a crisp Saturday afternoon. With predictions pointing towards a Dortmund edge, but with a high chance of a draw, the stage is set for a match that promises to be a tactical showdown filled with intensity and potentially, plenty of goals.

Key Players For FC Augsburg, the spotlight will be on Sven Michel, whose attacking prowess has been crucial for the team. With a rating of 6.68, his ability to convert chances with 4 shots on target out of 6 attempts, and his contribution of 1 goal and 1 assist, make him a player to watch. In the midfield, Arne Engels, also with a rating of 6.68, has been instrumental, creating opportunities with 7 key passes and adding a goal to his name. Defensively, Ohis Felix Uduokhai with a rating of 6.69, has been a rock at the back, with 466 passes to his credit, showcasing his ability to initiate plays from deep.

Borussia Dortmund will rely on Youssoufa Moukoko, who, despite a slightly lower rating of 6.60, has shown flashes of brilliance with his agility and scoring ability. On the defensive end, Julian Ryerson, with a rating of 7.04, has been a standout performer, contributing 2 goals and demonstrating his threat on set pieces. Nico Cedric Schlotterbeck, with the highest rating of 7.08 among key players, has been a towering presence in defense and will be crucial in neutralizing Augsburg's attacks.

Recent Form

FC Augsburg's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in DDWWL. Sitting at 10th in the league with 13 points, their performance at home has been relatively strong, losing only once in six games. Borussia Dortmund, currently in 5th place with 21 points, has had a better run in their recent outings, marked by LLDWW. Their away record is fairly balanced, and they will be looking to improve it further in Augsburg.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two teams suggests a dominance by Borussia Dortmund. In their last meeting on May 21, 2023, Dortmund came out on top with a comfortable 3-0 victory at Augsburg's home ground. Earlier in the year, on January 22, Dortmund edged Augsburg in a seven-goal thriller, winning 4-3. This historical edge could play a psychological factor in the upcoming match.

Prediction

Taking into account the recent form, key players' performances, and head-to-head history, the prediction leans towards an away win or draw for Borussia Dortmund. The statistical analysis suggests a "Combo Double chance: draw or Borussia Dortmund and +1.5 goals," indicating that while a Dortmund victory is likely, a draw is also a considerable possibility, with at least two goals being scored in the game.

The percentages from predictions add further insight, with a 45% chance for both a Dortmund win and a draw, and only a 10% chance for an Augsburg victory. The form guide slightly favors the home side with a form home of 64 against Dortmund's form away of 36. However, Dortmund's attacking strength is superior with an att away of 53 compared to Augsburg's att home of 47. Defensively, Augsburg appears stronger at home with a def home of 67 versus Dortmund's def away of 33.

Considering the poisson distribution and goals percentage, Dortmund is expected to be more prolific in front of goal with a 60% poisson distribution away and 68% goals percent away, against Augsburg's 40% and 32% respectively.

In conclusion, the match at WWK Arena is poised to be a fascinating battle. With FC Augsburg looking to capitalize on their home advantage and key players like Sven Michel and Ohis Felix Uduokhai, they will certainly pose a challenge. However, Borussia Dortmund, with the likes of Julian Ryerson and Nico Cedric Schlotterbeck in fine form, might just have the edge to take all three points or at least secure a draw in what promises to be an engaging Bundesliga showdown.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

60%

40%

Attacking Potential

38%

62%

Defensive Potential

67%

33%

Poisson Distribution

39%

61%

Stregth H2H

7%

93%

Goals H2H

32%

68%

Wins the game

41%

60%

FC Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund Head to Head

04/05	Borussia Dortmund	-	FC Augsburg
16/12	FC Augsburg	1 - 1	Borussia Dortmund
21/05	FC Augsburg	0 - 3	Borussia Dortmund
22/01	Borussia Dortmund	4 - 3	FC Augsburg

Bundesliga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayer Leverkusen	28	24	4	0	69	19	50	76
2	Bayern Munich	28	19	3	6	80	36	44	60
3	VfB Stuttgart	28	19	3	6	64	34	30	60
4	RB Leipzig	28	16	5	7	64	33	31	53
5	Borussia Dortmund	28	15	8	5	55	33	22	53
6	Eintracht Frankfurt	28	10	12	6	43	36	7	42
7	FC Augsburg	28	9	9	10	45	46	-1	36
8	1899 Hoffenheim	28	10	6	12	48	53	-5	36
9	SC Freiburg	28	10	6	12	40	52	-12	36
10	FC Heidenheim	28	8	9	11	41	49	-8	33
11	Werder Bremen	28	8	7	13	36	44	-8	31
12	Union Berlin	28	8	5	15	25	43	-18	29
13	Borussia Monchengladbach	27	6	10	11	46	53	-7	28
14	VfL Wolfsburg	27	7	7	13	33	44	-11	28
15	Vfl Bochum	28	5	11	12	33	58	-25	26
16	FSV Mainz 05	28	4	11	13	26	46	-20	23
17	1.FC Köln	28	4	10	14	23	49	-26	22
18	SV Darmstadt 98	28	2	8	18	28	71	-43	14