FC Augsburg - Union Berlin

Regular Season - 29
Kickoff: 2024-04-12 16:30

Who will win?

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Votes: 0

FC Augsburg - Union Berlin Predictions

Prediction: FC Augsburg
Best odds: 2.07

As the Bundesliga gears up for an intriguing encounter at the WWK Arena, all eyes are set on the upcoming clash between FC Augsburg and Union Berlin. With predictions favoring the home side, it's a match that promises to deliver excitement and perhaps a few surprises.

Key Players - FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg's recent surge in form can be attributed to the contributions of their attacking duo, Sven Michel and Dion Drena Beljo. Michel, with a rating of 6.62, has been pivotal upfront, managing 6 shots on target from 9 attempts and contributing 1 assist. His ability to create chances is evident from his 8 key passes. Beljo, not far behind with a rating of 6.68, has shown his scoring prowess with 2 goals and has been equally impressive in build-up play, with 7 key passes. On the defensive front, Maximilian Bauer, rated at 6.68, has been a cornerstone for Augsburg, contributing not just in defense but also in attack with 1 goal to his name.

Key Players - Union Berlin

Union Berlin, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of performances, but certain individuals have stood out. Midfielder Brenden Russell Aaronson, with a rating of 6.41, has been a creative force, making 8 key passes, and will be essential in driving his team forward. In the attacking department, Mikkel Kaufmann Sørensen, rated at 6.52, has shown glimpses of his goal-scoring ability with 1 goal from his efforts. The defense is anchored by the experienced Leonardo Bonucci, who brings a rating of 6.53 and a goal to his credit, showcasing his dual threat on the pitch.

Recent Form

The form of both teams is a tale of contrasting fortunes. FC Augsburg comes into the match riding a wave of positive results, with their last five games showing an impressive sequence of DWWWW. This form has seen them climb to the 7th spot with 36 points and a positive goal difference. Union Berlin has had a less consistent run, with their last five outings resulting in DWLLD, placing them 12th in the standings, with a negative goal difference of -17.

Head-to-Head History

Recent head-to-head encounters between the two teams have been closely contested, with the last three matches ending in draws or narrow victories. On November 25, 2023, the teams locked horns at Union Berlin's home ground, resulting in a 1-1 stalemate. Earlier, on May 6, 2023, FC Augsburg managed to secure a 1-0 win at home. Their November 2022 clash also ended in a 2-2 draw, indicating that there's little to separate these two sides historically.

Prediction

The predictions for this match are leaning heavily towards FC Augsburg, not just because of their home advantage and current form but also due to the statistical edge they hold over their opponents. With a win probability of 45% compared to Union Berlin's 10%, and a form rating of 72 against 28, Augsburg is expected to dominate. The attacking and defensive ratings further bolster this view, with Augsburg showing superiority in both areas.

However, the game of football is unpredictable, and Union Berlin's head-to-head advantage, with a 62% win rate in recent encounters, cannot be overlooked. The match could be tighter than the numbers suggest, but the overall analysis and team dynamics point towards a home victory.

Expect a competitive match, but ultimately, a strong performance from key players like Sven Michel, Dion Drena Beljo, and Maximilian Bauer should steer FC Augsburg to a crucial win. The final prediction stands with a confident nod to Augsburg: Winner: FC Augsburg.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

72%
28%

Attacking Potential

76%
24%

Defensive Potential

70%
30%

Poisson Distribution

69%
31%

Stregth H2H

38%
62%

Goals H2H

44%
56%

Wins the game

62%
39%

FC Augsburg - Union Berlin Head to Head

Bundesliga standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayer Leverkusen players, news and schedule Bayer Leverkusen 28 24 4 0 69 19 50 76
2 Bayern Munich players, news and schedule Bayern Munich 28 19 3 6 80 36 44 60
3 VfB Stuttgart players, news and schedule VfB Stuttgart 28 19 3 6 64 34 30 60
4 RB Leipzig players, news and schedule RB Leipzig 28 16 5 7 64 33 31 53
5 Borussia Dortmund players, news and schedule Borussia Dortmund 28 15 8 5 55 33 22 53
6 Eintracht Frankfurt players, news and schedule Eintracht Frankfurt 28 10 12 6 43 36 7 42
7 FC Augsburg players, news and schedule FC Augsburg 28 9 9 10 45 46 -1 36
8 1899 Hoffenheim players, news and schedule 1899 Hoffenheim 28 10 6 12 48 53 -5 36
9 SC Freiburg players, news and schedule SC Freiburg 28 10 6 12 40 52 -12 36
10 FC Heidenheim players, news and schedule FC Heidenheim 28 8 9 11 41 49 -8 33
11 Werder Bremen players, news and schedule Werder Bremen 28 8 7 13 36 44 -8 31
12 Union Berlin players, news and schedule Union Berlin 28 8 5 15 25 43 -18 29
13 Borussia Monchengladbach players, news and schedule Borussia Monchengladbach 27 6 10 11 46 53 -7 28
14 VfL Wolfsburg players, news and schedule VfL Wolfsburg 27 7 7 13 33 44 -11 28
15 Vfl Bochum players, news and schedule Vfl Bochum 28 5 11 12 33 58 -25 26
16 FSV Mainz 05 players, news and schedule FSV Mainz 05 28 4 11 13 26 46 -20 23
17 1.FC Köln players, news and schedule 1.FC Köln 28 4 10 14 23 49 -26 22
18 SV Darmstadt 98 players, news and schedule SV Darmstadt 98 28 2 8 18 28 71 -43 14