1.FC Köln - FSV Mainz 05

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions
58'		T. Krauß	Tripping
50'		E. Martel	Tripping

64'			In:	S. Tigges	Out:	F. Dietz
64'			In:	D. Ljubičić	Out:	F. Kainz
61'			In:	J. Burkardt	Out:	Lee Jae-Sung
46'			In:	D. Heintz	Out:	L. Paqarada
34'			In:	J. Chabot	Out:	L. Kilian

1.FC Köln - FSV Mainz 05 Predictions

Prediction: Draw or FSV Mainz 05

Best odds: 1.68

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As the Bundesliga gears up for another weekend of intense football action, all eyes turn to the RheinEnergieStadion in Köln, where FC Koln will play host to FSV Mainz 05 on a chilly Sunday afternoon. With both teams languishing at the bottom of the table, this match could be pivotal in determining their fates for the remainder of the season. The predictions are shrouded in uncertainty, as both sides desperately search for a win to avoid the drop to 2. Bundesliga.

Key Players

For FC Koln, the spotlight will be on Linton Maina, a midfielder whose agility and vision have been vital for the team. Maina's 6.91 rating is a reflection of his consistent performance, with 10 key passes and a goal to his name. Up front, Davie Selke stands out as the team's top scorer with 3 goals, and his 6.99 rating indicates his importance in the attacking third. Lastly, Gian-Luca Waldschmidt, with a rating of 7.08, has proven his worth by not only scoring 2 goals but also by contributing significantly to the team's build-up play.

Mainz 05 will rely heavily on the likes of Tom Krauß, a midfielder who, despite a modest 6.60 rating, has shown glimpses of brilliance. Ludovic Ajorque, with a rating of 6.61, will be crucial in leading the line and finding the back of the net. The team will also look towards Aymen Barkok, whose 6.61 rating is evidence of his potential to make an impact in the midfield.

Recent Form

FC Koln's recent form has been less than inspiring, with only 1 win in their last 5 matches, resulting in a total of 6 points and a concerning -14 goal difference. Mainz 05 isn't faring much better, with 1 win and 4 draws in their last 5 outings, leaving them just a point ahead of Koln. Both teams are in dire need of a victory to boost their confidence and climb out of the relegation zone.

Head-to-Head History

The history between these two sides offers a mixed bag of results. Their most recent encounter was a stalemate, with both teams scoring once back in April 2023. However, Mainz 05 had a field day in October 2022, thrashing FC Koln 5-0 in a match that surely still haunts the Koln faithful. These results add an extra layer of intrigue to the upcoming match, as both teams have demonstrated the ability to either dominate or buckle under pressure.

Prediction

With the absence of a clear favorite and both teams struggling for form, this match is poised to be a tightly contested affair. The key battle will be in the midfield, where Maina's creativity for Koln could clash with Krauß's tenacity for Mainz. Selke's goal-scoring prowess could prove decisive, while Ajorque's presence up front for Mainz cannot be underestimated.

Given the high stakes and the recent forms of both teams, a draw seems to be a plausible outcome. However, with the home advantage, FC Koln might just edge past Mainz 05 if their key players step up to the occasion. Expect a low-scoring match, with both teams cautious not to concede. The final prediction leans towards a narrow 1-0 victory for FC Koln, with Davie Selke likely to be the difference-maker. In a battle for survival, it's the home side that may well secure the precious three points, offering them a lifeline in their fight against relegation.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

45%

55%

Attacking Potential

38%

63%

Defensive Potential

31%

69%

Poisson Distribution

49%

51%

Stregth H2H

38%

62%

Goals H2H

37%

63%

Wins the game

40%

61%

1.FC Köln - FSV Mainz 05 Head to Head

28/04	FSV Mainz 05	-	1.FC Köln
10/12	1.FC Köln	0 - 0	FSV Mainz 05
15/04	FC Koln	1 - 1	FSV Mainz 05
21/10	FSV Mainz 05	5 - 0	FC Koln

Bundesliga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayer Leverkusen	28	24	4	0	69	19	50	76
2	Bayern Munich	28	19	3	6	80	36	44	60
3	VfB Stuttgart	28	19	3	6	64	34	30	60
4	RB Leipzig	28	16	5	7	64	33	31	53
5	Borussia Dortmund	28	15	8	5	55	33	22	53
6	Eintracht Frankfurt	28	10	12	6	43	36	7	42
7	FC Augsburg	28	9	9	10	45	46	-1	36
8	1899 Hoffenheim	28	10	6	12	48	53	-5	36
9	SC Freiburg	28	10	6	12	40	52	-12	36
10	FC Heidenheim	28	8	9	11	41	49	-8	33
11	Werder Bremen	28	8	7	13	36	44	-8	31
12	Union Berlin	28	8	5	15	25	43	-18	29
13	Borussia Monchengladbach	27	6	10	11	46	53	-7	28
14	VfL Wolfsburg	27	7	7	13	33	44	-11	28
15	Vfl Bochum	28	5	11	12	33	58	-25	26
16	FSV Mainz 05	28	4	11	13	26	46	-20	23
17	1.FC Köln	28	4	10	14	23	49	-26	22
18	SV Darmstadt 98	28	2	8	18	28	71	-43	14