Fiorentina - AC Milan

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

53'		1 - 2	Goal	Rafael Leão	T. Reijnders (Assist)
50'		1 - 1	Goal	A. Duncan	L. Beltrán (Assist)
47'		0 - 1	Goal	R. Loftus-Cheek	Rafael Leão (Assist)

90'		F. Tomori	Unsportsmanlike conduct
24'		L. Martínez Quarta	Tripping
21'		M. Thiaw	Holding
13'		C. Biraghi	Tripping

88'			In:	J. Ikoné	Out:	R. Sottil
88'			In:	L. Martínez Quarta	Out:	A. Barák
82'			In:	O. Giroud	Out:	L. Jović
80'			In:	L. Beltrán	Out:	M'Bala Nzola
79'			In:	L. Beltrán	Out:	M'Bala Nzola
73'			In:	S. Chukwueze	Out:	C. Pulišić
69'			In:	Dodô	Out:	M. Kayode
69'			In:	C. Kouamé	Out:	N. González
63'			In:	T. Reijnders	Out:	Y. Musah
62'			In:	T. Reijnders	Out:	Y. Musah
62'			In:	Rafael Leão	Out:	N. Okafor
46'			In:	M. Thiaw	Out:	M. Gabbia

Fiorentina - AC Milan Predictions

Prediction: Draw or AC Milan

Best odds: 1.48

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As the Serie A league edges closer to another thrilling weekend, the football community is buzzing with anticipation for the clash between Fiorentina and AC Milan at the Stadio Artemio Franchi. With both teams having their own set of aces up their sleeves, predictions are flying left and right, leaving fans on the edge of their seats. Will Fiorentina capitalize on their home advantage, or will AC Milan assert their dominance in the race for Champions League spots?

Key Players for Fiorentina

Fiorentina's hopes will be pinned on their attacking prowess, particularly on the shoulders of M'Bala Nzola, whose rating of 6.68 reflects his potential to turn the game on its head. With 11 shots on target and 2 goals to his name, Nzola's ability to pierce through defenses could be pivotal. In midfield, Antonín Barák and Rolando Mandragora are essential cogs in the Viola machine, with Mandragora's 517 passes and Barák's goal-scoring knack from midfield adding depth and creativity to the team's play.

Key Players for AC Milan

On the other side, AC Milan's young sensation, Lorenzo Colombo, who has bagged 3 goals despite his youth, shows promise for the visiting side. The Rossoneri also boast the talents of Noah Arinzechukwu Okafor, whose 6.64 rating and 4 goals make him a potential game-changer. Meanwhile, Alexis Jesse Saelemaekers, with a rating of 6.82, is a versatile attacker whose 21 key passes and 570 total passes suggest that he could be instrumental in unlocking the Fiorentina defense.

Recent Form

Looking at recent performances, Fiorentina has had a mixed bag of results, with their last five games showing two wins, a draw, and two losses. Their inconsistency at home could be a cause for concern, but they've managed to secure 24 goals on their turf this season. AC Milan, holding a stronger position in the league, has displayed resilience with a more stable form of one loss, two draws, and two wins in their last five matches. Their ability to find the net away from home, with 28 goals scored in 13 games, will be something the home defense must be wary of.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two sides adds another layer of intrigue to the matchup. Their last encounter on November 25, 2023, saw AC Milan eke out a narrow 1-0 victory, while Fiorentina claimed a 2-1 win earlier in the season on March 4, 2023. Going back to November 13, 2022, AC Milan again came out on top with a 2-1 scoreline. This history suggests a tight contest is on the cards, with little to separate the two sides.

Prediction

As for predictions, this game is poised to be a battle of tactical wits and individual brilliance. Fiorentina will look to harness their home advantage and the scoring form of players like Nzola and Mandragora. AC Milan, on the other hand, will rely on the youthful energy of Colombo and the attacking support from Okafor and Saelemaekers to maintain pressure on their hosts.

Given the critical importance of the match for Champions League qualification, particularly for AC Milan, and considering both teams' recent form and head-to-head record, this match has all the ingredients for a high-stakes, closely contested affair. Although the predictions are not set in stone, the slight edge goes to AC Milan, given their higher league position and better overall form. However, expect Fiorentina to put up a fierce fight, making this match a must-watch for any football fan.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

38%

63%

Attacking Potential

38%

62%

Defensive Potential

50%

50%

Poisson Distribution

52%

48%

Stregth H2H

40%

60%

Goals H2H

47%

53%

Wins the game

44%

56%

Fiorentina - AC Milan Head to Head

30/03	Fiorentina	1 - 2	AC Milan
25/11	AC Milan	1 - 0	Fiorentina
04/03	Fiorentina	2 - 1	AC Milan
13/11	AC Milan	2 - 1	Fiorentina

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15