Fiorentina - Lazio

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

69'		2 - 1	Goal	G. Bonaventura
68'		1 - 1	Missed Penalty	N. González	N. González (Assist)
66'		1 - 1	Missed Penalty	N. González	N. González (Assist)
61'		1 - 1	Goal	M. Kayode	A. Belotti (Assist)
45'		0 - 1	Goal	Luis Alberto	M. Guendouzi (Assist)

88'		M. Vecino
67'		M. Guendouzi	Unsportsmanlike conduct
66'		M. Guendouzi

89'			In:	A. Belotti	Out:	M'Bala Nzola
89'			In:	Arthur	Out:	M. Lopez
85'			In:	R. Sottil	Out:	R. Mandragora
80'			In:	L. Beltrán	Out:	A. Barák
78'			In:	C. Immobile	Out:	V. Castellanos
78'			In:	Felipe Anderson	Out:	Pedro
62'			In:	D. Cataldi	Out:	M. Vecino
47'			In:	G. Isaksen	Out:	M. Zaccagni
47'			In:	A. Marušić	Out:	E. Hysaj
46'			In:	G. Isaksen	Out:	M. Zaccagni
46'			In:	A. Marušić	Out:	E. Hysaj

Fiorentina - Lazio Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Lazio

Best odds: 1.62

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In the heart of Firenze, a Serie A clash brimming with mid-table implications is set to unfold at the Stadio Artemio Franchi. Fiorentina, currently holding the 8th spot, will lock horns with 7th-placed Lazio, with both teams deadlocked at 37 points. As the predictions hint at a tight contest, could Lazio's edge in recent form see them snatch a vital win or draw away from home?

Key Players

Fiorentina's hopes may well rest on the shoulders of their attackers, particularly Luka Jović, who has netted 5 goals this season. Although his rating remains undisclosed, his goal-scoring prowess is a clear threat. Alongside Jović, M'Bala Nzola stands out with a rating of 6.72, contributing 2 goals and 2 assists. His 16 total shots and 9 on target are indicative of his attacking intent. In the midfield, Rolando Mandragora has been a reliable presence, boasting a 6.77 rating and adding two goals from a deeper position.

Lazio's attack features Gustav Tang Isaksen, with a rating of 6.71, 1 goal, and 1 assist to his name. His contribution will be vital in breaking down Fiorentina's defense. Veteran Pedro Eliezer Rodríguez Ledesma, better known as Pedro, brings experience and a 6.75 rating, although his goal tally stands at just one. The midfield dynamism comes from Mattéo Elias Kenzo Guendouzi Olié, or simply Guendouzi, who holds a 6.80 rating and has been instrumental with 657 passes and 15 key passes.

Recent Form

Fiorentina's form has been a mixed bag, with their last five outings resulting in a win, a draw, and three losses (LWLLD). Their home record, however, tells a more positive story, having won 7 out of 12 matches. Lazio, on the other hand, has shown more consistency, with two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five (WLDWW). Their away form has been less convincing, with 5 wins and 6 losses from 12 games.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record leans heavily in Lazio's favor. The last three encounters have seen Lazio come out on top twice, including a commanding 4-0 victory at Fiorentina's ground, and one draw. The most recent match-up on October 30, 2023, ended in a narrow 1-0 win for Lazio, while the one before that, on January 29, 2023, was a 1-1 stalemate.

Prediction

The predictions suggest a tight contest, with a "Double chance: draw or Lazio" being the advised outcome. The percentages indicate a 45% chance for both a draw and an away win, leaving a mere 10% for a Fiorentina victory. Lazio's form away (71%) outshines Fiorentina's at home (29%), and their attacking (44%) and defensive (64%) capabilities are rated higher than Fiorentina's (att_home 56%, def_home 36%).

Considering the stats, recent form, and head-to-head history, the prediction leans towards Lazio either securing a draw or taking all three points. The match could likely be a low-scoring affair, with predictions hinting at less than 2.5 goals for both teams. The key battle will be between Fiorentina's Luka Jović and Lazio's Guendouzi in midfield. The outcome may hinge on whether Pedro can exploit his experience to unlock Fiorentina's defense or if Mandragora can control the tempo and keep Lazio at bay.

In conclusion, expect a closely contested match where Lazio's slightly superior form and head-to-head advantage could be just enough to edge out Fiorentina. The final prediction: a strong chance for a draw, with Lazio capable of snatching a win if they play their cards right.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

36%

64%

Attacking Potential

53%

47%

Defensive Potential

43%

57%

Poisson Distribution

57%

43%

Stregth H2H

7%

93%

Goals H2H

9%

91%

Wins the game

34%

66%

Fiorentina - Lazio Head to Head

26/02	Fiorentina	2 - 1	Lazio
30/10	Lazio	1 - 0	Fiorentina
29/01	Lazio	1 - 1	Fiorentina
10/10	Fiorentina	0 - 4	Lazio

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15