Fiorentina - Udinese

Regular Season - 20
Kickoff: 2024-01-14 16:00

Who will win?

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Fiorentina - Udinese Predictions

Prediction: Fiorentina or draw
Best odds: 1.20

As the Serie A season heats up, a tantalizing clash is on the horizon where Fiorentina is set to face Udinese at the Stadio Artemio Franchi. With predictions hinting at a favorable outcome for the home side, fans are eager to see if Fiorentina can cement their position in the top four or if Udinese will upset the odds and shake up the league table.

Key Players: Fiorentina

Fiorentina's campaign has been bolstered by the performances of their key players. Luka Jović, though his rating isn't available, has been a pivotal figure in their attacking lineup, netting 3 goals this season. His presence on the field is always a threat to the opposition’s defense. M'Bala Nzola, with a rating of 6.71, has been instrumental, contributing 2 assists and a goal, showing his versatility in both creating and finishing chances. Rolando Mandragora, the midfielder with a 6.76 rating, has balanced defensive duties with offensive support, scoring once and providing an assist, solidifying his role as a midfield maestro.

Key Players: Udinese

Udinese, on the other hand, has had to rely on the prowess of their own key players to navigate through a challenging season. Oier Zarraga Egaña, rated at 6.58, has shown promise in the midfield, managing to find the back of the net once. Roberto Maximiliano Pereyra, with a rating of 6.71, has been a creative force, providing 2 assists and scoring twice, indicating his importance to the team's attacking dynamics. The standout performer for Udinese has been Lorenzo Lucca, who boasts a rating of 6.75. His tenacity has led to 6 goals, making him the leading scorer and a crucial asset up front.

Recent Form

Fiorentina’s recent form has been impressive, with their last five games resulting in four wins and a draw, indicating a strong momentum going into this match. They currently sit comfortably in 4th place with 33 points and a positive goal difference of 9. Udinese has had a mixed run of results, with one win, three draws, and a loss in their last five outings. They find themselves in the 15th spot, battling to climb away from the relegation zone with 17 points and a goal difference that tilts into the negatives.

Head-to-Head History

Historically, the head-to-head encounters have tilted in favor of Fiorentina. The last three matches saw Fiorentina triumphing twice with scores of 2-0 on both occasions, one at their home ground on May 14, 2023, and the other away on September 24, 2023. Udinese managed to clinch a victory with a narrow 1-0 win on August 31, 2022. This gives Fiorentina a psychological edge, having won the most recent encounter and performing strongly at home this season.

Prediction

Taking into account the form of both teams, the strength of key players, and the historical data, the prediction leans towards a Fiorentina win or draw. The home side's advantage is further emphasized by their solid defense, as reflected by a defense rating of 91 compared to Udinese's 9. The match is unlikely to be a high-scoring affair, with predictions suggesting under 2.5 goals for both teams. The advice for this match is a double chance: Fiorentina or draw, with a 45% chance for either outcome and only a 10% chance for an Udinese win.

In conclusion, while anything can happen on the pitch, the statistical edge and the strong performance of key players like Luka Jović and Lorenzo Lucca suggest that Fiorentina are poised to maintain their stronghold in the top four. Fans can expect a competitive match, but the likelihood is that Fiorentina will come out on top or at the very least, secure a point in this Serie A encounter.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

67%
33%

Attacking Potential

36%
64%

Defensive Potential

82%
18%

Poisson Distribution

77%
23%

Stregth H2H

60%
40%

Goals H2H

50%
50%

Wins the game

62%
38%

Fiorentina - Udinese Head to Head

Serie A standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter players, news and schedule Inter 30 25 4 1 73 14 59 79
2 AC Milan players, news and schedule AC Milan 31 21 5 5 60 34 26 68
3 Juventus players, news and schedule Juventus 30 17 8 5 44 24 20 59
4 Bologna players, news and schedule Bologna 31 16 10 5 45 25 20 58
5 AS Roma players, news and schedule AS Roma 31 16 7 8 56 35 21 55
6 Atalanta players, news and schedule Atalanta 29 15 5 9 54 32 22 50
7 Napoli players, news and schedule Napoli 31 13 9 9 48 38 10 48
8 Lazio players, news and schedule Lazio 31 14 4 13 37 34 3 46
9 Torino players, news and schedule Torino 31 11 11 9 31 29 2 44
10 Fiorentina players, news and schedule Fiorentina 29 12 7 10 42 34 8 43
11 Monza players, news and schedule Monza 31 11 9 11 34 41 -7 42
12 Genoa players, news and schedule Genoa 30 8 11 11 32 37 -5 35
13 Lecce players, news and schedule Lecce 31 6 11 14 26 48 -22 29
14 Udinese players, news and schedule Udinese 30 4 16 10 29 45 -16 28
15 Empoli players, news and schedule Empoli 31 7 7 17 25 47 -22 28
16 Verona players, news and schedule Verona 30 6 9 15 27 40 -13 27
17 Cagliari players, news and schedule Cagliari 30 6 9 15 30 51 -21 27
18 Frosinone players, news and schedule Frosinone 31 6 8 17 38 61 -23 26
19 Sassuolo players, news and schedule Sassuolo 31 6 7 18 36 59 -23 25
20 Salernitana players, news and schedule Salernitana 31 2 9 20 25 64 -39 15