Frosinone - AC Milan

Regular Season - 23
Kickoff: 2024-02-03 16:00

Who will win?

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Frosinone - AC Milan Predictions

Prediction: Draw or AC Milan
Best odds: 1.23
Prediction: Over 1.5
Best odds: 1.22

As the Serie A season heats up, the upcoming clash between Frosinone and AC Milan on a brisk Saturday evening at the Stadio Benito Stirpe promises to be a match filled with tactical intrigue and individual brilliance. Early predictions hint at a favorable outcome for the visitors, but in football, the game is not won on paper. Let's delve into the specifics that could shape this encounter.

Key Players

Frosinone, sitting at 13th in the league, will be relying heavily on their key players to make an impact. Marvin Çuni, with a rating of 6.52, has shown he can be a threat in the attack. Despite scoring just once, his presence upfront and ability to take shots could trouble the Milan defense. Midfield maestro Marco Brescianini, rated at 6.57, has been pivotal in linking play and creating opportunities, as evidenced by his 340 total passes and 8 key passes. His contributions from midfield, including two goals, could be crucial for Frosinone's chances. Walid Cheddira, another attacker, will also be one to watch. With a rating of 6.62 and a knack for getting shots on target, his clinical edge could prove vital.

AC Milan, on the other hand, boasts a strong lineup with key players such as Noah Arinzechukwu Okafor. With a 6.65 rating, Okafor has been a consistent threat in the final third, netting three goals. His ability to find space and take on defenders will be key for Milan's attacking endeavors. Defender Jan-Carlo Šimić, with a solid 6.83 rating, has been a rock at the back and even contributed a goal to the cause. His defensive prowess will be essential in thwarting Frosinone's attacks. The midfield dynamo Ruben Ira Loftus-Cheek, rated at 6.96, has been instrumental in both defense and attack, showcasing his versatility with 368 passes and 11 key passes. His influence in the middle of the park could be a deciding factor in the match.

Recent Form

Frosinone's recent form has been a mixed bag, with a single win and four losses in their last five games. Their home record is notably stronger, which could give them a slight edge in this encounter. AC Milan, sitting comfortably at third in the standings, has been in formidable form with three wins and a draw in their recent outings. Their consistency and ability to grind out results could pose a significant challenge for the home side.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two sides adds an extra layer of context to the match. In their last meeting on December 2, 2023, AC Milan emerged victorious with a 3-1 win over Frosinone. This recent history will undoubtedly be in the minds of both sets of players and could influence the psychological aspect of the game.

Prediction

Taking into account the teams' form, key players, and head-to-head history, the prediction leans towards an AC Milan victory. The prediction model suggests a "Combo Double chance: draw or AC Milan and +1.5 goals," indicating that the visitors are expected not just to avoid defeat but to do so in a potentially high-scoring affair. With 45% chances of an away win or draw and a strong away form, AC Milan's odds look favorable.

Frosinone will need to leverage their home advantage and hope that their key players, like Çuni and Cheddira, can outperform expectations. Meanwhile, AC Milan will look to their stars like Okafor and Loftus-Cheek to maintain their push for a Champions League spot. The stage is set for what could be a defining match in both teams' seasons, with AC Milan tipped to have the upper hand. Will the Rossoneri continue their march towards the top, or can Frosinone cause an upset in front of their home fans? All will be revealed under the lights at Stadio Benito Stirpe.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

24%
76%

Attacking Potential

37%
63%

Defensive Potential

28%
72%

Poisson Distribution

43%
57%

Stregth H2H

15%
85%

Goals H2H

33%
67%

Wins the game

30%
70%

Frosinone - AC Milan Head to Head

Serie A standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter players, news and schedule Inter 30 25 4 1 73 14 59 79
2 AC Milan players, news and schedule AC Milan 31 21 5 5 60 34 26 68
3 Juventus players, news and schedule Juventus 30 17 8 5 44 24 20 59
4 Bologna players, news and schedule Bologna 31 16 10 5 45 25 20 58
5 AS Roma players, news and schedule AS Roma 31 16 7 8 56 35 21 55
6 Atalanta players, news and schedule Atalanta 29 15 5 9 54 32 22 50
7 Napoli players, news and schedule Napoli 31 13 9 9 48 38 10 48
8 Lazio players, news and schedule Lazio 31 14 4 13 37 34 3 46
9 Torino players, news and schedule Torino 31 11 11 9 31 29 2 44
10 Fiorentina players, news and schedule Fiorentina 29 12 7 10 42 34 8 43
11 Monza players, news and schedule Monza 31 11 9 11 34 41 -7 42
12 Genoa players, news and schedule Genoa 30 8 11 11 32 37 -5 35
13 Lecce players, news and schedule Lecce 31 6 11 14 26 48 -22 29
14 Udinese players, news and schedule Udinese 30 4 16 10 29 45 -16 28
15 Empoli players, news and schedule Empoli 31 7 7 17 25 47 -22 28
16 Verona players, news and schedule Verona 30 6 9 15 27 40 -13 27
17 Cagliari players, news and schedule Cagliari 30 6 9 15 30 51 -21 27
18 Frosinone players, news and schedule Frosinone 31 6 8 17 38 61 -23 26
19 Sassuolo players, news and schedule Sassuolo 31 6 7 18 36 59 -23 25
20 Salernitana players, news and schedule Salernitana 31 2 9 20 25 64 -39 15