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FSV Mainz 05 - Borussia Monchengladbach Predictions
As the Bundesliga season heats up, FSV Mainz 05 prepares to host Borussia Monchengladbach at the MEWA ARENA on a crisp Saturday afternoon. With predictions favoring a win or draw for the struggling Mainz side, the question on everyone's lips is whether they can defy the odds and secure crucial points to escape the relegation zone.
Key Players
Mainz's hopes are pinned on their midfield maestro, Aymen Barkok, whose vision and creativity have been vital this season. Despite Mainz's precarious position, Barkok's rating of 6.57 and his ability to unlock defenses with 5 key passes make him an essential asset.Upfront, Jonathan Michael Burkardt has been a glimmer of hope with a rating of 6.63. His tireless running and knack for being in the right place at the right time have resulted in important goals that could prove vital in their fight for survival.
Another key figure in attack is Ludovic Ajorque, whose imposing presence and goal-scoring ability, with 2 goals to his name, will be crucial for Mainz in this encounter.
For the visitors, Nathan Ngoumou Minpole has been a revelation in midfield, contributing 2 goals and an assist. His rating of 6.62 reflects his all-around contributions to the team's dynamics.
Defensively, Joseph Michael Scally has stood out for Monchengladbach, with a rating of 6.65. His defensive prowess and occasional forays forward have made him an asset on both ends of the pitch.
Leading the attack, Tomáš Čvančara has been a constant threat with his sharpshooting abilities, racking up 4 goals and an assist, making him the one to watch in the upcoming fixture.
Recent Form
Mainz's recent form has been a mixed bag, with a record of WLDLL in their last five games. They've struggled to find consistency, which has left them languishing at 17th in the league standings. Their home record doesn't inspire much confidence either, with only 2 wins out of 11 games.Monchengladbach isn't faring much better, with a recent form of LDLDL. Sitting at 14th in the table, they have managed to stay afloat but need to start turning draws and losses into wins if they want to avoid being sucked into the relegation battle.
Head-to-Head History
The head-to-head record between these two sides provides some context for the upcoming match. Their most recent encounter on October 6, 2023, ended in a 2-2 stalemate. Mainz had the upper hand in the previous match, with a resounding 4-0 victory on February 24, 2023. Going further back to September 4, 2022, Mainz secured a narrow 1-0 win away from home.Prediction
Taking into account the recent form, head-to-head history, and key player performances, the prediction leans towards a double chance for FSV Mainz 05 or a draw. However, with Mainz's strong performance in recent head-to-head matchups and the home crowd behind them, they might just edge it.The prediction model gives Mainz a 60.2% chance of securing points at home, with a 45% chance for a draw and a 10% chance for a Monchengladbach win. With Mainz's 67 form home rating against Monchengladbach's 33 form away rating, the scales are tipped slightly in favor of the home side.
In conclusion, expect a closely contested match where Mainz will fight tooth and nail to climb out of the relegation zone. With key players like Aymen Barkok, Jonathan Michael Burkardt, and Ludovic Ajorque likely to make an impact, Mainz could very well secure a vital win or at least a draw to keep their survival hopes alive.
Prediction probabilities
Strength
Attacking Potential
Defensive Potential
Poisson Distribution
Stregth H2H
Goals H2H
Wins the game
FSV Mainz 05 - Borussia Monchengladbach Head to Head
| 02/03 | FSV Mainz 05 |
1 - 1 | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 06/10 | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2 - 2 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| 24/02 | FSV Mainz 05 |
4 - 0 | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 04/09 | Borussia Monchengladbach |
0 - 1 | FSV Mainz 05 |
Bundesliga standings
| Rank | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 69 | 19 | 50 | 76 |
| 2 |
Bayern Munich
|
28 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 80 | 36 | 44 | 60 |
| 3 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
28 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 64 | 34 | 30 | 60 |
| 4 |
RB Leipzig
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 33 | 31 | 53 |
| 5 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 53 |
| 6 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 42 |
| 7 |
FC Augsburg
|
28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 36 |
| 8 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 36 |
| 9 |
SC Freiburg
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 36 |
| 10 |
FC Heidenheim
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 49 | -8 | 33 |
| 11 |
Werder Bremen
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 |
Union Berlin
|
28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 29 |
| 13 |
Borussia Monchengladbach
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
VfL Wolfsburg
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 |
Vfl Bochum
|
28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 26 |
| 16 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 23 |
| 17 |
1.FC Köln
|
28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 22 |
| 18 |
SV Darmstadt 98
|
28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 71 | -43 | 14 |
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