FSV Mainz 05 - FC Augsburg

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

45'		2 - 0	Missed Penalty	N. Amiri	N. Amiri (Assist)
44'		2 - 0	Goal	S. van den Berg	N. Amiri (Assist)
43'		1 - 0	Goal	S. van den Berg	N. Amiri (Assist)

90'		J. Gouweleeuw
90'		M. Pedersen	Tripping
90'		S. van den Berg	Unsportsmanlike conduct
90'		D. Kohr
45'		F. Dahmen
35'		Lee Jae-Sung

90'			In:	Iago	Out:	S. Michel
90'			In:	Lee Jae-Sung	Out:	M. Papela
88'			In:	A. Engels	Out:	A. Maier
83'			In:	B. Gruda	Out:	J. Ngankam
83'			In:	K. Onisiwo	Out:	L. Ajorque
77'			In:	A. Hanche-Olsen	Out:	J. Guilavogui
75'			In:	E. Rexhbeçaj	Out:	M. Pedersen
75'			In:	K. Mbabu	Out:	R. Gumny
46'			In:	P. Tietz	Out:	Pep Biel

FSV Mainz 05 - FC Augsburg Predictions

Prediction: Draw or FC Augsburg

Best odds: 1.31

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In the upcoming Bundesliga clash at the MEWA ARENA, a tense battle is anticipated as FSV Mainz 05, struggling in the relegation zone, hosts FC Augsburg. With predictions favoring a narrow escape for Mainz with a win or draw, the stakes are high for both sides. Let's delve into the key players who could sway this match and assess the recent form and head-to-head history that set the stage for this encounter.

Key Players for FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05's survival hopes may hinge on the performance of their midfield maestro, Aymen Barkok. With a rating of 6.57, Barkok's ability to create chances from the midfield, having made 5 key passes so far, could be pivotal in breaking down Augsburg's defenses. Despite only scoring once this season, Barkok's presence on the pitch is a constant threat.

Upfront, Ludovic Ajorque will be another crucial figure for Mainz. Ajorque, with a rating of 6.59, has been a formidable presence in the attack, taking 17 shots with 7 on target. His physicality and knack for finding space in the box could be the key to unlocking Augsburg's backline.

In the heart of the midfield, Tom Krauß has been a consistent performer, boasting a rating of 6.69. His vision and passing accuracy, with 478 total passes, make him an essential cog in Mainz's gameplay. Krauß's ability to control the tempo could dictate the flow of the match.

Key Players for FC Augsburg

Defensively, FC Augsburg will look towards Maximilian Bauer to maintain stability at the back. With a rating of 6.65, Bauer's defensive acumen will be crucial as they face Mainz's attackers.

Leading the charge for Augsburg will be Sven Michel, an attacker with a 6.68 rating. Michel has not only found the back of the net but also provided an assist, showcasing his dual threat as a finisher and a creator.

Another key player in Augsburg's ranks is defender Ohis Felix Uduokhai, who has the highest rating among his teammates at 6.71. Uduokhai's impressive passing total of 657 indicates his role in building play from the back, and his defensive contributions will be vital against Mainz's offensive efforts.

Recent Form

Mainz's recent form has been worrisome, with their last five games yielding two losses and three draws. Sitting at 17th place with just 11 points, their desperation for a win is palpable. Augsburg, positioned at 12th with 22 points, hasn't fared much better, with their last five outings resulting in two losses, two draws, and a solitary win.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record provides a glimmer of hope for Mainz, with their last encounter against Augsburg on September 23, 2023, ending in a 2-1 defeat, but the match before that on February 11, 2023, saw them triumph with a 3-1 victory. Going further back to August 20, 2022, Mainz secured a 2-1 win away from home, suggesting a closely contested history between these two sides.

Prediction

Taking into account the key players' potential impact, recent forms, and head-to-head history, the prediction leans towards Mainz seizing a crucial win or at least a draw. The predictions suggest a double chance: FSV Mainz 05 or draw, with Mainz having a 50.5% chance of securing points at home compared to Augsburg's 49.7%. The emphasis on Mainz's home advantage and the desperate need to climb out of the relegation zone might just be the catalyst for a spirited performance.

Expect a tight game with Mainz's Aymen Barkok and Ludovic Ajorque playing pivotal roles, while Augsburg will rely on the defensive solidity of Maximilian Bauer and the attacking prowess of Sven Michel. This match could very well end in a low-scoring affair, with Mainz edging out or holding Augsburg to a draw.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

29%

71%

Attacking Potential

30%

70%

Defensive Potential

53%

47%

Poisson Distribution

36%

64%

Stregth H2H

60%

40%

Goals H2H

61%

39%

Wins the game

45%

55%

FSV Mainz 05 - FC Augsburg Head to Head

17/02	FSV Mainz 05	1 - 0	FC Augsburg
23/09	FC Augsburg	2 - 1	FSV Mainz 05
11/02	FSV Mainz 05	3 - 1	FC Augsburg
20/08	FC Augsburg	1 - 2	FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayer Leverkusen	28	24	4	0	69	19	50	76
2	Bayern Munich	28	19	3	6	80	36	44	60
3	VfB Stuttgart	28	19	3	6	64	34	30	60
4	RB Leipzig	28	16	5	7	64	33	31	53
5	Borussia Dortmund	28	15	8	5	55	33	22	53
6	Eintracht Frankfurt	28	10	12	6	43	36	7	42
7	FC Augsburg	28	9	9	10	45	46	-1	36
8	1899 Hoffenheim	28	10	6	12	48	53	-5	36
9	SC Freiburg	28	10	6	12	40	52	-12	36
10	FC Heidenheim	28	8	9	11	41	49	-8	33
11	Werder Bremen	28	8	7	13	36	44	-8	31
12	Union Berlin	28	8	5	15	25	43	-18	29
13	Borussia Monchengladbach	27	6	10	11	46	53	-7	28
14	VfL Wolfsburg	27	7	7	13	33	44	-11	28
15	Vfl Bochum	28	5	11	12	33	58	-25	26
16	FSV Mainz 05	28	4	11	13	26	46	-20	23
17	1.FC Köln	28	4	10	14	23	49	-26	22
18	SV Darmstadt 98	28	2	8	18	28	71	-43	14