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FSV Mainz 05 - SV Darmstadt 98 Predictions
As the Bundesliga season edges closer to its climax, the battle at the bottom intensifies, with FSV Mainz 05 set to host SV Darmstadt 98 at the MEWA ARENA this Saturday. The predictions suggest a glimmer of hope for Mainz, but in the high-stakes world of football, certainty is a luxury neither team can afford. Will Mainz leverage their home advantage, or will Darmstadt defy the odds? Let's delve into the key players and recent performances to set the stage for this crucial encounter.
Key Players
Mainz's hopes will be pinned on the shoulders of their midfield maestro Aymen Barkok. With a rating of 6.57, Barkok has been a creative force, albeit his stats reveal a need for more end product to complement his 160 total passes and 5 key passes. Up front, Jonathan Michael Burkardt and Ludovic Ajorque will be crucial, with both attackers looking to improve on their modest goal tallies of 1 and 2, respectively.On the other side, Darmstadt's midfield will rely on Mathias Honsak, whose rating of 6.47 and 7 key passes point to his potential influence. In defense, Matej Maglica has been a pillar, with 635 passes to his name, signaling his role in building play from the back. The attacking impetus may come from Oscar Ingemar Kristoffer Vilhelmsson, who, like his Mainz counterparts, will be eager to add to his goal tally.
Recent Form
Mainz's recent form reads like a turbulent stock market graph - LWLDL - reflecting inconsistency that they must overcome to escape the relegation zone. Sitting at 17th with 15 points, their home record offers a glimmer of hope, with two wins and three draws out of 11 games.Darmstadt, rooted to the bottom of the table, have struggled even more, with a form line of LDLLD. Their away record is similarly disheartening, with a single win and three draws from 10 outings. Both teams are in dire need of a turnaround, and this match could be the catalyst for that change.
Head-to-Head History
The previous encounter this season between the two sides ended in a stalemate, with a 0-0 draw on November 11, 2023. This result provides little insight into who might have the upper hand in the upcoming match, as both teams have shown that they can hold their ground.Prediction
The predictions lean towards a FSV Mainz 05 victory or a draw, with a 45% chance for both outcomes, leaving Darmstadt with a mere 10% chance of taking all three points. The form of both teams is starkly different, with Mainz at 88 and Darmstadt at 13, suggesting a disparity in recent performances.The attacking and defensive stats also favor Mainz, who have a slightly better record on both fronts. The poisson distribution, which is a statistical measure, also points to a Mainz edge, with 58% to Darmstadt's 42%. The head-to-head record is evenly split, but the goal percentages and total percentages indicate that Mainz has the upper hand in this encounter.
In summary, the data and statistics suggest that Mainz should at least avoid defeat in this crucial clash. However, in football, the unexpected is always around the corner, and Darmstadt will be fighting for their Bundesliga lives. The prediction, therefore, is a cautious but optimistic nod towards a Mainz victory or a draw, with a strong emphasis on the double chance for FSV Mainz 05 or draw. This match could very well be a defining moment in the relegation battle, with Mainz having the opportunity to pull themselves closer to safety and push Darmstadt further into despair.
Prediction probabilities
Strength
Attacking Potential
Defensive Potential
Poisson Distribution
Stregth H2H
Goals H2H
Wins the game
FSV Mainz 05 - SV Darmstadt 98 Head to Head
| 06/04 | FSV Mainz 05 |
- | SV Darmstadt 98 |
| 11/11 | SV Darmstadt 98 |
0 - 0 | FSV Mainz 05 |
Bundesliga standings
| Rank | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 69 | 19 | 50 | 76 |
| 2 |
Bayern Munich
|
28 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 80 | 36 | 44 | 60 |
| 3 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
28 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 64 | 34 | 30 | 60 |
| 4 |
RB Leipzig
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 33 | 31 | 53 |
| 5 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 53 |
| 6 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 42 |
| 7 |
FC Augsburg
|
28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 36 |
| 8 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 36 |
| 9 |
SC Freiburg
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 36 |
| 10 |
FC Heidenheim
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 49 | -8 | 33 |
| 11 |
Werder Bremen
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 |
Union Berlin
|
28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 29 |
| 13 |
Borussia Monchengladbach
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
VfL Wolfsburg
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 |
Vfl Bochum
|
28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 26 |
| 16 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 23 |
| 17 |
1.FC Köln
|
28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 22 |
| 18 |
SV Darmstadt 98
|
28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 71 | -43 | 14 |
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