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FSV Mainz 05 - Vfl Bochum Predictions
As the Bundesliga's regular season edges further into its decisive phase, the upcoming clash between FSV Mainz 05 and Vfl Bochum at the MEWA ARENA on a brisk Saturday afternoon promises to be a riveting encounter. With predictions leaning towards a potential victory or at least a draw for the struggling hosts, Mainz, this fixture could be a turning point in their fight for survival.
Key Players - FSV Mainz 05
Mainz's hopes will be pinned on the shoulders of their key players. Midfielder Aymen Barkok has been a beacon of creativity, albeit his stats reflecting a modest return. With a rating of 6.57, Barkok's 160 total passes and 5 key passes show his potential to unlock defenses, though he'll be looking to add to his single goal tally.Upfront, the team's attacking impetus largely rests with Jonathan Michael Burkardt. The attacker, with a rating of 6.63, has been trying to find his scoring boots, managing only 1 goal from 9 shots. However, his work rate and movement could be pivotal against Bochum's defense.
Ludovic Ajorque, another forward, has shown flashes of brilliance and is the top scorer for Mainz with 2 goals. His rating of 6.65 and 14 key passes indicate his quality, and Mainz will need Ajorque to be at his sharpest to improve their chances of a win.
Key Players - Vfl Bochum
Bochum will not be without their own threats. Attacker Moritz Broschinski has a rating of 6.54 and has been directly involved in 2 goals. Broschinski's ability to find space in the box could cause trouble for Mainz's backline.Midfielder Matúš Bero, with a rating of 6.55, has been a consistent performer for Bochum. His 293 total passes and 5 key passes are a testament to his vision and passing ability, and his contribution in the midfield battle will be crucial.
Another midfielder, Lukas Stephan Horst Daschner, boasts a rating of 6.65 and has already provided an assist. Daschner's knack for timely forward runs and his shooting ability from distance adds another layer to Bochum's attacking play.
Recent Form
Mainz's recent form has been a rollercoaster with a pattern of LWLDL, reflecting their precarious position at 17th in the league. With only 15 points and a troubling goal difference of -19, their struggle is evident.Bochum, sitting at 11th with 25 points, have had a mixed bag of results as well, marked by WDDLW. Their -15 goal difference isn't flattering either, but they've shown more resilience than their upcoming opponents.
Head-to-Head History
The head-to-head encounters between these two sides have been evenly matched. The most recent fixture on October 27, 2023, ended in a 2-2 draw. Before that, Mainz secured a convincing 5-2 victory on January 28, 2023, and a 2-1 win on August 6, 2022. This history suggests that Mainz might have a psychological edge going into this match.Prediction
Considering the form of both teams, their position in the standings, and their head-to-head record, the prediction leans towards FSV Mainz 05 securing a win or at least a draw. The statistics suggest a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 goals for both teams being a possibility. Mainz's home advantage and the urgency of their situation might just be the catalyst they need to secure vital points.The prediction advises a "Double chance: FSV Mainz 05 or draw," with Mainz having a total percent chance of 56.8% compared to Bochum's 43.2%. The battle will likely be won or lost in the midfield, with key players like Aymen Barkok and Matúš Bero playing significant roles. Ultimately, Mainz's desperation to climb out of the relegation zone may just give them the edge they need in what promises to be a tightly contested match.
Prediction probabilities
Strength
Attacking Potential
Defensive Potential
Poisson Distribution
Stregth H2H
Goals H2H
Wins the game
FSV Mainz 05 - Vfl Bochum Head to Head
| 16/03 | FSV Mainz 05 |
2 - 0 | Vfl Bochum |
| 27/10 | Vfl Bochum |
2 - 2 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| 28/01 | FSV Mainz 05 |
5 - 2 | VfL BOCHUM |
| 06/08 | VfL BOCHUM |
1 - 2 | FSV Mainz 05 |
Bundesliga standings
| Rank | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 69 | 19 | 50 | 76 |
| 2 |
Bayern Munich
|
28 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 80 | 36 | 44 | 60 |
| 3 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
28 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 64 | 34 | 30 | 60 |
| 4 |
RB Leipzig
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 33 | 31 | 53 |
| 5 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 53 |
| 6 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 42 |
| 7 |
FC Augsburg
|
28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 36 |
| 8 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 36 |
| 9 |
SC Freiburg
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 36 |
| 10 |
FC Heidenheim
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 49 | -8 | 33 |
| 11 |
Werder Bremen
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 |
Union Berlin
|
28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 29 |
| 13 |
Borussia Monchengladbach
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
VfL Wolfsburg
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 |
Vfl Bochum
|
28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 26 |
| 16 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 23 |
| 17 |
1.FC Köln
|
28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 22 |
| 18 |
SV Darmstadt 98
|
28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 71 | -43 | 14 |
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