FSV Mainz 05 - Werder Bremen

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

2'

0 - 1

Goal

M. Ducksch

89'		A. Caci	Unsportsmanlike conduct
89'		L. Bittencourt	Unsportsmanlike conduct
87'		M. Richter	Unsportsmanlike conduct
79'		N. Amiri	Tripping
68'		T. Krauß	Tripping
45'		J. Stage	Tripping
35'		N. Stark	Roughing

86'			In:	J. Stage	Out:	C. Groß
85'			In:	P. Mwene	Out:	E. Fernandes
85'			In:	N. Amiri	Out:	D. Kohr
84'			In:	J. Ngankam	Out:	D. Mamutovic
84'			In:	P. Mwene	Out:	E. Fernandes
73'			In:	T. Krauß	Out:	M. Richter
69'			In:	M. Ducksch	Out:	N. Woltemade
69'			In:	J. Njinmah	Out:	R. Borré
69'			In:	R. Schmid	Out:	L. Bittencourt
63'			In:	J. Burkardt	Out:	L. Ajorque

FSV Mainz 05 - Werder Bremen Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Werder Bremen

Best odds: 1.93

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Prediction: Under 3.5

Best odds: 1.36

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As the Bundesliga heats up, the upcoming clash between FSV Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen at the MEWA ARENA promises to be a pivotal fixture for both teams. With predictions pointing towards a possible win or draw for the visitors, let's delve into the key players and statistics that could shape this encounter.

Key Players - FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05, currently sitting precariously at 16th place, will be relying heavily on their key players to turn the tide. Ludovic Ajorque, an attacker with a rating of 6.55, has managed only 1 goal this season but his 6 shots on target suggest he could be on the brink of a breakthrough. In midfield, Aymen Barkok mirrors Ajorque's rating and goal tally, and has been pivotal with his 7 shots on target. Defensively, Anthony Caci, with a slightly higher rating of 6.75, has contributed 2 goals, indicating his potential threat on set pieces.

Key Players - Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen, positioned at 13th, will look towards their defensive stalwart Miloš Veljković, rated at 6.76, to maintain stability at the back. Midfielder Leonardo Bittencourt, with a rating of 6.79, will be crucial in linking play and has notched up 1 goal and 1 assist. The creative engine, Romano Schmid, stands out with a rating of 6.80, 2 assists, and 1 goal, making him a key figure in Bremen's midfield.

Recent Form

Mainz's recent form has been a cause for concern, with their last five games yielding two draws, two losses, and only one win. Their struggle is evident in their poor goal difference of -15. In contrast, Werder Bremen has shown more promise, with their last five matches resulting in two wins, two draws, and just one loss, suggesting a slight edge in momentum.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two sides provides a mixed picture. The last encounter on September 2, 2023, saw Werder Bremen triumph with a resounding 4-0 victory. However, the previous match on April 8, 2023, ended in a 2-2 draw, indicating that Mainz can hold their own. Before that, on October 15, 2022, Mainz managed to secure a 2-0 away win, proving they have the capability to surprise.

Prediction

Considering the form and the head-to-head statistics, the prediction leans towards Werder Bremen either winning or drawing the game. The forecast also suggests a low-scoring affair, with less than 3.5 goals to be expected. The combination of Bremen's recent form (75% away form against Mainz's 25% home form) and Mainz's struggles in front of goal gives the visitors a statistical advantage.

The key players for both teams will undoubtedly influence the outcome. For Mainz, the performance of Ludovic Ajorque and Aymen Barkok will be critical, while Werder Bremen will rely on the defensive solidity of Miloš Veljković and the midfield creativity of Leonardo Bittencourt and Romano Schmid.

Final verdict: A strong possibility of a draw or a narrow win for Werder Bremen with fewer than 3.5 goals scored in total. The match will likely be a tactical battle, with Bremen's slightly superior form and Mainz's desperation to climb out of the relegation zone setting the stage for a tightly contested Bundesliga fixture.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

25%

75%

Attacking Potential

20%

80%

Defensive Potential

56%

44%

Poisson Distribution

36%

64%

Stregth H2H

50%

50%

Goals H2H

42%

58%

Wins the game

38%

62%

FSV Mainz 05 - Werder Bremen Head to Head

03/02	FSV Mainz 05	0 - 1	Werder Bremen
02/09	Werder Bremen	4 - 0	FSV Mainz 05
08/04	FSV Mainz 05	2 - 2	Werder Bremen
15/10	Werder Bremen	0 - 2	FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayer Leverkusen	28	24	4	0	69	19	50	76
2	Bayern Munich	28	19	3	6	80	36	44	60
3	VfB Stuttgart	28	19	3	6	64	34	30	60
4	RB Leipzig	28	16	5	7	64	33	31	53
5	Borussia Dortmund	28	15	8	5	55	33	22	53
6	Eintracht Frankfurt	28	10	12	6	43	36	7	42
7	FC Augsburg	28	9	9	10	45	46	-1	36
8	1899 Hoffenheim	28	10	6	12	48	53	-5	36
9	SC Freiburg	28	10	6	12	40	52	-12	36
10	FC Heidenheim	28	8	9	11	41	49	-8	33
11	Werder Bremen	28	8	7	13	36	44	-8	31
12	Union Berlin	28	8	5	15	25	43	-18	29
13	Borussia Monchengladbach	27	6	10	11	46	53	-7	28
14	VfL Wolfsburg	27	7	7	13	33	44	-11	28
15	Vfl Bochum	28	5	11	12	33	58	-25	26
16	FSV Mainz 05	28	4	11	13	26	46	-20	23
17	1.FC Köln	28	4	10	14	23	49	-26	22
18	SV Darmstadt 98	28	2	8	18	28	71	-43	14