Genoa - Atalanta

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

90'		0 - 5	Goal	D. Zappacosta
76'		0 - 4	Goal disallowed: Offside
76'		1 - 4	Goal	G. Scalvini
55'		1 - 3	Goal	T. Koopmeiners
51'		1 - 2	Goal	R. Malinovskyi
23'		0 - 2	Goal	C. De Ketelaere	M. Pašalić (Assist)
22'		0 - 1	Goal	C. De Ketelaere	M. Pašalić (Assist)

90'		M. de Roon	Roughing
90'		A. Miranchuk	Delay of game
90'		Aarón Martín	Roughing
54'		M. Bani	Tripping
33'		S. Kolašinac	Tripping
32'		S. Kolašinac	Tripping
24'		C. De Ketelaere	Unsportsmanlike conduct
24'		K. Strootman	Unsportsmanlike conduct

90'			In:	M. Ruggeri	Out:	H. Hateboer
90'			In:	A. Vogliacco	Out:	Vítinha
88'			In:	G. Scalvini	Out:	R. Tolói
83'			In:	S. Sabelli	Out:	Junior Messias
63'			In:	K. Strootman	Out:	Aarón Martín
63'			In:	M. Badelj	Out:	C. Ekuban
57'			In:	C. De Ketelaere	Out:	E. Touré
57'			In:	E. Holm	Out:	D. Zappacosta
57'			In:	G. Scamacca	Out:	A. Miranchuk

Genoa - Atalanta Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Atalanta

Best odds: 1.33

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As the Italian Serie A heats up, the upcoming clash between Genoa and Atalanta on a serene Sunday at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris is one to watch. With predictions hinting at a potential win or draw for the visitors, the match promises to be a thrilling encounter. Will Genoa leverage their home advantage to climb up the ranks, or will Atalanta solidify their position for a Champions League spot? Let's delve into the key players who could make a difference and analyze the teams' recent performances to forecast the outcome of this fascinating fixture.

Key Players - Genoa

Genoa's midfield dynamo Morten Thorsby has been a consistent performer this season. With a rating of 6.61, Thorsby's ability to disrupt play and initiate attacks will be crucial. His tally of one goal, one assist, and four key passes from a total of 163 indicates his balanced approach to both defensive and offensive duties.

Another vital cog in the Genoa machine is Ruslan Malinovskyi, whose rating of 6.79 reflects his influential presence in the midfield. Malinovskyi's two goals and one assist from 356 passes, including seven key passes, show his knack for creating chances while also posing a threat from distance with 15 shots taken this season.

Defender Mattia Bani, with a rating of 6.82, has been a rock at the back for Genoa. His defensive prowess, combined with an ability to contribute to the scoreline with one goal, will be essential in thwarting Atalanta's attacking advances.

Key Players - Atalanta

On the other side, Atalanta's Viktor Kovalenko has shown his worth with a 6.74 rating. The midfielder's contribution of one goal, one assist, and six key passes from 142 total passes signifies his effectiveness in the central park.

Defensively, Nadir Zortea has been solid, earning a rating of 6.76. Although contributing just one goal, his defensive contributions have been invaluable, and his three key passes suggest a potential for creating goal-scoring opportunities from the back.

Another player to watch is Sead Kolašinac, with the highest rating among the key players at 6.86. His defensive acumen, combined with the ability to join the attack, has seen him take seven shots, three on target, and provide five key passes.

Recent Form

Genoa's recent form of WWDDD demonstrates their resilience, having not lost in their last five matches. This unbeaten run has been pivotal in their mid-table positioning. Atalanta, on the other hand, with a form of WWDWL, have shown some vulnerability but remain a potent threat, especially given their superior goal difference of +16 compared to Genoa's -2.

Head-to-Head History

The previous encounter between these two teams on October 22, 2023, saw Atalanta secure a comfortable 2-0 victory over Genoa. This recent history suggests that Atalanta has had the upper hand in head-to-head meetings, which could play a psychological role in the upcoming match.

Prediction

Taking into account the recent form, key player performances, and head-to-head history, the prediction leans towards an Atalanta advantage, with a "Double chance: draw or Atalanta" being the recommended advice. The statistics suggest a 45% chance for both a draw and an away win, with a mere 10% for a home victory.

The match could likely be a tight affair, with Genoa's home record showing resilience, but Atalanta's attacking prowess, led by Sead Kolašinac and Viktor Kovalenko, might prove to be the difference. The visitors' higher form rating (53) compared to the hosts' (47) and their stronger defense (defensive rating of 67 against 33 for Genoa) could be the key factors in tilting the match in Atalanta's favor.

A double chance bet on a draw or an away win seems to be the most prudent approach, with Atalanta's current form and squad depth likely to edge them closer to a positive result against a tenacious Genoa side.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

41%

59%

Attacking Potential

29%

71%

Defensive Potential

40%

60%

Poisson Distribution

49%

51%

Stregth H2H

25%

75%

Goals H2H

33%

67%

Wins the game

36%

64%

Genoa - Atalanta Head to Head

11/02	Genoa	1 - 4	Atalanta
22/10	Atalanta	2 - 0	Genoa

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15