Genoa - Inter

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

45'		1 - 1	Goal	R. Drăgușin	A. Guðmundsson (Assist)
42'		0 - 1	Goal	M. Arnautović

86'		H. Mkhitaryan	Foul
77'		N. Barella	Foul
69'		R. Drăgușin	Roughing
67'		A. Guðmundsson	Holding
57'

79'			In:	M. Darmian	Out:	D. Dumfries
78'			In:	N. Barella	Out:	D. Frattesi
78'			In:	Aarón Martín	Out:	Junior Messias
71'			In:	M. Arnautović	Out:	A. Sánchez
61'			In:	C. Ekuban	Out:	M. Retegui
61'			In:	K. Strootman	Out:	R. Malinovskyi
46'			In:	K. De Winter	Out:	J. Vásquez

Genoa - Inter Predictions

Prediction: Inter

Best odds: 1.59

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In the bustling port city of Genova, as the year draws to a close, Serie A followers are bracing for a thrilling encounter that pits the might of table-topping Inter against the humble hosts Genoa. The predictions are leaning heavily towards the visitors, but as any football enthusiast knows, the beautiful game is nothing if not unpredictable.

Key Players

For Genoa, the midfield dynamo Morten Thorsby will be crucial in disrupting Inter's rhythm. With a rating of 6.60, his defensive work rate, combined with an assist and a goal to his name, showcases his all-round capabilities. Joining him in the midfield is Ruslan Malinovskyi, a player with a knack for creating chances and a higher rating of 6.70. His 12 shots and 5 key passes this season are indicative of his threat from the midfield. Upfront, Mateo Retegui, with a rating of 6.84, leads the line. His 3 goals from 16 shots show he has the potential to turn the tide in favor of the home side.

Inter's lineup boasts formidable talent, including Davide Frattesi, who has a rating of 6.61 and has already found the net once this season. A key figure in the midfield is Giovanni Fabbian, with a rating of 6.90 and 2 goals to his credit. However, it's Denzel Justus Morris Dumfries who may prove to be the game-changer. The defender, with a high rating of 7.06, has not only been solid at the back but has also contributed 3 assists and 2 goals, highlighting his attacking prowess.

Recent Form

Genoa's form has been a rollercoaster ride, with their last five matches reading DLDLW. Despite this, they have shown resilience at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, with 3 wins and 3 draws out of 8 home games. Inter, on the other hand, is in sublime form with WWWDW in their last five outings, and they've been particularly dominant on the road, winning 7 out of 8 away fixtures.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record is not available, but the stark contrast in both teams' standings and recent performances may give us an insight into the possible dynamics of the upcoming match.

Prediction

The prediction for this match is heavily skewed in favor of Inter. With a 50% chance of winning according to the data, and an impressive goal difference of +32 compared to Genoa's -5, the visitors are the clear favorites. The data also suggests a high likelihood of a strong defensive performance from Inter, with a predicted goals against tally of -3.5 for Genoa.

The key players will undoubtedly have a significant impact on the game's outcome. Thorsby and Malinovskyi will need to be at their best to contain the likes of Dumfries and Fabbian. However, the overall form and quality of Inter, coupled with their strong away record, might be too much for the home side to handle.

Given the statistics and the form of both teams, the final prediction is a comfortable victory for Inter. The outcome of this match could further cement their position at the top of the Serie A standings and set a strong tone for their campaign as they head into the new year. Genoa, while not favored to win, will be looking to at least put up a strong fight and potentially upset the odds in front of their home fans. Will Genoa be able to defy the predictions, or will Inter's quality prevail? All eyes will be on the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris come Friday night.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

28%

72%

Attacking Potential

29%

71%

Defensive Potential

14%

86%

Poisson Distribution

9%

91%

Stregth H2H

7%

93%

Goals H2H

0%

100%

Wins the game

17%

83%

Genoa - Inter Head to Head

04/03	Inter	2 - 1	Genoa
29/12	Genoa	1 - 1	Inter

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15