Genoa - Udinese

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

40'		2 - 0	Goal	M. Bani	A. Guðmundsson (Assist)
36'		1 - 0	Goal	M. Retegui

49'		T. Kristensen	Tripping
42'		T. Kristensen
30'		K. De Winter	Roughing
2'		L. Gianetti	Tripping
1'		L. Gianetti	Tripping

78'			In:	S. Sabelli	Out:	D. Spence
78'			In:	Junior Messias	Out:	R. Malinovskyi
78'			In:	F. Thauvin	Out:	K. Davis
54'			In:	J. Vásquez	Out:	A. Vogliacco
54'			In:	L. Samardžić	Out:	João Ferreira
54'			In:	J. Zemura	Out:	H. Kamara
46'			In:	K. Ehizibue	Out:	F. Ebosele

Genoa - Udinese Predictions

Prediction: Genoa or draw

Best odds: 1.35

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As the Italian Serie A gears up for another weekend of thrilling football, all eyes turn to the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris where Genoa is set to host Udinese in what promises to be a captivating encounter. With predictions favoring Genoa to either win or secure a draw, let's delve into the specifics that could determine the outcome of this match.

Key Players

For Genoa, the midfield dynamism of Morten Thorsby has been pivotal. Thorsby's resilience and ability to disrupt opposition play, reflected in his 6.64 rating, could be the cornerstone for Genoa's strategy. His contribution of 1 goal, 1 assist, and 4 key passes from 188 total passes shows his versatility in both defensive and attacking transitions.

Another vital cog in the Genoa lineup is Ruslan Malinovskyi. The Ukrainian midfielder, with a rating of 6.75, boasts 2 goals and 1 assist this season. His impressive tally of 23 shots, with 7 on target, and 9 key passes from 532 total passes, makes him a threat from the midfield, capable of unlocking any defense.

Leading the attack for Genoa is Caleb Ansah Ekuban, whose rating of 6.84 underscores his importance. With 2 goals and 1 assist, his 11 key passes and 14 shots show a forward keen on making an impact.

On the other side, Udinese will look towards Oier Zarraga Egaña, a midfielder who has shown promise with a rating of 6.53, to steer the team in the right direction.

Midfielder Martín Ismael Payero, with a rating of 6.71, brings creativity to the team, having made 9 key passes and scoring 1 goal this season.

The experience of Roberto Maximiliano Pereyra could be a game-changer for Udinese. With a rating of 6.78, 3 goals, and 2 assists, his contribution from the midfield could prove crucial.

Recent Form

Genoa's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in a loss, draw, win, win, and draw (LDWWD). Sitting 12th in the league with 29 points, they have shown some resilience at home, winning 4 out of 12 matches.

Udinese, on the other hand, has had a challenging season, finding themselves in 15th place with 22 points. Their last five matches have seen them win, draw, lose, lose, and draw (WDLLD), signaling a team struggling to find consistent form.

Head-to-Head History

The last encounter between these two was on October 1, 2023, where they played out a 2-2 draw. This result indicates a closely matched history, and the upcoming game could follow a similar narrative.

Prediction

Taking into account the recent form, head-to-head history, and key player analysis, the prediction leans towards a Genoa win or draw. With Genoa's stronger form at home and the key contributions expected from Thorsby, Malinovskyi, and Ekuban, they have the edge over an Udinese side that has shown vulnerabilities, especially on the road.

Udinese will not go down without a fight, and players like Zarraga Egaña, Payero, and Pereyra could pose a significant threat. However, with only a 10% probability of an away win as per predictions, the odds are stacked against them.

The advice for those looking to place bets would be a double chance on Genoa or draw, with the home side's total percent at 50.7 against Udinese's 49.3. This match may not see a high goal tally, considering the under prediction for goals for both teams.

In conclusion, Saturday's fixture is set to be a tightly contested battle, but Genoa, with the home advantage and key players in form, are likely to come out on top or at least secure a point in this Serie A showdown.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

62%

38%

Attacking Potential

60%

40%

Defensive Potential

46%

54%

Poisson Distribution

59%

41%

Stregth H2H

36%

64%

Goals H2H

43%

57%

Wins the game

51%

49%

Genoa - Udinese Head to Head

24/02	Genoa	2 - 0	Udinese
01/10	Udinese	2 - 2	Genoa

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15