Getafe - Real Madrid

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

56'		0 - 2	Goal	Joselu	Vinícius Júnior (Assist)
14'		0 - 1	Goal	Joselu	Lucas Vázquez (Assist)

31'		F. Mendy	Roughing
30'		F. Mendy	Roughing
26'		D. Dakonam

76'			In:	Vinícius Júnior	Out:	Rodrygo
48'			In:	José Ángel Carmona	Out:	Jorge Benito
47'			In:	Domingos Duarte	Out:	Juanmi Latasa
47'			In:	D. Dakonam	Out:	Diego Rico
46'			In:	A. Rüdiger	Out:	E. Camavinga

Getafe - Real Madrid Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Real Madrid

Best odds: 1.16

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In the fast-paced world of La Liga, every match counts, but when Getafe hosts Real Madrid at the Estadio Coliseum this Thursday, the stakes are especially high. With predictions tilting towards a Real Madrid advantage, fans are eager to see if Getafe can defy the odds and secure a win or if Real Madrid will solidify their standing as one of the league's top contenders.

Key Players to Watch

Getafe's midfield dynamo, Carles Aleñá Castillo, has been a consistent performer this season. With a rating of 6.64, his ability to create chances and maintain possession is crucial for Getafe's strategy. Aleñá's 11 key passes and one assist show his creative flair, but he will need to be at his best to break down Real Madrid's defense.

In defense, Stefan Mitrović stands tall with a 6.67 rating. His contribution isn't just about keeping the ball out of the net; it's about starting plays from the back. Mitrović's passing accuracy will be vital in transitioning from defense to attack against a high-pressing Madrid side.

Upfront, Getafe will look to Jaime Mata Arnaiz to find the back of the net. With a team-high rating of 6.71 among the forwards and a total of seven shots, Mata's precision will be key to capitalizing on any chances that come his way.

For Real Madrid, the spotlight is on José Luis Sanmartín Mato, also known as Joselu. With a rating of 6.84 and five goals to his name, his attacking prowess will be a significant threat to Getafe's defenders.

Midfielder Lucas Vázquez Iglesias has been a revelation this season, boasting a 7.01 rating. His balance of defensive work and attacking support, coupled with his two assists, makes him a versatile threat.

Lastly, the defensive stronghold that is Antonio Rüdiger cannot be overlooked. With a rating of 7.04, his presence has been a cornerstone of Madrid's defensive line. Rüdiger's impressive 1012 passes this season underline his role as a ball-playing center-back.

Recent Form

Getafe's recent form has been a mixed bag with a sequence of "LLDWW," reflecting their struggle for consistency. However, playing at home where they've won five out of nine might give them a psychological edge.

On the other hand, Real Madrid's form "WWWWD" showcases their momentum and confidence coming into this game. With only one loss in the season, they are a formidable force that seems to grow stronger with each match.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two sides favors Real Madrid, with the last three encounters ending in their favor. The most recent match on September 2, 2023, saw Real Madrid clinch a 2-1 victory. Before that, on May 13, 2023, they secured a narrow 1-0 win, and on October 8, 2022, they triumphed with another 1-0 win at Getafe's home ground.

Prediction

Considering the current form and head-to-head statistics, Real Madrid is the clear favorite. Predictions suggest a double chance of a draw or a Real Madrid win, with a 45% chance for both outcomes. The poisson distribution also leans heavily towards Real Madrid with a 68% probability compared to Getafe's 32%.

The defensive stats, with Real Madrid's defense rated at 67% against Getafe's 33%, alongside Real Madrid's stronger attack, indicate that Getafe will have a tough time breaching the visitor's backline. Moreover, Getafe's goal-scoring odds are predicted to be under 2.5, hinting at a low-scoring affair for the home side.

In conclusion, while football is unpredictable, the data and form guide suggest that Real Madrid will likely come out on top or at least secure a draw. Getafe will need to deliver an exceptional performance to upset the odds, making this match an intriguing fixture for fans and neutrals alike.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

32%

68%

Attacking Potential

48%

52%

Defensive Potential

33%

67%

Poisson Distribution

37%

63%

Stregth H2H

20%

80%

Goals H2H

25%

75%

Wins the game

33%

68%

Getafe - Real Madrid Head to Head

01/02	Getafe	0 - 2	Real Madrid
02/09	Real Madrid	2 - 1	Getafe
13/05	Real Madrid	1 - 0	Getafe
08/10	Getafe	0 - 1	Real Madrid

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13