Girona - Rayo Vallecano

Regular Season - 26
Kickoff: 2024-02-26 19:00

Who will win?

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Votes: 0

Girona - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Prediction: Girona or draw
Best odds: 1.18

In an upcoming La Liga showdown, Girona is set to host Rayo Vallecano at the Estadi Municipal de Montilivi this Monday. With the home side vying for a top spot and the visitors fighting to climb up from the lower echelons of the table, predictions hint at a match that could solidify Girona's Champions League aspirations or give Rayo Vallecano a much-needed boost.

Key Players

For Girona, the defensive prowess of Valery Fernández Estrada has been crucial. With a rating of 6.65, his contributions include 2 shots on target, 151 total passes, and 4 key passes, showcasing his ability to initiate plays from the back. Upfront, the team's attacking threat is personified by Cristhian Ricardo Stuani Curbelo, whose 6.88 rating is a testament to his 7 goals and 2 assists. His 13 shots on target from 23 attempts show he's a striker always lurking with intent.

On the other side, Rayo Vallecano's midfield stability often comes from Enrique Pérez Muñoz, with a rating of 6.56 and 219 total passes to his name. However, it's Jorge de Frutos Sebastián and Radamel Falcao García Zárate, both with ratings of 6.61 and 6.63 respectively, who will need to step up their game. De Frutos and Falcao have each netted once this season, and their ability to convert chances will be critical for Rayo Vallecano to upset the odds.

Recent Form

Girona's form has been impressive, currently holding the second position in the league with a strong record of 17 wins, 5 draws, and just 2 losses. Their last five games read LDWWD, indicating a slight stumble but an overall steady performance. Rayo Vallecano, sitting at the 14th spot, has struggled with their form, as evidenced by their last five games (LLLDL), signaling a team in need of a turnaround.

Head-to-Head History

The history between these two teams suggests a competitive edge for Girona. In their most recent encounter on January 17, 2024, Girona emerged victorious with a 3-1 win. The previous match on November 11, 2023, also saw Girona clinch a 2-1 win away from home. Their matchups in March and December of 2023 ended in 2-2 draws, indicating a tightly contested rivalry.

Prediction

Taking into account the teams' current form, head-to-head history, and the predictions provided, the edge undoubtedly goes to Girona. The predictions favor them with a 45% chance of victory and a 45% chance of a draw, leaving Rayo Vallecano with a mere 10% shot at winning. The advice of a "Double chance: Girona or draw" seems prudent, especially considering Girona's strong home record and Rayo Vallecano's less than stellar away performance.

The key players will be instrumental in this fixture, with Cristhian Ricardo Stuani Curbelo and Valery Fernández Estrada expected to shine for Girona, while Rayo Vallecano will hope that Radamel Falcao García Zárate can rediscover his predatory instincts in front of goal.

In conclusion, the prediction leans towards a win or a draw for Girona, with a likelihood of fewer than 2.5 goals from the home side and 1.5 from the visitors. The tactical battle will be fascinating, but Girona's form and home advantage should see them through as they continue their impressive campaign. Fans and neutrals alike can expect a match filled with tactical nuance and key individual battles that could ultimately shape the outcome of this La Liga fixture.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

78%
22%

Attacking Potential

67%
33%

Defensive Potential

47%
53%

Poisson Distribution

65%
35%

Stregth H2H

62%
38%

Goals H2H

56%
44%

Wins the game

63%
38%

Girona - Rayo Vallecano Head to Head

La Liga standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid players, news and schedule Real Madrid 30 23 6 1 66 20 46 75
2 Barcelona players, news and schedule Barcelona 30 20 7 3 61 34 27 67
3 Girona players, news and schedule Girona 30 20 5 5 62 36 26 65
4 Athletic Club players, news and schedule Athletic Club 30 16 8 6 50 28 22 56
5 Atletico Madrid players, news and schedule Atletico Madrid 29 17 4 8 54 34 20 55
6 Real Sociedad players, news and schedule Real Sociedad 30 13 10 7 43 31 12 49
7 Real Betis players, news and schedule Real Betis 30 10 12 8 36 36 0 42
8 Valencia players, news and schedule Valencia 29 11 8 10 32 32 0 41
9 Osasuna players, news and schedule Osasuna 30 11 6 13 36 43 -7 39
10 Villarreal players, news and schedule Villarreal 29 10 8 11 47 51 -4 38
11 Getafe players, news and schedule Getafe 30 9 11 10 37 43 -6 38
12 Las Palmas players, news and schedule Las Palmas 30 10 7 13 29 33 -4 37
13 Alaves players, news and schedule Alaves 30 8 8 14 26 36 -10 32
14 Sevilla players, news and schedule Sevilla 30 7 10 13 37 44 -7 31
15 Mallorca players, news and schedule Mallorca 30 6 13 11 25 35 -10 31
16 Rayo Vallecano players, news and schedule Rayo Vallecano 30 6 12 12 25 38 -13 30
17 Celta Vigo players, news and schedule Celta Vigo 30 6 10 14 32 44 -12 28
18 Cadiz players, news and schedule Cadiz 30 4 13 13 21 40 -19 25
19 Granada CF players, news and schedule Granada CF 29 2 8 19 30 59 -29 14
20 Almeria players, news and schedule Almeria 30 1 10 19 28 60 -32 13