Granada CF - Sevilla

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

49'		0 - 5	Goal	Sergio Ramos	Suso (Assist)
34'		0 - 4	Goal	L. Ocampos
32'		0 - 3	Goal	L. Ocampos	Y. En-Nesyri (Assist)
24'		0 - 2	Goal	Y. En-Nesyri
23'		0 - 1	Goal	Adrià Pedrosa	Suso (Assist)

74'		Manu Bueno
58'		Raúl Torrente	Tripping
57'		Raúl Torrente	Tripping
40'		Gumbau	Elbowing
38'		Gumbau	Elbowing

87'			In:	B. Soumaré	Out:	Marcão
81'			In:	Y. En-Nesyri	Out:	A. Januzaj
79'			In:	Antonio Puertas	Out:	José Callejón
78'			In:	Antonio Puertas	Out:	José Callejón
72'			In:	L. Ocampos	Out:	Rafa Mir
71'			In:	Suso	Out:	Manu Bueno
71'			In:	L. Ocampos	Out:	Rafa Mir
64'			In:	Carlos Neva	Out:	Álvaro Fernández
64'			In:	Sergio Ruiz	Out:	N. Petrović
46'			In:	Gonzalo Villar	Out:	M. Uzuni

Granada CF - Sevilla Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Sevilla

Best odds: 1.42

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As the La Liga season heats up, a critical clash looms on the horizon with Granada CF set to host Sevilla at the Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes on a chilly Tuesday evening. With predictions favoring Sevilla as the team to either win or draw, fans are eager to see if Granada can defy the odds and secure much-needed points to escape the relegation zone.

Key Players to Watch

On the home side, Samuel Omorodion Aghehowa, the attacker with a rating of 6.57, will be crucial for Granada CF. With 3 goals to his name and a keen eye for goal, evidenced by his 8 shots on target from 18 attempts, Aghehowa's performance could be a game-changer. In defense, Ricard Sánchez Sendra, with a rating of 6.58, stands out not only for his defensive prowess but also for his contribution to the attack, having scored 2 goals himself.

For Sevilla, the defense will be marshaled by José Ángel Carmona Navarro, who has not only scored once but also provided an assist, making him a dual threat. In the midfield, the presence of a player known only as "NA" with a rating of 6.73, will be pivotal as they have shown consistency in passing and maintaining the flow of the game. Lastly, Rafael Mir Vicente, with his ability to find the back of the net and a rating of 6.73, will be the one to watch in Sevilla's attacking lineup.

Recent Form

Granada CF's form has been a concern, with a string of losses and draws (LLDLL) leaving them at the 19th spot in the league standings. With only 7 points from 15 games and a worrying goal difference of -16, they are in desperate need of a turnaround.

Sevilla, sitting at 15th place with 13 points, hasn't fared much better in recent outings, having drawn three and lost one of their last five matches (DLDDD). Their goal difference stands at a neutral 0, suggesting that while they're not losing by large margins, they're struggling to secure victories.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two teams isn't available for this preview, but given the current standings and form, historical data may not be as influential in the outcome of this match.

Prediction

Taking into account the expert analysis and statistical predictions, the consensus leans towards Sevilla either winning or securing a draw. The double chance of a draw or Sevilla victory seems to be the safest bet, with a 45% probability for each outcome. Granada's form is at 25%, significantly lower than Sevilla's 75%, which could be a decisive factor.

The defensive and offensive stats also point towards Sevilla having the upper hand. Granada's defense rates at 38%, while Sevilla's is stronger at 63%. Both teams are evenly matched in attack, each with a 50% rating. However, the Poisson distribution, which is a statistical measure of the probability of scoring goals, slightly favors Sevilla (52%) over Granada (48%).

Moreover, the total percentage calculated from all predictive factors puts Sevilla ahead with 60.3% compared to Granada's 39.8%. This, combined with key player performances and team dynamics, suggests that Sevilla is more likely to come out on top or at least avoid defeat.

In conclusion, while Granada CF will be fighting hard to escape the relegation zone, especially in front of their home crowd, Sevilla's overall form and key player advantages suggest that they will be the ones to watch. Expect a tightly contested match with Sevilla likely to either win or hold Granada to a draw, making the double chance bet a compelling option for those looking to predict the outcome of this La Liga encounter.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

50%

50%

Attacking Potential

50%

50%

Defensive Potential

50%

50%

Poisson Distribution

48%

52%

Stregth H2H

40%

60%

Goals H2H

38%

62%

Wins the game

46%

54%

Granada CF - Sevilla Head to Head

04/05	Sevilla	-	Granada CF
19/12	Granada CF	0 - 3	Sevilla

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13