Inter - Atalanta

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

72'		4 - 1	Goal	D. Frattesi	A. Sánchez (Assist)
54'		3 - 1	Goal	F. Dimarco
54'		2 - 1	Missed Penalty	L. Martínez	L. Martínez (Assist)
53'		2 - 1	Missed Penalty	L. Martínez	L. Martínez (Assist)
45'		2 - 1	Goal	L. Martínez	B. Pavard (Assist)
26'		1 - 1	Goal	M. Darmian
11'		0 - 1	Goal	C. De Ketelaere

76'		A. Bastoni	Foul
75'		A. Bastoni
71'		M. Bakker	Tripping
65'		I. Hien	Foul
53'		B. Djimsiti	Unsportsmanlike conduct
45'		Éderson	Foul
23'		M. Darmian	Foul
22'		M. Darmian	Foul

76'			In:	C. De Ketelaere	Out:	E. Touré
73'			In:	D. Frattesi	Out:	D. Klaassen
68'			In:	F. Dimarco	Out:	Carlos Augusto
68'			In:	L. Martínez	Out:	A. Sánchez
62'			In:	H. Mkhitaryan	Out:	D. Frattesi
58'			In:	G. Scalvini	Out:	I. Hien
58'			In:	S. Kolašinac	Out:	M. Bakker
57'			In:	T. Koopmeiners	Out:	M. Adopo
57'			In:	A. Miranchuk	Out:	A. Lookman
46'			In:	M. Darmian	Out:	D. Dumfries

Inter - Atalanta Predictions

Prediction: Inter or draw

Best odds: 1.22

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In the heart of Milan, a football spectacle is brewing as Serie A leaders Inter prepare to lock horns with the formidable Atalanta. With the league's top spot on the line and Champions League ambitions at stake, predictions are leaning towards a fierce showdown at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Will Inter cement their lead, or can Atalanta cause an upset? Let's delve into the key players and recent performances to gauge what we might expect from this Wednesday clash.

Key Players

For Inter, the midfield maestro Davide Frattesi has been a revelation, with his tactical acumen and a rating of 6.61. With 1 goal to his name and a penchant for creating opportunities, his influence on the game could be pivotal. Not to be outshined, Giovanni Fabbian boasts a rating of 6.86, contributing 3 goals from the midfield and showcasing his threat with 14 shots in total. The defensive stronghold is marshaled by Denzel Justus Morris Dumfries, whose rating of 7.06 and 3 assists from the backline have been instrumental in Inter's formidable goals difference of +47.

Atalanta, on the other hand, has its own set of aces. Viktor Kovalenko, with a rating of 6.70, has been a consistent performer in the midfield, adding a goal and an assist to his tally. Defender Emil Alfons Holm has stood out with a rating of 6.76, and his defensive efforts have been crucial for Atalanta's solid backline. Moreover, Davide Zappacosta's experience and a rating of 6.84 make him a threat from the flanks, contributing 2 goals and an assist.

Recent Form

Inter's recent form is nothing short of spectacular, with a winning streak of five consecutive victories. They sit comfortably at the top of the table with 63 points, asserting their dominance with 20 wins out of 24 matches. Their home record is particularly impressive, boasting 10 wins out of 12 matches at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.

Atalanta, positioned fourth with 45 points, has also showcased a strong run of form with five back-to-back wins. Their away record, however, tells a story of inconsistency with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses. This clash presents a crucial opportunity for them to solidify their claim for a Champions League spot.

Head-to-Head History

The historical encounters between these two teams suggest a tight competition. The last four meetings have seen Inter come out on top, with the most recent match on November 4, 2023, ending in a 2-1 victory for Inter. The match before that, on May 27, 2023, was a high-scoring affair with Inter clinching a 3-2 win at home. These results indicate a slight edge for Inter in head-to-head clashes, with Atalanta eager to rewrite this narrative.

Prediction

Taking into account the recent form of both teams, individual player performances, and historical data, the prediction leans towards a favorable outcome for Inter. The poisson distribution model gives a 77% chance of a home win, and the total percent home stands at a strong 61.8%. However, with both teams in exceptional form, a draw cannot be completely ruled out, reflected in the 45% chance for a stalemate.

In conclusion, while Atalanta will put up a valiant fight, especially with their attacking prowess, the balance tilts in favor of Inter. They are expected to either win or secure a draw, making the "Double chance: Inter or draw" a sound piece of advice for those looking to predict the outcome. With Inter's home advantage and a more consistent performance, they are the favorites to extend their lead at the top of Serie A.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

50%

50%

Attacking Potential

47%

53%

Defensive Potential

40%

60%

Poisson Distribution

77%

23%

Stregth H2H

93%

7%

Goals H2H

64%

36%

Wins the game

62%

38%

Inter - Atalanta Head to Head

28/02	Inter	4 - 0	Atalanta
04/11	Atalanta	1 - 2	Inter
27/05	Inter	3 - 2	Atalanta
31/01	Inter	1 - 0	Atalanta
13/11	Atalanta	2 - 3	Inter

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15