Inter - Genoa

Regular Season - 27
Kickoff: 2024-03-04 18:45

Who will win?

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Inter - Genoa Predictions

Prediction: Inter
Best odds: 1.30

As the lights shine down on the iconic Stadio Giuseppe Meazza this Monday, a clash of titans is set to unfold in the heart of Milano. The home side, Inter, sit comfortably at the summit of Serie A, while Genoa aim to disrupt the leaders and climb from their mid-table position. With predictions heavily favoring the hosts, it’s a game where statistics and form guide expectations, but in football, the outcome is never set in stone.

Key Players

The Nerazzurri's dominance this season can be attributed to several standout performers. Among them is Davide Frattesi, a midfielder whose vision and tenacity have been vital. With a rating of 6.69, his contribution of 2 goals and 4 key passes shows he’s a threat that Genoa must contain.

Joining him in the midfield is Giovanni Fabbian, boasting a 6.87 rating and proving himself a creative force with 1 assist and 9 key passes. His ability to dictate the pace of the game could be a determining factor in this encounter.

Not to be overlooked is Denzel Justus Morris Dumfries, a defender who not only shores up the backline with a 6.99 rating but also contributes to the attack with 3 goals and 3 assists. His versatility makes him a double-edged sword for any opposition.

For Genoa, Morten Thorsby, with a rating of 6.64, stands out as a resilient midfielder. His all-around play, marked by 1 goal and 1 assist, will be crucial for Genoa to disrupt Inter's rhythm and create chances.

Ruslan Malinovskyi, another midfield maestro for the visitors, has a rating of 6.75. His impressive tally of 7 shots on target and 1 assist from the midfield is a testament to his offensive capabilities, which Genoa will rely on for any hope of an upset.

Upfront, Caleb Ansah Ekuban has been a beacon of hope for Genoa. His 6.84 rating and 2 goals may not be staggering, but his work ethic and 1 assist highlight his importance to the team's attacking endeavors.

Recent Form

Inter's recent form reads like a dream for any manager, with a string of five consecutive victories that have not only solidified their top spot but also sent a clear message to their rivals about their championship credentials. Genoa, on the other hand, have had a mixed bag of results, with their last five outings yielding a less convincing record of one win, two draws, and two losses.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record offers a glimmer of hope for Genoa, as their last encounter with Inter on December 29, 2023, ended in a hard-fought 1-1 draw. This result will surely be in the minds of the Genoa players as they step onto the pitch, looking to replicate or even better that performance.

Prediction

Despite Genoa's resilience in their previous meeting, the prediction for this match leans heavily towards an Inter victory. The statistics are particularly telling, with Inter's total percent home at a formidable 77.7% compared to Genoa's 22.3% away. The goal-scoring prowess of Inter, with a 91% home goal percent, is a stark contrast to Genoa's 9% away, suggesting a potential for a high-scoring affair.

The advice from the predictions points to Inter as the winner, and while football is often unpredictable, the form and firepower of the home team are hard to bet against. Expect Inter to control the game, with key players like Davide Frattesi, Giovanni Fabbian, and Denzel Justus Morris Dumfries playing pivotal roles in their quest for victory.

In conclusion, while Genoa will undoubtedly put up a fight, the sheer quality and form of Inter, coupled with their home advantage, make them the overwhelming favorites to secure all three points in this Serie A encounter.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

65%
35%

Attacking Potential

70%
30%

Defensive Potential

75%
25%

Poisson Distribution

84%
16%

Stregth H2H

85%
15%

Goals H2H

91%
9%

Wins the game

78%
22%

Inter - Genoa Head to Head

Serie A standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter players, news and schedule Inter 30 25 4 1 73 14 59 79
2 AC Milan players, news and schedule AC Milan 31 21 5 5 60 34 26 68
3 Juventus players, news and schedule Juventus 30 17 8 5 44 24 20 59
4 Bologna players, news and schedule Bologna 31 16 10 5 45 25 20 58
5 AS Roma players, news and schedule AS Roma 31 16 7 8 56 35 21 55
6 Atalanta players, news and schedule Atalanta 29 15 5 9 54 32 22 50
7 Napoli players, news and schedule Napoli 31 13 9 9 48 38 10 48
8 Lazio players, news and schedule Lazio 31 14 4 13 37 34 3 46
9 Torino players, news and schedule Torino 31 11 11 9 31 29 2 44
10 Fiorentina players, news and schedule Fiorentina 29 12 7 10 42 34 8 43
11 Monza players, news and schedule Monza 31 11 9 11 34 41 -7 42
12 Genoa players, news and schedule Genoa 30 8 11 11 32 37 -5 35
13 Lecce players, news and schedule Lecce 31 6 11 14 26 48 -22 29
14 Udinese players, news and schedule Udinese 30 4 16 10 29 45 -16 28
15 Empoli players, news and schedule Empoli 31 7 7 17 25 47 -22 28
16 Verona players, news and schedule Verona 30 6 9 15 27 40 -13 27
17 Cagliari players, news and schedule Cagliari 30 6 9 15 30 51 -21 27
18 Frosinone players, news and schedule Frosinone 31 6 8 17 38 61 -23 26
19 Sassuolo players, news and schedule Sassuolo 31 6 7 18 36 59 -23 25
20 Salernitana players, news and schedule Salernitana 31 2 9 20 25 64 -39 15