Lazio - Inter

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

67'		0 - 3	Goal	M. Thuram	N. Barella (Assist)
66'		0 - 2	Goal	M. Thuram	N. Barella (Assist)
40'		0 - 1	Goal	L. Martínez

86'		M. Lazzari	Unsportsmanlike conduct
82'		N. Casale	Holding
81'		N. Casale	Holding
61'		N. Barella	Tripping
26'		M. Thuram	Roughing

89'			In:	H. Çalhanoğlu	Out:	K. Asllani
89'			In:	L. Martínez	Out:	D. Klaassen
80'			In:	Felipe Anderson	Out:	V. Castellanos
78'			In:	M. Thuram	Out:	M. Arnautović
75'			In:	M. Zaccagni	Out:	Pedro
75'			In:	N. Rovella	Out:	D. Cataldi
70'			In:	N. Barella	Out:	D. Frattesi
70'			In:	F. Dimarco	Out:	Carlos Augusto
65'			In:	D. Kamada	Out:	Luis Alberto

Lazio - Inter Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Inter

Best odds: 1.24

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Prediction: Under 3.5

Best odds: 1.30

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As the Italian Serie A heats up, all eyes are on the looming clash between Lazio and league leaders Inter at the iconic Stadio Olimpico. With predictions pointing towards a tight contest where Inter might edge out a win or secure a draw, fans are bracing for a tactical showdown with fewer than 3.5 goals on the scoreboard. But before the whistle blows and the ball rolls, let's delve into the key players who could sway the game and analyze the teams' recent forms and history against each other.

Key Players - Lazio

For Lazio, the midfield maestro Matías Vecino Falero is a pivotal figure. With a solid rating of 6.77, Vecino's ability to control the tempo and his willingness to take shots, evidenced by his 5 shots on target out of 9 attempts, make him a threat that Inter's defense must neutralize. On the attacking front, Pedro Eliezer Rodríguez Ledesma, known simply as Pedro, brings a wealth of experience and a rating of 6.79. With 6 key passes and a goal to his name, his precision could be crucial in breaking down Inter's formidable backline. Lastly, the Japanese midfielder Daichi Kamada, with a rating of 6.83, has shown his creative flair with 7 key passes and an assist, adding another layer of depth to Lazio's midfield.

Key Players - Inter

Inter's lineup boasts the impressive Dutch defender Denzel Justus Morris Dumfries, whose rating of 7.20 tops the charts. Not only has he been a rock at the back, but with 3 assists and 2 goals, his contributions on both ends of the pitch are invaluable. In the midfield, Davide Frattesi, with a rating of 6.69, may not have flashy numbers but his work rate and ability to disrupt the opposition's play cannot be overlooked. Lastly, the young midfielder Giovanni Fabbian, rated at 6.80, has already found the net once and could be a wildcard in this high-stakes match.

Recent Form

Lazio's recent form has been a rollercoaster, with their last five games resulting in two wins, a draw, and two losses. They've been somewhat consistent at home, though, with a record of four wins, two draws, and just one defeat. Inter, on the other hand, has been in scintillating form, with four wins and a draw in their last five outings. Their away record is particularly daunting, with six wins and a draw, and no losses to speak of.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record provides a mixed narrative. The most recent encounter saw Inter triumph with a 3-1 victory at home on April 30, 2023. However, Lazio managed to even the score with a 3-1 win of their own when they hosted Inter on August 26, 2022. This suggests that home advantage could play a significant role in the outcome of the upcoming match.

Prediction

Taking into account the predictions, the individual talent, and the teams' forms, this match appears to be a tight affair with a strong possibility of a low-scoring outcome. The predictions favor Inter to either win or draw, with a less than 3.5 goals total expected. The percentages also lean towards Inter, with a 45% chance of an away win, matching the likelihood of a draw, and only a 10% chance for a Lazio victory.

The form guide and the quality on paper suggest that Inter, with the likes of Dumfries and Fabbian, might just have the edge over Lazio's spirited squad led by Vecino and Pedro. However, Lazio's home advantage and their need to climb up from the ninth spot could spur them to cause an upset.

Ultimately, the safe bet seems to be on Inter securing at least a point, with the possibility of a draw being quite high. The prediction of a "Combo Double chance: draw or Inter and -3.5 goals" seems to be the most prudent forecast, suggesting a low-scoring affair where Inter maintains their unbeaten away record while Lazio fights valiantly to hold their ground. It's all set for a strategic and closely fought battle under the lights of the Stadio Olimpico.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

28%

72%

Attacking Potential

20%

80%

Defensive Potential

33%

67%

Poisson Distribution

17%

83%

Stregth H2H

40%

60%

Goals H2H

47%

53%

Wins the game

31%

69%

Lazio - Inter Head to Head

18/05	Inter	-	Lazio
17/12	Lazio	0 - 2	Inter
30/04	Inter	3 - 1	Lazio
26/08	Lazio	3 - 1	Inter

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15