Lazio - Lecce

Regular Season - 20
Kickoff: 2024-01-14 10:30

Who will win?

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Lazio - Lecce Predictions

Prediction: Lazio or draw
Best odds: 1.17

As the iconic Stadio Olimpico prepares to host a gripping Serie A encounter on a serene Sunday afternoon, all eyes are on the home side Lazio, who are predicted to either secure a win or at least a draw against their opponents Lecce. With predictions hinting at a "Double chance: Lazio or draw," fans and analysts alike are keen to dissect the potential outcome of this mid-table clash.

Key Players

Lazio's midfield dynamo, Matías Vecino Falero, has been a consistent performer this season, boasting a rating of 6.77. With 2 goals to his name and a total of 173 passes, Vecino's influence in the center of the park could be pivotal for Lazio's ambitions. Alongside him, the creative prowess of Mattéo Elias Kenzo Guendouzi Olié, with a commendable rating of 6.79 and 8 key passes, can't be overlooked. His ability to dictate play will be crucial for Lazio's attacking thrusts.

On the front line, Pedro Eliezer Rodríguez Ledesma, known simply as Pedro, brings his wealth of experience to the fore. With a 6.79 rating, 10 key passes, and a goal to his credit, the attacker's sharpness in front of goal could spell trouble for the visiting defense.

Lecce, on the other hand, will look towards Hamza Rafia to spark their midfield. With a rating of 6.66 and a total of 264 passes, his vision and passing could unlock Lazio's defensive setup. In the attacking third, Federico Di Francesco will aim to add to his tally of 1 goal, utilizing his sharpshooting skills that have earned him a 6.70 rating.

The midfield maestro Joan Gonzàlez Cañellas is another key figure for Lecce, contributing not just in terms of ball distribution with 209 passes but also chipping in with a goal and an assist, showcasing his all-around capabilities.

Recent Form

Lazio's recent form has been a mixed bag with a sequence of WWLDW, indicating a slight inconsistency but also a capability to secure points. Currently sitting at 9th in the standings with 27 points, their home record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses suggests a strong advantage at the Stadio Olimpico.

Lecce, positioned at 13th with 20 points, have had a less impressive run of LLWDD. Their away record is particularly concerning, having not won a single game on the road, drawing 5 and losing 4. The team will need to defy the odds to improve on this record.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two teams reveals an interesting narrative. In their last three encounters, Lecce has come out on top twice, with Lazio managing only a draw in the remaining fixture. The most recent clash on August 20, 2023, saw Lecce win 2-1 at home, while the previous meeting at Lazio's ground ended in a 2-2 stalemate on May 12, 2023.

Prediction

Taking into account the recent form, key players, and historical data, the prediction leans towards a favorable outcome for Lazio. They are expected to capitalize on their home advantage and the individual quality of players like Matías Vecino Falero and Pedro Rodríguez. Lecce will not go down without a fight, however, with Joan Gonzàlez Cañellas looking to orchestrate their resistance.

The advice for this match is clear: a "Double chance: Lazio or draw." With a 45% chance for a home win and another 45% for a draw, the probability of Lecce taking away all three points is a mere 10%. Form, firepower, and fortitude all favor the hosts, making it a strong bet that Lazio will either emerge victorious or hold Lecce to a draw. The predicted outcome is a low-scoring affair, with less than 2.5 goals for Lazio and less than 1.5 for Lecce, as both teams will be keen to keep things tight at the back.

In conclusion, expect a closely contested match with Lazio likely to edge it or at least secure a point in front of their home crowd. The tactical battle in midfield could be the decider, and with key players like Matías Vecino Falero and Pedro Rodríguez in good form, Lazio has the edge to tip the scales in their favor.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

67%
33%

Attacking Potential

67%
33%

Defensive Potential

55%
45%

Poisson Distribution

66%
34%

Stregth H2H

29%
71%

Goals H2H

47%
53%

Wins the game

55%
45%

Lazio - Lecce Head to Head

Serie A standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter players, news and schedule Inter 30 25 4 1 73 14 59 79
2 AC Milan players, news and schedule AC Milan 31 21 5 5 60 34 26 68
3 Juventus players, news and schedule Juventus 30 17 8 5 44 24 20 59
4 Bologna players, news and schedule Bologna 31 16 10 5 45 25 20 58
5 AS Roma players, news and schedule AS Roma 31 16 7 8 56 35 21 55
6 Atalanta players, news and schedule Atalanta 29 15 5 9 54 32 22 50
7 Napoli players, news and schedule Napoli 31 13 9 9 48 38 10 48
8 Lazio players, news and schedule Lazio 31 14 4 13 37 34 3 46
9 Torino players, news and schedule Torino 31 11 11 9 31 29 2 44
10 Fiorentina players, news and schedule Fiorentina 29 12 7 10 42 34 8 43
11 Monza players, news and schedule Monza 31 11 9 11 34 41 -7 42
12 Genoa players, news and schedule Genoa 30 8 11 11 32 37 -5 35
13 Lecce players, news and schedule Lecce 31 6 11 14 26 48 -22 29
14 Udinese players, news and schedule Udinese 30 4 16 10 29 45 -16 28
15 Empoli players, news and schedule Empoli 31 7 7 17 25 47 -22 28
16 Verona players, news and schedule Verona 30 6 9 15 27 40 -13 27
17 Cagliari players, news and schedule Cagliari 30 6 9 15 30 51 -21 27
18 Frosinone players, news and schedule Frosinone 31 6 8 17 38 61 -23 26
19 Sassuolo players, news and schedule Sassuolo 31 6 7 18 36 59 -23 25
20 Salernitana players, news and schedule Salernitana 31 2 9 20 25 64 -39 15