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Lecce - Empoli Predictions
As the Italian Serie A gears up for another weekend of football drama, all eyes are set on the Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare, where Lecce will host Empoli in a clash that could have significant implications at both ends of the table. The predictions are in, hinting at an unexpected turn of events, with Empoli, currently in the relegation zone, tipped to cause an upset against their mid-table hosts.
Key Players Lecce's midfield dynamo, Hamza Rafia, will be one to watch, as his 6.62 rating and creative input of 10 key passes this season could be pivotal in unlocking the Empoli defense. Another threat comes from the front line, where Federico Di Francesco, with a rating of 6.70, will look to add to his goal tally. Not to be overlooked is Ylber Ramadani, whose robust midfield presence and impressive pass completion could dominate the central areas.
Empoli, on the other hand, will lean on the likes of Roberto Piccoli, their leading goalscorer with 4 goals, despite a modest rating of 6.30. The attacking prowess of Emanuel Quartsin Gyasi (6.62 rating) and Francesco Caputo (6.71 rating) will also be crucial as they seek to pull off a result that could help them escape the drop zone.
Recent Form
Lecce's recent form has been a mixed bag with a sequence of DWLDL, reflecting inconsistency in their performances. With 29 points and a 13th place standing, they have been relatively stable at home, winning 5, drawing 5, and losing 5. Empoli, however, are in the thick of a relegation battle, sitting at 18th with 25 points. Their form reads LLLLW, showing a glimpse of hope with a recent win after a series of losses.Head-to-Head History
The head-to-head record between the two sides doesn't reveal a dominant side, with the last three encounters ending in two draws and one narrow victory for Empoli. On December 11, 2023, the match ended 1-1 at Empoli's ground, while their previous meeting on April 3, 2023, saw Empoli snatch a 1-0 win. Going further back to August 28, 2022, the teams shared the spoils with another 1-1 draw in Lecce.Prediction
Taking into account the current form, key player performances, and head-to-head history, the prediction leans towards an Empoli advantage, with a "Combo Double chance: draw or Empoli and -3.5 goals" being the advised bet. This suggests that the game is unlikely to be a high-scoring affair, with under 3.5 goals expected.The statistical breakdown gives Empoli a total percent chance of 54.3% to come away with a positive result compared to Lecce's 45.8%. Empoli's away form, with a 45% draw rate, aligns with the prediction that they could at least hold Lecce to a draw. The attacking metrics also favor Empoli, with a 60% attack rating against Lecce's 40%, and their defense isn't far behind, rated at 46% against Lecce's 54%.
In conclusion, while Lecce might seem to be the more stable side, the desperation and recent spark of form from Empoli could see them cause an upset or at least secure a valuable point on the road. The key battles will be in the midfield, where Rafia and Ramadani will have to contend with Empoli's attacking threats. Expect a tight contest, with Empoli likely to edge it or hold firm for a draw in a match with fewer than 3.5 goals.
Prediction probabilities
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Attacking Potential
Defensive Potential
Poisson Distribution
Stregth H2H
Goals H2H
Wins the game
Lecce - Empoli Head to Head
Serie A standings
| Rank | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 73 | 14 | 59 | 79 |
| 2 |
AC Milan
|
31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 60 | 34 | 26 | 68 |
| 3 |
Juventus
|
30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 59 |
| 4 |
Bologna
|
31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 58 |
| 5 |
AS Roma
|
31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 55 |
| 6 |
Atalanta
|
29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 50 |
| 7 |
Napoli
|
31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 48 |
| 8 |
Lazio
|
31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 46 |
| 9 |
Torino
|
31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 |
Fiorentina
|
29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 43 |
| 11 |
Monza
|
31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |
Genoa
|
30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 |
Lecce
|
31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 29 |
| 14 |
Udinese
|
30 | 4 | 16 | 10 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 28 |
| 15 |
Empoli
|
31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 |
Verona
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 27 |
| 17 |
Cagliari
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 27 |
| 18 |
Frosinone
|
31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 26 |
| 19 |
Sassuolo
|
31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 25 |
| 20 |
Salernitana
|
31 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 64 | -39 | 15 |
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